The Effect of Civilian Casualties on Wartime Informing
Evidence from the Iraq War
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6286166 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Andrew Shaver (0000-0002-4445-9273, Department of Political Science, University of California, Merced, CA, USA), Jacob N Shapiro (0000-0002-7484-229X, Princeton University, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2021 |
| Volume | 65 |
| Issue | 7-8 |
| Pages | 1337-1377 |
| Publication date | 2021-08-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/0022002721991627 |
| OpenAlex | W2285951948 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 28 |
| References cited | 28 |
Scholars of civil war and insurgency have long posited that insurgent organizations and their state enemies incur costs for the collateral damage they cause. We provide the first direct quantitative evidence that wartime informing to counterinsurgent forces is affected by civilian victimization. Using newly declassified data on tip flow to Coalition forces in Iraq we find that information flow goes down after government forces inadvertently kill civilians and it goes up when insurgents do so. These results confirm a relationship long posited in the theoretical literature on insurgency but never directly observed, have strong policy implications, and are consistent with a broad range of circumstantial evidence on the topic
Circumstantial evidence · Collateral · Collateral damage · Criminology · Development economics · Economics · Government (linguistics) · Insurgency · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Sociology · Spanish Civil War · State (computer science) · Defense, Military, and Policy Studies · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Politics and Conflicts in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Middle East
Violence Against Civilians During Armed Conflict
Winning Hearts and Minds in Civil Wars
Civilian Casualties, Humanitarian Aid, and Insurgent Violence in Civil Wars
Deterrence with Imperfect Attribution
Aid as a Tool against Insurgency
Death, Dominance, and State-Building
Buying Hearts and Minds, Securing Blue Helmets
Economic Actors as Human Rights Watchers
Rage and the Machines? Force Mechanization and Violence against Civilians
Voting for Violence
Political instability patterns are obscured by conflict dataset scope conditions, sources, and coding choices
From Social Alignment to Social Control
The Paradox of the Heavy-Handed Insurgent
External intelligence assistance and the recipient government’s violence against civilians
Banditry or business? Rebel labor markets and state economic intervention
Civilian Harm, Wartime Informing, and Counterinsurgent Operations
The effects of state presence on the mental mapping of security
Targeting telecommunications
The Bombing of Hospitals and Rebel Responses in Civil War. Evidence from Syria
When Deterrence Backfires
Dissent Networks, State Repression, and Strategic Clemency for Defection
Restitution or Retribution? Detainee Payments and Insurgent Violence
Does Insurgent Selective Punishment Deter Collaboration? Evidence from the Drone War in Pakistan
Why Protectors Become Predators? Violence against Civilians by Amisom Peacekeepers in Somalia
Border fortification and legibility
Anti-Immigrant Rhetoric and ICE Reporting Interest
Consequences of civilian victimisation
Strategic Reporting
Counterinsurgency Warfare
Environmental Regulations, Air and Water Pollution, and Infant Mortality in India
The Effect of Armed Conflict on Education
The Logic of Violence in Civil War
Bootstrap-Based Improvements for Inference with Clustered Errors
A re-assessment of reporting bias in event-based violence data with respect to cell phone coverage
Testing the Surge
Can Hearts and Minds Be Bought? The Economics of Counterinsurgency in Iraq
Coethnic Bias and Wartime Informing
Do Working Men Rebel? Insurgency and Unemployment in Afghanistan, Iraq, and the Philippines
Does Indiscriminate Violence Incite Insurgent Attacks
Is the Phone Mightier Than the Sword? Cellphones and Insurgent Violence in Iraq
Who Takes the Blame? The Strategic Effects of Collateral Damage
A Closer Look at Reporting Bias in Conflict Event Data
Why do we punish? Deterrence and just deserts as motives for punishment
Bargaining, Fear, and Denial
Explaining Support for Combatants during Wartime
| Unique citing works | 28 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 2,8 |
| Citation span | 2016 - 2026 (11) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 23 |