Cascade or echo chamber? A complex agent-based simulation of voter turnout
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6314845 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Edward Fieldhouse (0000-0002-7533-1475, University of Manchester, corresponding author), Ed Fieldhouse (University of Manchester, Manchester, UK), Laurence Lessard-Phillips (0000-0001-5881-5569, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK), Bruce Edmonds (0000-0002-3903-2507, Manchester Metropolitan University Business School, Manchester, UK) |
| Year | 2016 |
| Volume | 22 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 241-256 |
| Publication date | 2016-03-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Party Politics (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1354-0688 • E-ISSN: 1460-3683 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/1354068815605671 |
| OpenAlex | W2324049591 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 11 |
| References cited | 59 |
Using an agent-based simulation of electoral participation, this paper examines the second order or cascade effects of an exogenous increase in turnout. Unlike most previous applications of agent-based modelling in political science, we adopt a descriptively complex rather than a simple model of behaviour. Experimenting with different levels of mobilisation allows estimation of the extent to which mobilisation spreads beyond the primary mobilisation target across the population as well as whether or not it survives over time. We argue that in a complex world cascade effects are smaller than previously thought. However, mobilisation effects can create secondary effects through habitual voting and increases in political interest and party affiliation, which reverberate over time, creating long-term spillover effects
Cascade · Computer security · Echo (communications protocol · Econometrics · Economics · Microeconomics · Order (exchange · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Population · Sociology · Spillover effect · Turnout · Voting · Computer Science · Demography · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Engineering · Law · Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence · Social Capital and Networks · Finance
Susceptibilities of Democratic Electoral Systems
Co-developing beliefs and social influence networks—towards understanding socio-cognitive processes like Brexit
Agent-Based Modeling in Political Decision Making
Different Modelling Purposes
Simulation for Interpretation
From echo chambers to ‘idea chambers’
Filtering out Euroskepticism
Disruptive Norms
Analytic Versus Computational Cognitive Models
Social Mobilization in Partisan Spaces
Parental Example as a Motivation for Turnout among Youths
Democracy and Decision
Voter Turnout
Citizens, Politics and Social Communication
Political Disagreement
Performance Politics and the British Voter
The Timeline of Presidential Elections
The Complexity of Cooperation: Agent-Based Models of Competition and Collaboration
The American Voter Revisited
To Vote or Not to Vote
Leaving the Nest and the Social Act of Voting
From Intentions to Actions
Voting
An economic theory of democracy
Voter Turnout and the Dynamics of Electoral Competition in Established Democracies since 1945
Indifference, alientation and rational decisions
Putting Voters in their Place
The People's Choice
The Voting Decision
The Companion Effect
Descriptive Social Norms and Motivation to Vote
Cognitive Mobilization and Partisan Dealignment in Advanced Industrial Democracies
The Effect of a Nonpartisan Get-Out-the-Vote Drive
Habitual Voting and Behavioral Turnout
The Long and the Short of it
Social Networks and Political Participation
Residential Mobility, Community Mobility, and Electoral Participation
Turnout as a Habit
The Effect of Social Conformity on Collective Voting Behavior
What Affects Voter Turnout
Rational Choice and Turnout
Who Is Mobilized to Vote? A Re‐Analysis of 11 Field Experiments
Does Voting History Matter? Analysing Persistence in Turnout
Economic Adversity and Voter Turnout
Voting May Be Habit‐Forming
What Small Spatial Scales Are Relevant as Electoral Contexts for Individual Voters? The Importance of the Household on Turnout at the 2001 General Election
The Effectiveness of Local Party Campaigns in 2005
Habit Formation and Political Behaviour
Shared Partisanship, Household Norms and Turnout
Political Talk Over Here, Over There, Over Time
Indirect Mobilization
Civic Norms, Social Sanctions, and Voter Turnout
Residential Mobility and Voter Turnout
Is Voting Contagious? Evidence from Two Field Experiments
A Behavioral Model of Turnout
Becoming a Habitual Voter
A Theory of the Calculus of Voting
Family Structure and Voter Turnout
From Factors to Actors
Sociology and Simulation
Dynamic Parties and Social Turnout
| Unique citing works | 11 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1,22 |
| Citation span | 2017 - 2026 (10) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 11 |