The End of the Democratic Era? 1994 and the Future of Congressional Election Research
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6340398 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Alan I Abramowitz (0000-0003-1649-3471, Emory University, corresponding author) |
| Year | 1995 |
| Volume | 48 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 873-889 |
| Publication date | 1995-12-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Political Research Quarterly (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1065-9129 • E-ISSN: 1938-274X |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/106591299504800411 |
| OpenAlex | W2025091115 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 15 |
| References cited | 14 |
Using data from the 1994 and earlier National Election Studies, this essay examines the causes and consequences of the Republican takeover of the House of Representatives and its implications for research on congression al elections. The dramatic Republican gains in the 1994 midterm election appear to reflect long-term shifts in the partisan and ideological loyalties of the U.S. electorate and not just short-term issues that favored the GOP Between 1990 and 1994, the American electorate became increasingly Republican and increasingly conservative while the Democratic party was perceived as increasingly liberal. Democrats will probably find it difficult to regain most of the seats that the party lost in 1994 because Republican identifiers outnumber Democratic identifiers by a wide margin in these districts. The era of Democratic domination may be giving way to a new era of intense competition for control of the House of Representatives. In light of these developments, more research is needed on the extent and consequences of partisan and ideological realignment in the U.S. electorate, variability among congressional contests, and the effects of congressional campaigns on voter decision making
Democracy · House of Representatives · Ideology · Margin (machine learning · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Sociology · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Law · Policy Transfer and Learning · Public Administration
The 2002 Midterm Election
Explaining and Predicting Midterm Congressional Election Outcomes
The Effect of Negative Campaign Advertising on Vote Choice
Gerrymandering on Georgia's Mind
The Effects of Redistricting on Voting Behavior in Incumbent U.S. House Elections, 1992—1994
It's Perot Stupid! The Legacy of the 1992 Perot Movement in the Major-Party System, 1994–2000
The Presidential Pulse and the 1994 Midterm Congressional Election
The Supreme Court as an electoral issue
Midterm Elections and Divided Government
Party-Orchestrated Activities for Legislative Party Goals
Do Constructed Explanations Persist? Reframing of the 1994 Republican Takeover of Congress
Mobilization Matters
Ideology, Electoral Incentives, and Congressional Politics
Toward a One-Party South
Microgeography of a Republican `Revolution
Senate Elections
Incumbency, Campaign Spending, and the Decline of Competition in U.S. House Elections
Economic Conditions and the Congressional Vote
Name Familiarity, Reputation, and the Incumbency Effect in a Congressional Election
Name Familiarity, Reputation, and the Incumbency Effect in a Congressional Election
Plus ça change
A Comparison of Voting for U.S. Senator and Representative in 1978
Party Government and the Saliency of Congress
Issues and Inheritance in the Formation of Party Identification
A Dynamic Simultaneous Equation Model of Electoral Choice
The Responsive Voter
Candidates and Parties in Congressional Elections
Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy
| Unique citing works | 15 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,52 |
| Citation span | 1997 - 2022 (26) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 14 |