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Valence Politics in Scotland

Towards an Explanation of the 2007 Election

Bibliographic Data

ID6344607
AuthorsRobert Johns (0000-0002-4543-7463, University of Strathclyde), James Mitchell (0000-0003-0532-4568, University of Strathclyde), David Denver (Lancaster University), Charles Pattie (0000-0003-4578-178X, University of Sheffield)
Year2009
Volume57
Issue1
Pages207-233
Publication date2009-03-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePolitical Studies (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0032-3217 • E-ISSN: 1467-9248
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1111/j.1467-9248.2008.00762.x
OpenAlexW2050388890
LanguageEN
Citations received41
References cited25

In this article we use evidence from the Scottish Election Study 2007 to build an explanation for the narrow SNP victory in the Holyrood election. The theoretical focus is on valence models of voting, which are increasingly important in Scotland following dealignment and ideological convergence in the party system, and as Scottish governments flex their executive muscle. Exploring the valence battleground reveals mixed but overall negative evaluations of Labour's performance in government, and suggests advantages for the SNP on issue competence, leadership and party image. Modelling party choice at the individual level shows that key valence variables – performance evaluations, economic competence and party image – have strong and significant effects, unlike hitherto prominent factors like religion, class and national identity. Constitutional preferences are important too, but their effects suggest a further valence link: the SNP's strong showing among voters seeking further devolution but opposed to independence is due in large part to its credentials as a battler for Scottish interests. In contrast, Labour's stand against ‘more powers’ may have tarnished its own reputation on that score. We conclude that the SNP edged home by persuading enough voters that it had a positive agenda for governing Scotland within the current constitutional arrangements, and that it could deliver on that agenda

Competence (human resources · Economics · General election · Ideology · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Valence (chemistry · Victory · Voting · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Political Systems and Governance · Psychology · Social Policy and Reform Studies · Social Psychology

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Unique citing works41
Citations per year2,28
Citation span2008 - 2026 (19)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 41

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