New Models for New Labour
The Political Economy of Labour Party Support, January 1992-April 1997
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 3393387 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Harold D Clarke (0000-0002-5410-1435, University of North Texas), Marianne C Stewart, Paul F Whiteley, Paul Whiteley (0000-0002-5640-9476, University of Sheffield) |
| Year | 1998 |
| Volume | 92 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 559-575 |
| Publication date | 1998-09-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | American Political Science Review (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0003-0554 • E-ISSN: 1537-5943 |
| Publisher | Cambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.2307/2585481 |
| OpenAlex | W2091685284 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 43 |
| References cited | 66 |
This article uses newly available British time-series data to analyze dynamic interrelationships among Labour vote intentions, perceptions that the Labour leader would make the best prime minister, and Labour party identification. Error-correction models reveal that best prime minister perceptions and party identification have important short- and long-run influences on vote intentions. Tests of rival models indicate that personal economic expectations outperform other economic evaluations in the vote intention and party identification analyses. National retrospective judgments perform well in analyses of best prime minister perceptions, and emotional reactions to economic conditions significantly influence these perceptions as well as party identification
Economics · Identification (biology · Labour economics · Perception · Political science · Politics · Prime (order theory · Prime minister · Culture, Economy, and Development Studies · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Psychology · Social and Cultural Dynamics
Pooled Cross-Sectional and Time Series Analyses, in Political Science
Political Choice in Britain
Affluence, Austerity and Electoral Change in Britain
Regressive Taxation and the Welfare State
Regions of War and Peace
Hunting the Snark
Politics, public opinion and privatization
The effect of voters’ economic perception, Brexit and campaigns on the evaluation of party leaders over time
Losing the Voters' Trust
The dynamics of partisanship in Britain
New Labour's new partisans
Sex, money and politics
Privatization and Citizen Preferences
The effects of scandalization in political news messages on political trust and message evaluation
Politics, Public Opinion, and Privatization in France
How Voters Evaluate Economic Competence
The Dynamics of Party Identification Reconsidered
Valence Politics in Scotland
Election Cycles and the Economic Voter
Assessing the Television Campaign
Politicians, Scandals, and Trust in Government
More Misinformed than Myopic
Race, Class and Underlying Trends in Party Support in South Africa
Ethnicity and governing party support in Africa
Electoral Support for Islamic Parties in the Middle East and North Africa
Public Opinion, the War in Iraq, and Presidential Accountability
Opposition Party Support in Africa
Modeling the interaction of parties, activists and voters
Political Accountability and the Room to Maneuver
The Decline of Parties in the Minds of Citizens
How Lasting Is Voter Gratitude? An Analysis of the Short‐ and Long‐Term Electoral Returns to Beneficial Policy
The Dynamics of Political Attention
Valence as Macro-Competence
Do British Party Politics Exhibit Cycles
Fractional integration methods in political science
Has age replaced class in British Elections?A hierarchical age-period-cohort analysis
How to win a landslide by really trying
Leaders, voters and activists in the elections in Great Britain 2005 and 2010
Mobilizing versus chasing
Major's lesser (not minor) effects
Not always second order
A valence model of political competition in Britain
Priming time for Blair? Media priming, Iraq, and leadership evaluations in Britain
Elections and the political order
Time Series Analysis
Dynamic Econometrics
A Simple Test for Heteroscedasticity and Random Coefficient Variation
Spurious regressions in econometrics
The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis
A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity
Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root
Decade of Dealignment
Political Change in Britain
Reasoning and Choice
Dealignment and the Dynamics of Partisanship in Britain
The Electoral Impact of Press Coverage of the British Economy, 1979–87
Understanding Political Change
Testing for a Unit Root in a Time Series With a Changing Mean
On the Death and Resurrection of Class Voting
Government Popularity and the Next General Election
Labour's last chance? The 1992 election and beyond
Econometrics-Alchemy or Science
Social psychology, demographic variables, and linear regression
The Structure of Emotional Response
Judging Inflation and Unemployment
Presidents and the Prospective Year
The (Un)Importance of Party Leaders
Presidents and the Prospective Voter
Dealignment of Degree
Presidents and the Prospective Year
Measurement and the dynamics of party identification
Comparing Dynamic Specifications
Error Correction, Attractors, and Cointegration
An Essay on Cointegration and Error Correction Models
Of Forests and Trees
Error Correction, Attitude Persistence, and Executive Rewards and Punishments
The Methodology of Cointegration
What Goes Around Comes Around
The Conservative Campaign
Emotional Reactions to the Economy
Near-Integrated Data and the Analysis of Political Relationships
Issue Preferences, Socialization, and the Evolution of Party Identification
The Personal and Political Underpinnings of Economic Forecasts
Partisan Dealignment in Britain 1964–1974
Economic Evaluations, Prime Ministerial Approval and Governing Party Support
The Politics of Intergovernmental Transfers in Post-Soviet Russia
Prospective and Comparative or Retrospective and Individual? Party Leaders and Party Support in Great Britain
Tory Trends
Partisan Dealignment and the Dynamics of Independence in the American Electorate, 1953–88
Question Form and Context Effects in the Measurement of Partisanship
It was party identification all along
The demise of party identification theory
Party Identification, Realignment, and Party Voting
The Dynamics of Aggregate Partisanship
Anxiety, Enthusiasm, and the Vote
Question Wording and Macropartisanship
The Dynamics of Party Identification
Macropartisanship
Macropartisanship
| Unique citing works | 43 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1,54 |
| Citation span | 1998 - 2023 (26) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 43 |