Not always second order
Subnational elections, national-level vote intentions, and volatility spillovers in a multi-level electoral system
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 4171192 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Michael M Bechtel (0000-0002-6080-5367, Washington University in St. Louis, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2012 |
| Volume | 31 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 170-183 |
| Publication date | 2012-03-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Electoral Studies (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0261-3794 • E-ISSN: 1873-6890 |
| Publisher | Elsevier BV (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.electstud.2011.10.005 |
| OpenAlex | W2017071141 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 23 |
| References cited | 54 |
Context (archaeology · Econometrics · Economics · Geography · Order (exchange · Political science · Politics · Public economics · Volatility (finance · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Political Influence and Corporate Strategies · Social Policy and Reform Studies · Finance
Los determinantes del voto desde la dinámica local
Electoral Externalities in Federations – Evidence from German Opinion Polls
More Scottish than Welsh? Understanding the 2011 Devolved Elections in Scotland and Wales
Beyond the second-order national elections model
Asset or Liability? The Effect of National Approval Ratings on Regional Election Results
Electoral strategies in multilevel systems
Taking Variance Seriously
Second order“-Effekte und Determinanten der individuellen Wahlentscheidung bei Landtagswahlen
Volatilidad electoral y alternancia política a nivel subnacional en Uruguay, 2000-2015
The National Effects of Subnational Representation
Regional spillover into third‐order European elections
Natural Disasters and Political Participation
Predictably Unpredictable
Electoral Cycle Fluctuations in Partisanship
Assessing multi-level congruence in voting in comparative perspective
How Party System Fragmentation has Altered Political Opposition in Established Democracies
Federal-level Government Participation and State-level Electoral Performance
The bottom-up spillover effect for radical right parties
European Parliamentary Elections and National Party Policy Change
Does Compulsory Voting Increase Support for Leftist Policy
The impact of incumbency on turnout. Evidence from Italian municipalities
Expected utility or learned familiarity? The formation of voters' coalition preferences
The limits of partisan loyalty
Partisan Politics, Divided Government, and the Economy
Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation
Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity
Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation and inference in dynamic models with time-varying covariances
Supersized votes
Nine Second‐order National Elections – A Conceptual Framework for the Analysis of European Election Results
Why Are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls So Variable When Votes Are So Predictable
The Mobilization of U.S. State Electorates in the 1988 and 1990 Elections
Eschewing Obfuscation? Campaigns and the Perception of U.S. Senate Incumbents
The Gubernatorial Coattails Effect
Reexamining the "Minimal Effects" Model in Recent Presidential Campaigns
The Timeline of Presidential Election Campaigns
Of Footnotes, Missing Data, and Lessons for 50-State Data Collection
The Electoral Cycle and the Asymmetry of Government and Opposition Popularity
Message or Medium? Campaign Learning During the 2001 British General Election
Campaign competition and policy responsiveness in direct legislation elections
Partisanship and Incumbency in Presidential Elections
Understanding Interaction Models
Another Look at Connections Across German Elections
Electoral balancing, divided government and ‘midterm’ loss in German elections
Diplomacy and domestic politics
Party Competition and Government Formation in Multilevel Settings
Immigration and changes in the French party system
Party Identification, Retrospective Voting, and Moderating Elections in a Federal System
Interaction Effects in Mixed-Member Electoral Systems
Campaign Learning and Vote Determinants
How Lasting Is Voter Gratitude? An Analysis of the Short‐ and Long‐Term Electoral Returns to Beneficial Policy
A Cross-National Analysis of Economic Voting
Economic Retrospective Voting in American National Elections
Interpreting Heteroscedasticity
Time-Varying Parameter Regression Models
Divided We Stand – Unified We Govern? Cohabitation and Regime Voting in the 2002 French Elections
Does Campaign Length Matter? Testing for Cross-National Effects
Partisan Dynamics and the Volatility of Presidential Approval
Electoral Surprise and the Midterm Loss in US Congressional Elections
Campaign Events, the Media and the Prospects of Victory
Divided Government in the States
Modeling and Interpreting Interactive Hypotheses in Regression Analysis
New Perspectives and Evidence on Political Communication and Campaign Effects
History, heterogeneity, and presidential approval
Candidate effects and spill-over in mixed systems
Economic voting
Barometer elections in comparative perspective
Contamination effects and the number of parties in mixed-superposition electoral systems
Incumbency as a source of spillover effects in mixed electoral systems
Ticket-balancing in mixed-member proportional systems. Comparing sub-national elections in Germany
The campaign dynamics of economic voting
How voters work around institutions
Honecker's Revenge
Domestic Opposition and Signaling in International Crises
New Models for New Labour
| Unique citing works | 23 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1,64 |
| Citation span | 2012 - 2026 (15) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 23 |