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Ethnicity and Voting Patterns in South Africa

Bibliographic Data

ID6345704
AuthorsHenry Lever (University of the Witwatersrand, corresponding author)
Year1979
Volume27
Issue3
Pages458-468
Publication date1979-09-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePolitical Studies (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0032-3217 • E-ISSN: 1467-9248
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1111/j.1467-9248.1979.tb01215.x
OpenAlexW2049076895
LanguageEN
Citations received4
References cited3

There is some controversy concerning the role of ethnicity in South African electoral behaviour. Since the society is segmented on ethnic lines it is to be expected that ethnicity would play a crucial role in affecting political choices. Some writers have gone so far as to suggest that ethnicity is the only significant factor affecting voting preferences. The controversy arose at a time when Goodman's method of log-linear analysis for hierarchical models had not yet been developed. This method provides the most powerful tool available for the multivariate analysis of categorical data. A re-analysis of previously published research using Goodman's method shows that ethnicity is not the only significant factor having a bearing on voting preferences. The first four-way table of voting preferences in South Africa is presented. The order of importance of the variables affecting party choice is: (1) ethnicity (2) socio-economic status (3) age of the voter. The recursive model suggested by the analysis explains approximately 98 per cent of the data

Categorical variable · Ethnic group · Political science · Politics · Sociology · Statistics · Voting · Voting behavior · Law · linguistics and terminology studies · Mathematics · Social Development and Education Research

  • Race and ethnicity

    Carlson Anyangwe•International Journal of African…•2012

  • Voting intentions in Africa

    Michael Bratton, Ravi Bhavnani et al.•Commonwealth and Comparative…•2012

  • Nationalized incumbents and regional challengers

    Open Access•Michael Wahman•Party Politics•2015

  • Systematic, Quantitative Political Science in South Africa

    Robert Mattes•Politikon•2013

  • Power, Law, and Race Relations in South Africa

    Open Access•Julius Lewin•The Political Quarterly•1959

  • A Modified Multiple Regression Approach to the Analysis of Dichotomous Variables

    Leo A Goodman•American Sociological Review•1972

  • Factors Underlying Change in the South African General Election of 1970

    Henry Lever•British Journal of Sociology•1972

Citations per year0.29
Citation span2012 - 2015 (4)
Highly citedNo

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