Testing Duvergerʼs law
Strategic voting in Mongolian elections, 1996–2004
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6357971 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Pavel Maškarinec (0000-0002-5336-4073, Jan Evangelista Purkyně University in Ústí nad Labem, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2017 |
| Volume | 33 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 145-160 |
| Publication date | 2017-03-04 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Post-Soviet Affairs (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1060-586X • E-ISSN: 1938-2855 |
| Publisher | Informa UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1080/1060586x.2015.1119553 |
| OpenAlex | W2337569993 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 5 |
| References cited | 45 |
Recent empirical research on voting in single-member districts, based on extensive data-sets of election results, has demonstrated the general (although not universal) validity of Duverger’s law (i.e. that the average outcome under plurality rule is generally consistent with two-party competition). This article tests Duverger’s law through analysis of a data-set covering Mongolian parliamentary elections in the period of 1996–2004. The results show consistent, but not linear, movement towards the Duvergerian equilibrium in Mongolia, with large part of the districts conforming to the Duvergerian norm of two-party competition. Duverger treated his law merely as an important tendency but insisted that social forces are the main determinants of the number of political parties. The main factor that limited Mongolian voters’ rationality, and created problems with their strategic ability to distinguish and abandon hopeless candidates, was weak institutionalization of the Mongolian party system. Finally, I prove that the emergence of bipolar party politics was not an immediate process and will continue over a series of elections, supporting the so-called “learning hypothesis
Duverger's law · Economics · General election · Law and economics · Norm (philosophy · Parliament · Political science · Politics · Rationality · Split-ticket voting · Voting · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Religion and Society Interactions
Elections in Asia and the Pacific : A Data Handbook
Democracies
Making Votes Count
Modern Mongolia
Predicting Party Sizes
The political consequences of electoral laws
The Formation of National Party Systems
Electoral Systems and Party Systems in East Asia
Mongolia
The Inner Asian anomaly
Mongolia in 2006
Mongolia in 1993
Mongolia in 2005
Mongolia's New Constitution
Mongolia in 2008
Mongolia in 1996
Extension of the Nagayama Triangle for Visualization of Party Strengths
Analysing multiparty competition in plurality rule elections
Comparing and Contrasting the Uses of Two Graphical Tools for Displaying Patterns of Multiparty Competition
Duverger's Law and the Size of the Indian Party System
Mongolia
Institutional Patterns in the New Democracies of Asia
Mongolia
Duverger's Law is Working in Italy
Effective” Number of Parties
Rehabilitating Duverger’s Theory
Duverger's Law and the Meaning of Canadian Exceptionalism
Structure and Behaviour
Was Duverger Correct? Single-Member District Election Outcomes in Fifty-three Countries
The Theoretical Limits of Maximum Distortion
Party system types and party system institutionalization
Historical Dictionary of Mongolia
Strategic voting in established and new democracies
Parliamentary and presidential elections in Mongolia, 2012 and 2013
Learning to make votes count
The Great State Hural election in Mongolia, June 2004
The political context and Duverger's theory
Party Aggregation and the Number of Parties in India and the United States
The Two-party System and Duverger's Law
Mongolia
| Unique citing works | 5 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,63 |
| Citation span | 2018 - 2025 (8) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 5 |