Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

Economic Roots of Civil Wars and Revolutions in the Contemporary World

Bibliographic Data

ID6410022
AuthorsCarles Boix (0000-0002-2154-2701, Princeton University, corresponding author)
Year2008
Volume60
Issue3
Pages390-437
Publication date2008-04-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueWorld Politics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0043-8871 • E-ISSN: 1086-3338
PublisherProject MUSE (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1017/s0043887100009047
OpenAlexW2029890963
LanguageEN
Citations received81
References cited49

To explain the distribution of civil wars, guerrilla warfare, and revolutionary outbreaks, the literature on modern political violence has shifted, broadly speaking, from a modernization perspective that emphasized the role of material conflict and of grievances to a more recent research program that stresses the geographical and organizational opportunities that insurgents may have to engage in violence. Drawing on those lines of inquiry equally, this article offers an integrated analytical model that considers both the motives and the opportunities of states and rebels. Civil wars, guerrillas, and revolutionary outbreaks are seen as a result of the nature and distribution of wealth in each country. Systematic and organized violent conflicts are most likely in economies where inequality is high and wealth is mostly immobile, that is, in societies where those worse off would benefit substantially from expropriating all assets. Violence is conditional on the mobilizational and organizational capacity of challengers and on the state capacity to control its territory. The theory is tested on data on civil wars from 1850 to 1999 for the whole world and on data on guerrilla warfare and revolutionary episodes spanning the years from 1919 to 1997 across all countries

Citizen journalism · Civil Conflict · Civil society · Development economics · Distribution (mathematics · Economics · Economy · Guerrilla warfare · Inequality · Modernization theory · Perspective (graphical · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Sociology · State (computer science · Corruption and Economic Development · Culture, Economy, and Development Studies · Law · Political Conflict and Governance

  • Democracy and Nationalism in Southeast Asia

    Open Access•Jacques Bertrand•Democracy and Nationalism in…•2021

  • The Rise of Partisan CSR

    Open Access•Vassiliki Bamiatzi, Steven A Brieger et al.•Journal of Business Ethics•2025

  • Estudios de paz y conflictos

    Open Access•Cécile Mouly•Estudios de Paz y Conflictos•2022

  • The Roots of Ethnic Cleansing in Europe

    H Zeynep Bulutgil•Roots of Ethnic Cleansing in Europe•2016

  • Civilian Action in Conflict Settings

    Open Access•Patricia Justino•IDS Bulletin•2019

  • Inequality, Grievances, and Civil War

    Open Access•Lars-Erik Cederman, Kristian Skrede Gleditsch et al.•Inequality, Grievances, and Civil…•2013

  • Choosing Sides

    Open Access•Roya Talibova•Comparative Political Studies•2026

  • The distributional impact of the Sierra Leone conflict on household welfare

    Open Access•Barry Reilly, Hannah Sam•IZA Journal of Development and…•2022

  • Inequality, Culture, and Violence

    Open Access•Solveig Hillesund, Gudrun Østby•Journal of Global Security Studies•2026

  • Technological innovation system and the wider context

    Open Access•Hans-Erik Edsand•Technology in Society•2019

  • The impacts of armed conflict on human development

    Open Access•Paola Vesco, Ghassan Baliki et al.•World Development•2025

  • The Neglected Role of Inequality in Explanations of the Collapse of Ancient States

    Open Access•Malcolm Stanley Levitt•Cliodynamics The Journal of…•2019

  • War, regime collapse, and women's suffrage

    Open Access•Shinya Sasaoka•Asian Journal of Comparative…•2026

  • Weapons of the dissatisfied? Perceptions of socioeconomic inequality, redistributive preference, and political protest

    Open Access•Jung In Jo•International Area Studies Review•2016

  • R2P and Prevention

    Open Access•Alexandra Böhm, George W Brown•Global Responsibility to Protect•2020

  • Inclusive institutions and economic growth

    Tianyang Xi•China Economic Journal•2017

  • Regimes that Obstruct

    Roderic Alley•Journal of Intervention and…•2015

  • Ethnic Redistribution in Bipolar Societies

    Open Access•Brian Shoup•Perspectives on Politics•2011

  • On Growth Projections in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

    Open Access•Halvard Buhaug, Jonas Vestby•Global Environmental Politics•2019

  • State Capacity, Inequality and Inter-Group Violence in Sub-Saharan Africa

    Ida Rudolfsen•Civil Wars•2017

  • An Economic Ranking of the US Presidents, 1789–2009

    Open Access•Mark Zachary Taylor•PS Political Science & Politics•2012

  • Environmental stress and agricultural landownership in Africa

    Open Access•Andrew M Linke, Andreas Forø Tollefsen•Global Environmental Change•2021

  • Jekyll or Hyde

    Oliver Richmond•Cambridge Review of International…•2013

  • The costs of coercion

    Natasha Hamilton-Hart•The Pacific Review•2013

  • Explaining the Development–Civil War Relationship

    Open Access•Helge Holtermann•Conflict Management and Peace…•2012

  • Rural–urban migration, inequality and urban social disorder

    Open Access•Gudrun Østby•Conflict Management and Peace…•2015

  • Why do some poor countries see armed conflict while others do not? A dual sector approach

    Open Access•Jonas Vestby, Halvard Buhaug et al.•World Development•2020

  • The Politics of Extractivism

    Open Access•Simón Bornschier, Manuel Vogt•World Development•2023

  • Blending Top-Down Federalism with Bottom-Up Engagement to Reduce Inequality in Ethiopia

    Open Access•Qaiser Khan, Qaiser M Khan et al.•World Development•2017

  • Socioeconomic Inequality and Communal Conflict

    Hanne Fjelde, Gudrun Østby•International Interactions•2014

  • Is There a Tradeoff Between Democratization and Stability? A Typological Analysis of the Third‐Wavers, 1974–2014

    Open Access•Yu Liu•Social Science Quarterly•2017

  • The middle class and the modalities of political protest

    Open Access•Raj M Desai, Anders Olofsgård et al.•Social Science Quarterly•2023

  • Economic Inequality and Nonviolent Protest

    Open Access•Frederick Solt•Social Science Quarterly•2015

  • Arms and Elections

    Joshua Alley•The Journal of Politics•2024

  • Predicting armed conflict using protest data

    Open Access•Espen Geelmuyden Rød, Håvard Hegre et al.•Journal of Peace Research•2023

  • Land Reform Versus Repression in Counterinsurgency

    Open Access•T David Mason, Jesse Hamner et al.•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2024

  • Land reform and rural conflict. Evidence from 1930s Spain

    Open Access•Sergi Basco, Jordi Domenech et al.•Explorations in Economic History•2023

  • Seeds of peace? Land reform and civil war recurrence following negotiated settlements

    Open Access•Eric Keels, T David Mason•Cooperation and Conflict•2018

  • Social cleavages, wartime experience, and ethnic cleansing in Europe

    Open Access•H Zeynep Bulutgil•Journal of Peace Research•2015

  • State Networks and Intra-Ethnic Group Variation in the 2011 Syrian Uprising

    Open Access•Kevin Mazur•Comparative Political Studies•2019

  • Square Pegs in Round Holes

    Open Access•Halvard Buhaug, Lars-Erik Cederman et al.•International Studies Quarterly•2013

  • Horizontal Inequalities and Ethnonationalist Civil War

    Open Access•Lars-Erik Cederman, Nils B Weidmann et al.•American Political Science Review•2011

  • The Arc of Modernization

    Open Access•J Tyson Chatagnier, Emanuele Castelli•Political Science Research and…•2019

  • The Logic of Illicit Flows in Armed Conflict

    Open Access•Annette Idler•World Politics•2020

  • A Conditional Model of Local Income Shock and Civil Conflict

    Open Access•Halvard Buhaug, Mihai Croicu et al.•The Journal of Politics•2021

  • Autocratic Institutions and Civil Conflict Contagion

    Jessica Maves, Andrea Braithwaite et al.•The Journal of Politics•2013

  • Mobilization, Repression, and Revolution

    Mehdi Shadmehr•The Journal of Politics•2014

  • Time Is Power

    Scott Abramson, Scott F Abramson et al.•The Journal of Politics•2016

  • Preferential Trade Agreements, Income Inequality, and Authoritarian Survival

    Open Access•Eric C C Chang, Wen-Chin Wu•Political Research Quarterly•2016

  • Electoral authoritarianism and democracy

    Open Access•Michael K Miller•Journal of Theoretical Politics•2013

  • It’s the Local Economy, Stupid! Geographic Wealth Dispersion and Conflict Outbreak Location

    Open Access•Halvard Buhaug, Kristian Skrede Gleditsch et al.•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2011

  • The Diffusion of Nonviolent Campaigns

    Open Access•Kristian Skrede Gleditsch, M Rivera•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2017

  • Redistributive Preferences and Protests in Latin America

    Open Access•Patricia Justino, Bruno Martorano•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2019

  • Poor Prospects—Not Inequality—Motivate Political Violence

    Open Access•Henrikas Bartusevičius, Florian Van Leeuwen•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2022

  • Lockdown and Unrest

    Open Access•Francesco Iacoella, Patricia Justino et al.•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2025

  • Social Mobility and Political Instability

    Open Access•Christian Houle•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2019

  • Economic Grievances and Civil War

    Open Access•Jack Paine•International Studies Quarterly•2019

  • Rural Grievances, Landholding Inequality, and Civil Conflict

    Heidi Thomson, Henry Thomson•International Studies Quarterly•2016

  • The Great Recession, Inequality and Occupy Protests around the World

    Open Access•Alper H Yagci•Government and Opposition•2017

  • Appeasing Workers without Great Loss

    Hsu Yumin Wang•Comparative Politics•2024

  • Views of Economic Inequality in Latin America

    Open Access•Brian D Cramer, Robert R Kaufman•Comparative Political Studies•2011

  • Leftist Insurgency in Democracies

    Open Access•Paul Staniland•Comparative Political Studies•2021

  • Origins and Persistence of Economic Inequality

    Carles Boix•Annual Review of Political Science•2010

  • No Business Like Firc Business

    Open Access•Paul Zachary, Kathleen Deloughery et al.•British Journal of Political…•2017

  • Electoral Institutions and Electoral Violence in Sub-Saharan Africa

    Open Access•Hanne Fjelde, Kristine Höglund•British Journal of Political…•2016

  • Inequality and Redistribution

    Open Access•Robert R Kaufman•PS Political Science & Politics•2009

  • The Conditional Relationship between Inequality and Development

    Open Access•Carles Boix•PS Political Science & Politics•2009

  • Lessons of New Democracies for China

    Open Access•Yu Liu•Journal of Chinese Political…•2018

  • Agrarian Inequality and Civil War Revisited

    Open Access•Francisco Gutierrez-Sanín, Francisco Gutierrez•Geography Compass•2015

  • Grievances, economic wealth, and civil conflict

    Open Access•Vally Koubi, Tobias Böhmelt•Journal of Peace Research•2014

  • Why class inequality breeds coups but not civil wars

    Open Access•Christian Houle•Journal of Peace Research•2016

  • Fraud, grievances, and post-election protests in competitive authoritarian regimes

    Open Access•Espen Geelmuyden Rød•Electoral Studies•2019

  • Inequality and Political Representation in the Philippines and Singapore

    Gary Rodan, Garry Rodan•Journal of Contemporary Asia•2021

  • Thinking outside the (temporal) box to explain protracted intrastate conflict

    Open Access•Joel Blaxland•Journal of Peace Research•2021

  • Democracy and armed conflict

    Open Access•Håvard Hegre•Journal of Peace Research•2014

  • Democracy, Development, and the International System

    Open Access•Carles Boix•American Political Science Review•2011

  • The Semblance of Democratic Revolution

    Open Access•Mark R Beissinger•American Political Science Review•2013

  • Inequality and Regime Change

    Open Access•Stephan Haggard, Robert R Kaufman•American Political Science Review•2012

  • Aid as a Tool against Insurgency

    Open Access•Randall Sexton, Renard Sexton•American Political Science Review•2016

  • Struggling to Perform the State

    José Ciro Martínez, Brent Eng•International Political Sociology•2017

  • Estimating Effectiveness of the Control of Violence and Socioeconomic Development in Colombia

    Open Access•Alexander Cotte Poveda•Social Indicators Research•2012

  • Political Order in Changing Societies

    Samuel P Huntington•Political Order in Changing…•1969

  • Structure and change in economic history

    Douglass Cecil North•Structure and change in economic…•1981

  • From mobilization to revolution

    Charles Tilly•From mobilization to revolution•1978

  • Prospects of Democracy

    Tatu Vanhanen•Prospects of Democracy•2002

  • The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development

    Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson et al.•American Economic Review•2001

  • Fractionalization

    Open Access•Alberto Alesina, Arnaud Devleeschauwer et al.•Journal of Economic Growth•2003

  • Ethnonationalism

    Walker Connor•Ethnonationalism•1994

  • Power and Prosperity

    Open Access•R E Elson•End of the Peasantry in Southeast…•1997

  • A New Data Set Measuring Income Inequality

    Klaus Deininger, Lyn Squire•The World Bank Economic Review•1996

  • Greed and grievance in civil war

    Paul Collier•Oxford Economic Papers•2004

  • Growth, income distribution, and democracy

    Open Access•Roberto Perotti•Journal of Economic Growth•1996

  • Inequality Among World Citizens

    François Bourguignon, Christian Morrisson•American Economic Review•2002

  • The Logic of Violence in Civil War

    Open Access•Stathis N Kalyva, Stathis N Kalyvas•Logic of Violence in Civil War•2006

  • Democracy and Redistribution

    Carles Boix•Choice Reviews Online•2005

  • The Correlates of War Data On War

    Open Access•Meredith Reid Sarkees, Phil Schafer•Conflict Management and Peace…•2000

  • A Rational Theory of the Size of Government

    Allan H Meltzer, Scott F Richard•Journal of Political Economy•1981

  • Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict

    Edward Miguel, Shanker Satyanath et al.•Journal of Political Economy•2004

  • A framework for analyzing the state in economic history

    Open Access•Douglass C North•Explorations in Economic History•1979

  • Advanced Econometrics

    A C Harvey, Takeshi Amemiya•Economica•1987

  • The Revolution. Social-Change Nexus

    Ted Robert Gurr•Comparative Politics•1973

  • Natural Resources, Conflict, and Conflict Resolution

    Open Access•Michael Humphreys, Macartan Humphreys•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2005

  • Social Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy

    Barrington Moore, Jr Barrington Moore•Social Origins of Dictatorship…•1974

  • Ethnic groups in conflict

    Donald L Horowitz•Ethnic groups in conflict•2000

  • Making Democracy Work

    Robert D Putnam, Robert Leonardi et al.•Making Democracy Work•1994

  • Inequality and Instability

    Open Access•Bruce Russett, Bruce M Russett•World Politics•1964

  • Sensitivity Analysis of Empirical Results on Civil War Onset

    Open Access•Håvard Hegre, Nicholas Sambanis•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2006

  • Primary Commodity Exports and Civil War

    Open Access•James D Fearon•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2005

  • Bones of Contention

    Open Access•Paul R Hensel, Stephen Mark Mitchell et al.•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2008

  • A Closer Look at Oil, Diamonds, and Civil War

    Michael L Ro, Michael Ro et al.•Annual Review of Political Science•2006

  • The quality of government

    Rafael La Porta•The Journal of Law Economics and…•1999

  • Why do Some Countries Produce So Much More Output Per Worker than Others

    R E Hall, C I Jones•The Quarterly Journal of Economics•1999

  • States and Social Revolutions

    Open Access•T Skocpol•States and Social Revolutions•2015

  • What Is Civil War

    Open Access•Nicholas Sambanis•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2004

  • Do Institutions Cause Growth

    Open Access•Edward L Glaeser, Rafael La Porta et al.•Journal of Economic Growth•2004

  • Income Inequality, Regime Repressiveness, and Political Violence

    Edward N Muller•American Sociological Review•1985

  • Armed Conflict 1946-2001

    Open Access•Nils Petter Gleditsch, Peter Wallensteen et al.•Journal of Peace Research•2002

  • Rulers and the Ruled

    Open Access•Manus I Midlarsky•American Political Science Review•1988

  • Ethnicity, Insurgency, and Civil War

    James D Fearon, David D Laitin•American Political Science Review•2003

  • Blood and Debt

    Miguel Angel Centeno•Blood and Debt•2015

  • States and Social Revolutions

    Open Access•T Skocpol•States and Social Revolutions•1979

Unique citing works81
Citations per year4,76
Citation span2009 - 2026 (18)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 81

Tools

Open DOISci-Hub
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae