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The Spiral of Silence in the 1948 Presidential Election

Bibliographic Data

ID7529335
AuthorsDaniel G Mcdonald (corresponding author), Carroll J Glynn, Sei-Hill Kim (0000-0002-8846-6360), Sei‐hill Kim, Ronald E Ostman
Year2001
Volume28
Issue2
Pages139-155
Publication date2001-04-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueCommunication Research (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0093-6502 • E-ISSN: 1552-3810
PublisherSAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/009365001028002001
OpenAlexW2022335140
LanguageEN
Citations received15
References cited22

Noelle-Neumann's spiral of silence is tested with data from the 1948 Elmira election study. Results indicate that support for the theory and trends in the data are consistent with expectations for the spiral of silence as an additional explanation for the famous election misprediction. Statistical tests affirm Noelle-Neumann's suggestion that social isolation is associated with fear of isolation and provide partial support for the idea that social isolation interacts with fear of isolation in the spiral of silence effect

Aesthetics · Art · Isolation (microbiology · Mathematical analysis · Political science · Politics · Presidential election · Silence · Social isolation · Spiral (railway · Law · Mathematics · Media Influence and Health · Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence · Psychology · Social Psychology

  • A Spiral of Silence for Some

    Open Access•Jörg Matthes, Kimberly Rios Morrison et al.•Communication Research•2010

  • The “Spiral of Silence” Revisited

    Open Access•Jörg Matthes, Johannes Knoll et al.•Communication Research•2018

  • Exploring the Forms of Self-Censorship

    Open Access•Andrew F Hayes•Journal of Communication•2007

  • Are Chinese Netizens Willing to Speak Out? The Spiral of Silence in Public Reactions to Controversial Food Safety Issues on Social Media

    Open Access•Linjia Xu, Jiaying Liu et al.•International Journal of…•2021

  • Silencing the voices of discontent

    Open Access•Abdullah Bakhash, Jamel Zran et al.•Journal of Arab & Muslim Media…•2024

  • The association between the interviewers’ and the respondents’ political attitudes in a telephone survey

    Ádám Stefkovics•International Journal of Social…•2023

  • Speaking Up or Silencing Out in the Face of Rising Right-Wing Populism

    Open Access•Frédéric Olivier Thurre, Jenny Gale et al.•International Journal of Public…•2019

  • Testing Fear of Isolation as a Causal Mechanism

    Sung‐Hoon Kim, S-H Kim•International Journal of Public…•2012

  • Observing the "Spiral" in the Spiral of Silence

    Jörg Matthes•International Journal of Public…•2014

  • Hungary's "Black Sunday" of Public Opinion Research

    Tamás Bodor•International Journal of Public…•2011

  • Learning to Think Politically

    Wayne Journell, Melissa Walker Beeson et al.•Theory & Research in Social…•2015

  • The Issue of Timing and Opinion Congruity in Spiral of Silence Research

    Tamás Bodor•International Journal of Public…•2012

  • Collective Dynamics of the Spiral of Silence

    Dongyoung Sohn, Nick Geidner•International Journal of Public…•2015

  • Spiral of Silence in the Social Media Era

    Open Access•Dongyoung Sohn•Communication Research•2019

  • What Affects the Spiral of Silence and the Hard Core on Twitter? An Analysis of the Nuclear Power Issue in Japan

    Open Access•Kakuko Miyata, H Yamamoto et al.•American Behavioral Scientist•2015

  • Applied Multiple Regression/Correlation Analysis for the Behavioral Sciences

    Jacob Cohen, Cohen Cohen et al.•Applied Multiple Regression/Correla…•2013

  • Applied Multiple Regression/Correlation Analysis for the Behavioral Sciences

    Jacob Cohen, Patricia Cohen et al.•Applied Multiple Regression/Correla…•2014

  • The Spiral of Silence a Theory of Public Opinion

    Open Access•Elisabeth Noelle-Neumann•Journal of Communication•1974

  • The People’s Choice. How the Voter Makes Up His Mind in a Presidential Campaign

    Open Access•Monika Taddicken•Schlüsselwerke der Medienwirkungsfo…•2016

  • The spiral of silence

    Elisabeth Noelle-Neumann•The spiral of silence•1984

  • Social groups, selective perception, and behavioral contagion in public opinion

    Open Access•Michael A Krassa•Social Networks•1988

  • The Theory of Public Opinion

    Elisabeth Noelle-Neumann•Annals of the International…•1991

  • Reference Group Influence on Opinion Expression

    Hayg Oshagan•International Journal of Public…•1996

  • Mass Media and Political Outspokenness in Hong Kong

    Lars Willnat•International Journal of Public…•1996

  • "A Reply to "The Pollsters

    George Gallup•Public Opinion Quarterly•1949

  • Participation in the Forthcoming Election

    Open Access•Harold F Gosnell•The Annals of the American…•1952

  • Votes in the Making-A Preview

    Helen Dinerman•Public Opinion Quarterly•1948

  • Reference Groups, Opinion Intensity, and Public Opinion Expression

    Carroll J Glynn, E Park•International Journal of Public…•1997

  • The People's Choice

    Paul F Lazarsfeld, Bernard Berelson et al.•The People's Choice•1968

  • Public Opinion du Jour

    Carroll J Glynn, Jack M Mcleod•Public Opinion Quarterly•1984

  • Last-Minute Swing in New York City Presidential Vote

    Ellen E Brennan•Public Opinion Quarterly•1949

  • The Gallup Poll and the 1950 Election

    George Gallup•Public Opinion Quarterly•1951

  • The Social Psycology of Opinion Formation

    E L Hartley, Eleanor Hartley•Public Opinion Quarterly•1950

Unique citing works15
Citations per year0,79
Citation span2007 - 2024 (18)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 15

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