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Is Lowest‐Low Fertility in Europe Explained by the Postponement of Childbearing

Bibliographic Data

ID7980348
AuthorsTomáš Sobotka (0000-0002-6418-7105, SOAS University of London, corresponding author)
Year2004
Volume30
Issue2
Pages195-220
Publication date2004-06-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePopulation and Development Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0098-7921 • E-ISSN: 1728-4457
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/j.1728-4457.2004.010_1.x
OpenAlexW2131176575
LanguageEN
Citations received125
References cited27

In 2001, more than half of Europe's population lived in countries with a total fertility rate (TFR) at or below 1.3. Use of the adjusted TFR proposed by Bongaarts and Feeney, which takes into account the effects of the ongoing fertility postponement, changes the European fertility map considerably. All 27 countries analyzed had adjusted TFRs in 1995–2000 above 1.4. Thus, the “lowest‐low” fertility in Europe may be interpreted as a temporary consequence of the increasing age at motherhood. However, substantial regional differences in fertility level across Europe persist even when the differential pace of fertility postponement is taken into account. The estimated adjusted TFRs in Europe (1.63) and in the 25‐member European Union (1.71) contrast with the TFR levels of 1.40 and 1.46, respectively. These seemingly small differences have vastly different implications in terms of the potential long‐term pace of population decline

Birth rate · Demographic economics · Developed country · Economics · European union · Family planning · Fertility · Geography · International economics · Pace · Population · Postponement · Projections of population growth · Research methodology · Sociology · Sub-replacement fertility · Total fertility rate · Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences · Demography · Family Dynamics and Relationships · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management

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Unique citing works125
Citations per year5,95
Citation span2005 - 2026 (22)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedYes
Citation typesNeutral: 110

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