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Seventy-two tests of the sequential lineup superiority effect

A meta-analysis and policy discussion

Bibliographic Data

ID7984387
AuthorsNancy K Steblay (0000-0002-9539-7041, Augsburg University), Jennifer E Dysart (John Jay College of Criminal Justice), Gary L Wells (0000-0002-5723-8998, Iowa State University)
Year2011
Volume17
Issue1
Pages99-139
Publication date2011-02-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenuePsychology Public Policy and Law (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1076-8971 • E-ISSN: 1939-1528
PublisherAmerican Psychological Association (APA) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1037/a0021650
OpenAlexW2123345158
LanguageEN
Citations received12
References cited7

A decade ago, a meta-analysis showed that identification of a suspect from a sequential lineup versus a simultaneous lineup was more diagnostic of guilt (Steblay, Dysart, Fulero, & Lindsay, 2001). Since then, controversy and debate regarding sequential superiority has emerged. We report the results of a new meta-analysis involving 72 tests of simultaneous and sequential lineups from 23 different labs involving 13,143 participant-witnesses. The results are very similar to the 2001 results in showing that the sequential lineup is less likely to result in an identification of the suspect, but also more diagnostic of guilt than is the simultaneous lineup. An examination of the full diagnostic design dataset (27 tests that used the full simultaneous/sequential culprit-present/culprit-absent design) showed that the average gap in correct identifications favoring the simultaneous lineup over the sequential lineup—8%—is smaller than the 15% figure obtained from the 2001 meta-analysis (and from the current full 72-test dataset). The lower error rate incurred for culprit-absent lineups with use of a sequential format remains consistent across the years, with 22% fewer errors than simultaneous lineups. A Bayesian analysis shows that the posterior probability of guilt following an identification of the suspect is higher for the sequential lineup across the entire base rate for culprit presence/absence. New ways to think about policy issues are discussed

Cognitive psychology · Criminology · Culprit · Data mining · Eyewitness identification · Meta-analysis · Psychiatry · Suspect · Computer Science · Deception detection and forensic psychology · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics · Memory Processes and Influences · Psychology · Social Psychology

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Unique citing works12
Citations per year0,86
Citation span2012 - 2026 (15)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 9

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