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On generating birth rates from skeletal populations

Bibliographic Data

ID8320686
AuthorsSheryl Horowitz (Stanford University), George J Armelagos (University of Massachusetts Amherst), George Armelagos, Ken Wachter (University of California, Berkeley)
Year1988
Volume76
Issue2
Pages189-196
Publication date1988-06-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Journal of Physical Anthropology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0002-9483 • E-ISSN: 1096-8644
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1002/ajpa.1330760207
PMID3414790
OpenAlexW2102428682
LanguageEN
Citations received30
References cited3

Sattenspiel and Harpending (1983, American Antiquity 48(3): 489–498) have stated that the life expectancy at birth ( e ) which paleodemographers calculate from skeletal population data is actually the mean age at death (ā d ) of the population. Yet, only when a population is neither growing or declining (i.e., is stationary) are these two statistics equivalent. They further assert, that the mean age at the death (ā d ) is more accurately interpreted as a measure of the fertility of the population. While we support their statement that since paleodemographic calculations use skeletal evidence of death, these do not a priori produce life expectancy values, we disagree that the inverse of the birth rate is a substitute for the average age at death (ā d ). The following pages demonstrate that: 1) An exact expression for the relationship between ā d and 1/ b can be derived using standard stable population theory, wherein ā d = 1/ b is shown to be a special case. 2) There are only two cases when ā d = 1/ b is an identity. 3) Whereas empirically ā d and 1/ b appear to correspond closely, this is an artifact of heavy mortality at early ages, which is a characteristic of the populations being considered. 4) Without insights into the behavioral dynamics of the situation any assessment of the demographics of the population is questionable

Birth rate · Birth–death process · Demographic analysis · Fertility · Life expectancy · Mortality rate · Population · Sociology · Statistics · Archaeology and ancient environmental studies · Demography · Forensic Anthropology and Bioarchaeology Studies · Mathematics · Paleopathology and ancient diseases

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Unique citing works30
Citations per year0,83
Citation span1990 - 2021 (32)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 29

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