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Estimating mortality in skeletal populations

Influence of the growth rate on the interpretation of levels and trends during the transition to agriculture

Bibliographic Data

ID8316065
AuthorsS Ryan Johansson (University of California, Berkeley), Sheryl Horowitz (University of California, Berkeley)
Year1986
Volume71
Issue2
Pages233-250
Publication date1986-10-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Journal of Physical Anthropology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0002-9483 • E-ISSN: 1096-8644
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1002/ajpa.1330710211
PMID3541647
OpenAlexW2062774779
LanguageEN
Citations received76
References cited34

Traditional paleodemographic methods of estimating mortality have been based on unrealistic assumptions about the prevalence of closed and stationary populations. When a living closed population was growing, the mean age at death of its skeletal survivors will be shifted below its true life expectancy. For declining populations, the mean age at death will be higher than true underlying life expectancy at birth. The faster the rate of growth, the larger and more curvilinear is the displacement. Mortality estimates can only be extracted from skeletal populations via an independent estimate of the growth rate. Fertility levels, however, can be estimated directly. The empirical importance of growth rate‐dependent mortality estimates is demonstrated by reinterpreting mean‐age‐at‐death data from several populations before and after the agricultural revolution; with detailed consideration given to the Old World populations of Acsadi and Nemeskeri and a New World population from central Illinois

Biology · Demographic transition · Economics · Estimation · Family planning · Fertility · Life expectancy · Mortality rate · Population · Population growth · Research methodology · Sociology · Total fertility rate · Vital rates · Archaeology and ancient environmental studies · Demography · Forensic Anthropology and Bioarchaeology Studies · Paleopathology and ancient diseases

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Unique citing works76
Citations per year2
Citation span1988 - 2025 (38)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 69

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