Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

Model life table fitting by maximum likelihood estimation

A procedure to reconstruct paleodemographic characteristics from skeletal age distributions

Bibliographic Data

ID8315083
AuthorsRichard R Paine (0000-0001-6996-7402, Pennsylvania State University, corresponding author)
Year1989
Volume79
Issue1
Pages51-61
Publication date1989-05-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Journal of Physical Anthropology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0002-9483 • E-ISSN: 1096-8644
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1002/ajpa.1330790106
PMID2750878
OpenAlexW2003578501
LanguageEN
Citations received40
References cited11

A procedure is presented that uses the regression coefficients for the Coale and Demeny west model life tables to model selected demographic characteristics from skeletal age‐at‐death distributions. Model death distributions were constructed and compared to a given skeletal distribution, using methods of maximum likelihood estimation to determine the best fit. Two chisquare tests are employed to evaluate the degree of fit. The resulting model includes estimates of demographic characteristics including gross reproductive rate, crude birth rate and life expectancy. The procedure is applied to three archaeological skeletal samples as test cases: two from eastern North America and one from Mexico. These display a range of correspondence (between the best fitting model and the data) from good to poor. The proposed procedure is a potentially powerful tool for both reconstructing paleodemographic rates and illuminating differences between typical human patterns and those found in archaeological populations

Econometrics · Estimation · Life expectancy · Maximum likelihood · Population · Range (aeronautics) · Regression · Regression analysis · Statistics · Demography · Engineering · Forensic Anthropology and Bioarchaeology Studies · Mathematics · Paleopathology and ancient diseases · Pleistocene-Era Hominins and Archaeology

  • Palaeodemography of Early Iron Age Toutswe Communities in Botswana

    Morongwa N Mosothwane, M Steyn•The South African Archaeological…•2004

  • Mortality models for paleodemography

    Open Access•James W Wood, Darryl J Holman et al.•Paleodemography•2002

  • Stressing out in medieval Denmark

    Open Access•Julia A Gamble, Jesper L Boldsen et al.•International Journal of…•2017

  • Trends in mortality and biological stress in a medieval polish urban population

    Open Access•Tracy K Betsinger, N Dewitte et al.•International Journal of…•2017

  • The Osteological Paradox 20 Years Later

    Open Access•N Dewitte, C M Stojanowski•Journal of Archaeological Research•2015

  • Hydrodynamic sorting in a coastal marine skeletal assemblage

    Open Access•C M Stojanowski•International Journal of…•2002

  • On estimating mortalities from osteological age data

    Open Access•Claes-Henrik Siven, C H Siven•International Journal of…•1991

  • Urban and rural mortality and survival in Medieval England

    Open Access•Brittany S Walter, N Dewitte•Annals of Human Biology•2016

  • A Mathematical Projection of Population Growth in the Copan Valley, Honduras, A.D. 400-800

    Open Access•Richard R Paine, Anncorinne Freter et al.•Latin American Antiquity•1996

  • Exploring total fertility rates and potential sample bias in the Early Medieval Period

    Open Access•B R Taylor, Christine M Cave et al.•Journal of Archaeological Science…•2025

  • Demographic anthropology

    Open Access•N Dewitte•American Journal of Physical…•2018

  • Has the transition to agriculture reshaped the demographic structure of prehistoric populations? New evidence from the Levant

    Open Access•Vered Eshed, Avi Gopher et al.•American Journal of Physical…•2004

  • Known unknowns and the osteological paradox

    Open Access•Amber S Anderson, N Dewitte•International Journal of…•2025

  • Assessing the reliability of paleodemographic fertility estimators using simulated skeletal distributions

    Open Access•Richard R Paine, Henry C Harpending et al.•American Journal of Physical…•1996

  • Paleodemography

    Open Access•L W Konigsberg, Susan R Frankenberg•Evolutionary Anthropology Issues…•1994

  • Effect of sample bias on paleodemographic fertility estimates

    Open Access•Richard R Paine, Henry C Harpending et al.•American Journal of Physical…•1998

  • La paléodémographie

    Luc Buchet, Isabelle Séguy•Annales de Démographie Historique•2002

  • Demographic trends and biological status of historic populations from Central Poland

    Open Access•Alicja Budnik, Grażyna Liczbińska et al.•American Journal of Physical…•2004

  • Using a multimethod life history approach to navigate the osteological paradox

    Open Access•Weston C Mccool, Amber S Anderson et al.•American Journal of Physical…•2021

  • Reconstructing relationships among mortality, status, and gender at the Medieval Gilbertine Priory of St. Andrew, Fishergate, York

    Open Access•Amy Sullivan•American Journal of Physical…•2004

  • Paradox and promise

    Open Access•Jeremy J Wilson•American Journal of Physical…•2014

  • Maximum likelihood estimate of life expectancy in the prehistoric Jomon

    Open Access•Tomohiko Sasaki, Osamu Kondo•American Journal of Physical…•2016

  • Setting the stage for medieval plague

    Open Access•N Dewitte•American Journal of Physical…•2015

  • Reconstruction of paleodemographic characteristics from skeletal age at death distributions

    Open Access•Tomohito Nagaoka, Kazuaki Hirata•American Journal of Physical…•2007

  • Frontiers in the bioarchaeology of stress and disease

    Open Access•Haagen D Klaus•American Journal of Physical…•2014

  • Differential skeletal preservation at Windover Pond

    Open Access•C M Stojanowski, Ryan M Seidemann et al.•American Journal of Physical…•2002

  • Using the life history model to set the stage(s) of growth and senescence in bioarchaeology and paleodemography

    Open Access•Mirjana Roksandic, Stephanie D Armstrong•American Journal of Physical…•2011

  • The D0‐14/D ratio

    Open Access•C Mcfadden, Marc F Oxenham•American Journal of Physical…•2018

  • Estimation of age structure in anthropological demography

    Open Access•L W Konigsberg, Susan R Frankenberg•American Journal of Physical…•1992

  • Mortality, fertility, and the OY ratio in a model hunter–gatherer system

    Open Access•Andrew White, Andrew A White•American Journal of Physical…•2014

  • Urban survival, population dynamics and historical transitions in Thessaloniki (316 BC-AD 1500)

    Open Access•Asterios Aidonis, Christina Kakasa et al.•Archaeological and Anthropological…•2026

  • Model Life Tables as a Measure of Bias in the Grasshopper Pueblo Skeletal Series

    Open Access•Richard R Paine•American Antiquity•1989

  • Warfare in Late Prehistoric West-Central Illinois

    Open Access•G R Milner, Eve Anderson et al.•American Antiquity•1991

  • Identification of the Archaeological 'Invisible Elderly

    Open Access•C Cave, Christine M Cave et al.•International Journal of…•2016

  • Fitting to a Distribution of Deaths by Age with Application to Paleodemography

    Noël Bonneuil•Current Anthropology•2005

  • Recent Advances in Method and Theory in Paleodemography

    Richard S Meindl, Katherine F Russell•Annual Review of Anthropology•1998

  • If a population crashes in prehistory, and there is no paleodemographer there to hear it, does it make a sound

    Open Access•Richard R Paine•American Journal of Physical…•2000

  • Causes of early human population growth

    Open Access•Renee Pennington, Renee L Pennington•American Journal of Physical…•1996

  • A Comparative Study of Norse Palaeodemography in the North Atlantic

    Britta J Van Tiel, C Mcfadden et al.•Journal of the North Atlantic•2024

  • Growing Up Roman

    Nathan Pilkington•The Journal of Interdisciplinary…•2013

  • History of human life span and mortality

    Gyorgy Acsadi•History of human life span and…•1970

  • The Demographic Evolution of Human Populations

    R H Ward, K M Wei et al.•Population and Development Review•1977

  • Population, Resources, Environment, Issues in Human Ecology

    Granville H Sewell•American Journal of Public Health•1971

  • Estimating mortality in skeletal populations

    Open Access•S Ryan Johansson, Sheryl Horowitz•American Journal of Physical…•1986

  • Health and agricultural intensification in the prehistoric valley of Oaxaca, Mexico

    Open Access•Denise C Hodges•American Journal of Physical…•1987

  • Long-Term Demographic Change

    G M Feinman, A Kowalewski et al.•Journal of Field Archaeology•1985

  • Pattern matching of age-at-death distributions in paleodemographic analysis

    Open Access•G R Milner, Dorothy A Humpf et al.•American Journal of Physical…•1989

  • Biological Aspects of Demography

    Bernard Benjamin, W Bra et al.•Population Studies•1971

  • Stable Populations and Skeletal Age

    Open Access•Lisa Sattenspiel, Henry Harpending•American Antiquity•1983

Unique citing works40
Citations per year1,08
Citation span1989 - 2026 (38)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 39

Tools

Open DOISci-Hub
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae