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Coherence and Common Causes

Against Relevance-Sensitive Measures of Coherence

Bibliographic Data

ID8396245
AuthorsJakob Koscholke (0000-0003-2730-1295, Carl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg, corresponding author), Michael Schippers (Carl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg, corresponding author)
Year2019
Volume70
Issue3
Pages771-785
Publication date2019-09-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe British Journal for the Philosophy of Science (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0007-0882 • E-ISSN: 1464-3537
PublisherOxford University Press (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1093/bjps/axx003
OpenAlexW2963881192
LanguageEN
References cited27

Changing weather conditions and barometer changes usually coincide. Accordingly, the propositions that my barometer falls and that the weather conditions deteriorate are quite coherent—especially under the assumption that there is a drop in atmospheric pressure. Nevertheless, scenarios like these involving common causes turn out to be highly problematic for a prominent class of probabilistic coherence measures, namely, those explicating coherence based on the idea of relevance-sensitivity. In this article, we show that none of these measures accords with the intuition that in the light of a common cause, two propositions referring to the cause’s effects should turn out to be coherent. This result casts doubts on the view that these measures can be considered proper explications of the concept of coherence. 1. Introduction2. Relevance-Sensitive Coherence Measures3. Common Causes, Screening-off, and Coherence4. Discussion 4.1. Multiple explications of coherence4.2. Conditionalization versus set expansion5. Conclusion

Barometer · Cognitive psychology · Coherence (philosophical gambling strategy) · Epistemology · Geography · Intuition · Meteorology · Political science · Probabilistic logic · Relevance (law) · Statistics · Computer Science · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics · Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics · Law · Mathematics · Philosophy · Philosophy and History of Science · Psychology

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