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Is Entropy Relevant to the Asymmetry Between Retrodiction and Prediction

Bibliographic Data

ID8398356
AuthorsMartin Barrett (0000-0002-6932-9563, University of Wisconsin–Madison), Elliott Sober (0000-0003-3130-1263, University of Wisconsin–Madison)
Year1992
Volume43
Issue2
Pages141-160
Publication date1992-06-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe British Journal for the Philosophy of Science (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0007-0882 • E-ISSN: 1464-3537
PublisherOxford University Press (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1093/bjps/43.2.141
OpenAlexW2091299350
LanguageEN
Citations received7
References cited5

The idea that the changing entropy of a system is relevant to explaining why we know more about the system's past than about its future has been criticized on several fronts. This paper assesses the criticisms and clarifies the epistemology of the inference problem. It deploys a Markov process model to investigate the relationship between entropy and temporally asymmetric inference.

Econometrics · Entropy (arrow of time) · Epistemology · Inference · Mathematical economics · Physics · Principle of maximum entropy · Statistical physics · Artificial Intelligence · Complex Systems and Decision Making · Computer Science · Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI · Mathematics · Neural Networks and Applications · Philosophy

  • Temporally Asymmetric Inference in a Markov Process

    Open Access•Elliott Sober•Philosophy of Science•1991

  • Comment on Barrett and Sober's Paper on the Relevance of Entropy to Retrodiction and Prediction

    K G Denbigh•The British Journal for the…•1994

  • Information and Meaning in Evolutionary Processes

    Open Access•William F Harms•Information and Meaning in…•2004

  • Hard presentism

    Open Access•Patrick Dawson•Synthese•2021

  • The Use of Information Theory in Epistemology

    Open Access•William F Harms•Philosophy of Science•1998

  • The Direction of Time

    Steven F Savitt•The British Journal for the…•1996

  • Information and Inaccuracy

    William Roche, Tomoji Shogenji•The British Journal for the…•2018

  • Philosophy and Scientific Realism

    J J C Smart•Philosophy and Scientific Realism•2008

  • Temporally Asymmetric Inference in a Markov Process

    Open Access•Elliott Sober•Philosophy of Science•1991

  • An Attempt to Add a Little Direction to “The Problem of the Direction of Time”

    Open Access•John Earman•Philosophy of Science•1974

  • Jacques Bernoulli's Art of Conjecturing

    Ian Hacking•The British Journal for the…•1971

Unique citing works7
Citations per year0,2
Citation span1991 - 2021 (31)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 6

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