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China's Dominance Hypothesis and the Emergence of a Tri-polar Global Currency System

Bibliographic Data

ID9706462
AuthorsMarcel Fratzscher (0000-0001-6592-6646, DIW Berlin, Humboldt-University and Centre for Economic and Policy Research), Arnaud Mehl (0000-0002-7870-1830, European Central Bank)
Year2014
Volume124
Issue581
Pages1343-1370
Publication date2014-12-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Economic Journal (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0013-0133 • E-ISSN: 1468-0297
PublisherOxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1111/ecoj.12098
OpenAlexW2169635647
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited38

This study assesses whether the international monetary system is already tri‐polar by testing what we call China's ‘dominance hypothesis’, i.e. whether the renminbi already influences exchange rate and monetary policies strongly in Asia, a direct reference to the old ‘German dominance hypothesis’ which ascribed to the German mark a dominant role in Europe in the 1980s. Using a global factor model of exchange rates and a complementary event study, we find evidence that the renminbi has become a key driver of currency movements in Asia since the mid‐2000s, especially since the global financial crisis, in line with China's dominance hypothesis

Biology · China · Currency · Dominance (genetics · Economics · Exchange rate · Geography · German · International economics · Monetary economics · Renminbi · Economic Theory and Policy · Global Financial Crisis and Policies · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

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Unique citing works3
Citations per year0,5
Citation span2020 - 2024 (5)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 3

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