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The Timing and Persistence of Fiscal Policy Impacts on Growth

Evidence from OECD Countries

Bibliographic Data

ID9714840
AuthorsNorman Gemmell (0000-0001-6419-4260, The Treasury, Wellington, New Zealand), Richard Kneller (0000-0002-4542-5358, University of Nottingham), Ismael Sanz (0000-0003-1286-4124, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos)
Year2011
Volume121
Issue550
PagesF33-F58
Publication date2011-02-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Economic Journal (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0013-0133 • E-ISSN: 1468-0297
PublisherOxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1111/j.1468-0297.2010.02414.x
OpenAlexW1573089200
LanguageEN
Citations received17
References cited43

The literatures testing for aggregate short-run or long‐run growth impacts of fiscal policy use quite different methodologies. The former generally focuses on temporary fiscal ‘shocks’; the latter typically have no short‐run dynamics or assume homogeneity. We use regression methods that treat heterogeneous short‐run dynamics explicitly within a long‐run model. Results suggest that previously estimated ‘long‐run’ growth effects of fiscal policy are typically achieved quickly, consistent with results from short‐run models. In principle these short‐run effects ‘persist’; in practice regular fiscal policy changes in OECD countries mean that persistent increases or decreases in growth rates are rare

Econometrics · Economics · Fiscal policy · Homogeneity (statistics · Macroeconomics · Monetary economics · Persistence (discontinuity · Short run · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

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Unique citing works17
Citations per year1.06
Citation span2010 - 2026 (17)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 17

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