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Media, Spillovers and Social Norms

The Electoral Impact of Anti-Far-Right Protests in the 2002 French Election

Bibliographic Data

ID9718428
AuthorsNicolas Lagios (0000-0002-9693-7935, Université Libre de Bruxelles), Pierre-Guillaume Méon (Université Libre de Bruxelles), Pierre‐guillaume Méon (0000-0003-1740-2922, Université Libre de Bruxelles), Ilan Tojerow (0000-0002-5148-5402, Université Libre de Bruxelles)
Year2025
Volume135
Issue669
Pages1575-1608
Publication date2025-06-30
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Economic Journal (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0013-0133 • E-ISSN: 1468-0297
PublisherOxford University Press (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1093/ej/ueaf001
OpenAlexW4406123523
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited46

We study the electoral impact of protesting against the far right by investigating the demonstrations held during the 2002 French presidential elections against far-right candidate Jean-Marie Le Pen. Instrumenting rally attendance with rainfall while factoring in that some municipalities never host protests, we find that larger protests reduced the number of votes for Le Pen and abstention, while increasing the number of votes for the incumbent president, Jacques Chirac. We find that the effect spread out beyond the municipalities that hosted protests and worked through media exposure. Using survey data, we show that protests reduced support for the policies advocated by Le Pen. Moreover, the positive effect on voting for Chirac resulted from right-wing voters switching from Le Pen to Chirac and left-wing voters not casting a blank ballot, implying that some voters voted expressively. Finally, we show that protests reduced the social desirability of voting for Le Pen

Attendance · Ballot · Demographic economics · Economics · Far right · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Presidential election · Right wing · Voting · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Media Influence and Politics · Populism, Right-Wing Movements

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year1
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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