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Subjective Expectations and Income Processes in Rural India

Bibliographic Data

ID9727067
AuthorsOrazio Attanasio (0000-0003-3693-4393, University College London, NBER and BREAD), Britta Augsburg (0000-0002-8864-7751, EDePo@The Institute for Fiscal Studies)
Year2016
Volume83
Issue331
Pages416-442
Publication date2016-07-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEconomica (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0013-0427 • E-ISSN: 1468-0335
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/ecca.12190
OpenAlexW2331270706
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited36

This paper uses unique primary data on directly elicited individual subjective expectations to analyse and characterize the process that generates the income of poor, rural Indian households. We validate and use responses to subjective expectations questions and a parametric assumption to fit a household‐specific probability distribution for future income. Combining computed moments from this distribution with data for actual current income, we specify and estimate a dynamic model of household income. We find that our households face a very persistent income process. Our paper is one of the first that uses subjective expectations data to model income processes

Demographic economics · Distribution (mathematics) · Econometrics · Economics · Geography · Household income · Income distribution · Inequality · Parametric statistics · Process (computing) · Statistics · Survey data collection · Agricultural risk and resilience · Computer Science · Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets · Income, Poverty, and Inequality · Mathematics

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Unique citing works3
Citations per year0,3
Citation span2016 - 2025 (10)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 2

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