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Nonexperimental Versus Experimental Estimates of Earnings Impacts

Bibliographic Data

ID9756344
AuthorsSteven Glazerman (0000-0002-7862-1654, Mathematica Policy Research, corresponding author), Dan Levy (0000-0003-0630-6660, Mathematica Policy Research), Dan M Levy (Mathematica Policy Research, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention), David Myers (0000-0002-2845-4093, Mathematica Policy Research)
Year2003
Volume589
Issue1
Pages63-93
Publication date2003-09-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0002-7162 • E-ISSN: 1552-3349
PublisherSAGE Publications (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/0002716203254879
OpenAlexW1967271316
LanguageEN
Citations received84
References cited15

To assess nonexperimental (NX) evaluation methods in the context of welfare, job training, and employment services programs, the authors reexamined the results of twelve case studies intended to replicate impact estimates from an experimental evaluation by using NX methods. They found that the NX methods sometimes came close to replicating experimentally derived results but often produced estimates that differed by policy-relevant margins, which the authors interpret as estimates of bias. Although the authors identified several study design factors associated with smaller discrepancies, no combination of factors would consistently eliminate discrepancies. Even with a large number of impact estimates, the positive and negative bias estimates did not always cancel each other out. Thus, it was difficult to identify an aggregation strategy that consistently removed bias while answering a focused question about earnings impacts of a program. They conclude that although the empirical evidence from this literature can be used in the context of training and welfare programs to improve NX research designs, it cannot on its own justify the use of such designs

Actuarial science · Context (archaeology · Earnings · Econometrics · Economics · Empirical research · Estimation · Replicate · Statistics · Welfare · Accounting · Advanced Causal Inference Techniques · Computer Science · Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics · Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life · Mathematics

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Unique citing works84
Citations per year3,5
Citation span2002 - 2026 (25)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 83

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