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Do school grades matter for growing up? Testing the predictive validity of school performance for outcomes in emerging adulthood

Bibliographic Data

ID9789531
AuthorsAlexandra Starr (0000-0002-5282-797X, University of York, corresponding author), Zainab F Haider (0000-0002-0151-7074, University of Leeds), Sophie Von Stumm (0000-0002-0447-5471, University of York)
Year2024
Volume60
Issue4
Pages665-679
Publication date2024-04-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueDevelopmental Psychology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0012-1649 • E-ISSN: 1939-0599
PublisherAmerican Psychological Association (APA) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1037/dev0001548
PMID38386379
OpenAlexW4392043905
LanguageEN
Citations received7

In putatively meritocratic societies, doing well in school is a pivotal precondition for accessing further and higher education, which, in turn, has a pervasive, long-term influence on adulthood development. Yet, doing well in school may also predict "real-life success" outside formal education settings and independent of the educational qualifications that a person attains. Such predictions are likely to become salient during emerging adulthood, a life period characterized by career explorations and social-emotional adjustment. Here, we tested the predictive validity of end-of-compulsory school grades at age 16 years in a U.K.-representative population cohort sample of up to N = 6,488, who were born between 1994 and 1996, for a broad range of occupational, financial, and social-emotional outcomes at age 23. End-of-compulsory school performance accounted for 1%-20% of the variance across occupational, financial, and social-emotional outcomes in emerging adulthood. Educational attainment attenuated these associations only slightly, with school grades at age 16 accounting for variance in emerging adulthood outcomes independent of later educational attainment. We found that school grades were equally predictive for boys' and girls' outcomes. In children from lower family socioeconomic status (SES) backgrounds, school grades were more predictive of their educational attainment, financial attitudes, and anxiety compared to higher SES children, with varying effect sizes (i.e., 0.3%-4.2%). Our findings suggest that school-leaving grades facilitate the successful transition from adolescence to adulthood, independent of educational attainment, and that they might enable children from low-SES families to compensate for some of their background disadvantages. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved)

Cohort · Developmental psychology · Educational attainment · Longitudinal study · Population · Predictive validity · Socioeconomic status · Cognitive Abilities and Testing · Demography · Early Childhood Education and Development · Medicine · Psychological and Temporal Perspectives Research · Psychology

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Unique citing works7
Citations per year3,5
Citation span2024 - 2026 (3)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 7

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