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Enhancing the policy relevance of exploratory scenarios

Generic approach and application to disaster risk reduction

Bibliographic Data

ID9844244
AuthorsGraeme A Riddell, Graeme Riddell (0000-0002-1592-5749, Research Institute for Knowledge Systems, corresponding author), Hedwig van Delden (0000-0001-6976-4832, Research Institute for Knowledge Systems), Graeme C Dandy (0000-0001-5846-7365, The University of Adelaide), Aaron C Zecchin (0000-0001-8908-7023, The University of Adelaide), Holger R Maier (0000-0002-0277-6887, The University of Adelaide)
Year2018
Volume99
Pages1-15
Publication date2018-05-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueFutures (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0016-3287 • E-ISSN: 1873-6378
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.futures.2018.03.006
OpenAlexW2792618910
LanguageEN
Citations received11
References cited67

Business · Citizen journalism · Civil engineering · Disaster risk reduction · Environmental planning · Environmental resource management · Flooding (psychology · Framing (construction · Geography · Natural disaster · Political science · Process management · Relevance (law · Resilience (materials science · Risk analysis (engineering · Sustainability · Computer Science · Disaster Management and Resilience · Engineering · Environmental Science · Flood Risk Assessment and Management · Sustainability and Climate Change Governance

  • Whose future? Citizens shaping green–blue infrastructure scenarios in European cities – a review and proposed framework

    Open Access•Matthew G Kirby, Mel Woods et al.•Sustainable Cities and Society•2026

  • Tomorrow's disasters – Embedding foresight principles into disaster risk assessment and treatment

    Open Access•Graeme A Riddell, Graeme Riddell et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2020

  • Developing a "Disaster Scenario" to prepare for the possibility of disruptions to maritime transportation serving coastal communities of Vancouver Island

    Open Access•Samsul Islam, Floris Goerlandt et al.•Marine Policy•2023

  • A greener Green Belt? Co-developing exploratory scenarios for contentious peri-urban landscapes

    Open Access•Matthew G Kirby, Alister Scott et al.•Landscape and Urban Planning•2025

  • Health workforce planning should be strategy or policy-driven

    Open Access•Gareth H Rees, G D Willis et al.•Health Policy•2025

  • Policy scenarios as an instrument for policymakers

    Open Access•David Wright, B C Stahl et al.•Technological Forecasting and…•2020

  • FutureScapes

    Open Access•Supriya Krishnan, Hedwig van Delden et al.•Environment and Planning B Urban…•2026

  • A framework for the mitigation and adaptation from heat-related risks to infrastructure

    Open Access•Douglas A G Radford, Thomas C Lawler et al.•Sustainable Cities and Society•2022

  • Exploring the future of fishery conflict through narrative scenarios

    Open Access•Jos Spijkers, Andrew Merrie et al.•One Earth•2021

  • Managing systemic risk in emergency management, organizational resilience and climate change adaptation

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  • New urban planning challenges under emerging autonomous mobility

    Open Access•Soledad Nogués, Esther González-González et al.•Land Use Policy•2020

  • Thinking inside the box

    Open Access•Benjamin P Bryant, Robert J Lempert•Technological Forecasting and…•2010

  • Integrated management of natural resources

    Open Access•Art Dewulf, Marc Craps et al.•Water Science & Technology•2005

  • Scenario visualisation for participatory landscape planning—a study from Denmark

    Open Access•Bärbel Tress, Gunther Tress•Landscape and Urban Planning•2003

  • Scales of governance and environmental justice for adaptation and mitigation of climate change

    Open Access•W Neil Adger•Journal of International…•2001

  • Participatory scenario development for environmental management

    Open Access•Myer S Reed, Jasper O Kenter et al.•Journal of Environmental Management•2013

  • A new scenario framework for climate change research

    Open Access•Brian C O''Neill, Brian C O’Neill et al.•Climatic Change•2014

  • An uncertain future, deep uncertainty, scenarios, robustness and adaptation

    Open Access•Holger R Maier, Joseph H A Guillaume et al.•Environmental Modelling & Software•2016

  • Stakeholder participation for environmental management

    Open Access•Mark S Reed•Biological Conservation•2008

  • Evolving practices in environmental scenarios

    Open Access•Angela Wilkinson, Esther Eidinow•Environmental Research Letters•2008

  • Predicting, deciding, learning

    Open Access•M Hulme, Dessai et al.•Environmental Research Letters•2008

  • Useful global-change scenarios

    Open Access•Edward A Parson•Environmental Research Letters•2008

  • A critical review of the application of environmental scenario exercises

    Open Access•Joshua Wodak, Josh Wodak et al.•Futures•2015

  • Developing qualitative scenario storylines for environmental change assessment

    Open Access•Mark Rounsevell, Patrick Metzger•Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews…•2010

  • Exploring the potential of combining participative backcasting and exploratory scenarios for robust strategies

    Open Access•Jilske Olda de Bruin, Kasper Kok et al.•Forest Policy and Economics•2017

  • The need for and use of socio-economic scenarios for climate change analysis

    Open Access•Elmar Kriegler, Brian C O''Neill et al.•Global Environmental Change•2012

  • Does public policy support or undermine climate change adaptation? Exploring policy interplay across different scales of governance

    Open Access•Kate Urwin, Andrew J Jordan et al.•Global Environmental Change•2007

  • Challenges to scenario-guided adaptive action on food security under climate change

    Open Access•Joost Vervoort, Philip K Thornton et al.•Global Environmental Change•2014

  • The roads ahead

    Open Access•Brian C O''Neill, Elmar Kriegler et al.•Global Environmental Change•2015

  • Scenarios in Global Environmental Assessments

    Open Access•Detlef P Van Vuuren, Marcel Kok et al.•Global Environmental Change•2012

  • The rising tide

    Open Access•Gordon Mcgranahan, Deborah Balk et al.•Environment and Urbanization•2007

  • Conceptualizing sustainable development

    Open Access•Bert J M de Vries, A C Petersen•Ecological Economics•2009

  • Digital Europe 2030

    Open Access•Gianluca Misuraca, David Broster et al.•Government Information Quarterly•2011

  • Participatory scenario construction in land use analysis

    Open Access•Mita Patel, Kasper Kok et al.•Land Use Policy•2007

  • Moving out or living on a mound? Jointly planning a Dutch flood adaptation project

    Open Access•Dik Roth, Madelinde Winnubst•Land Use Policy•2014

  • Visions for a sustainable Europe

    Open Access•Jan Rotmans, Marjolein van Asselt et al.•Futures•2000

  • Multi-scale narratives from an IA perspective

    Open Access•Kasper Kok, Dale S Rothman et al.•Futures•2006

  • Choosing diverse sets of plausible scenarios in multidimensional exploratory futures techniques

    Open Access•Steven Lord, Ariella Helfgott et al.•Futures•2016

  • Barriers and levers to future exploration in practice experiences in policy-making

    Open Access•Nicole Rijkens–Klomp, Nicole Rijkens-Klomp•Futures•2012

  • Scenario planning

    Open Access•Thomas J Chermack, Laura M Coons•Futures•2015

  • Multi-scale narratives from an IA perspective

    Open Access•Kasper Kok, Mita Patel et al.•Futures•2006

  • How Personal Judgment Influences Scenario Development

    Open Access•Patrick Metzger, Marc J Metzger et al.•Conservation Ecology•2010

  • Integrating Collaboration, Adaptive Management, and Scenario-Planning

    Open Access•Jeremy K Caves, Gitanjali S Bodner et al.•Conservation Ecology•2013

  • Increasing the effectiveness of participatory scenario development through codesign

    Open Access•Marissa F Mcbride, Kathleen F Lambert et al.•Conservation Ecology•2017

  • Increased Market Integration, Value, and Ecological Knowledge of Tea Agroforests in the Akha Highlands of Southwest China

    Open Access•Selena Ahmed, J R Stepp et al.•Conservation Ecology•2010

  • Managing Change toward Adaptive Water Management through Social Learning

    Open Access•Claudia Pahl-Wostl, Claudia Pahl‐wostl et al.•Conservation Ecology•2007

  • Population Composition, Migration and Inequality

    William Donner, Héctor Rodríguez•Social Forces•2008

Unique citing works11
Citations per year1,83
Citation span2020 - 2026 (7)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 11

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