Refugees and Elections
The Effects of Syrians on Voting Behavior in Turkey
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 9953418 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Ali Fisunoğlu (0000-0002-4108-9457, Carlos III ‐ Juan March Institute of Social Sciences, corresponding author), Deniz Ş Sert (Özyeğin University), Deniz Şenol Sert (0000-0002-5360-6642, Özyeğin University) |
| Year | 2018 |
| Volume | 57 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 298-312 |
| Publication date | 2018-04-18 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | International Migration (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0020-7985 • E-ISSN: 1468-2435 |
| Publisher | Wiley (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1111/imig.12455 |
| OpenAlex | W2801894902 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 15 |
| References cited | 32 |
In the wake of the Syrian civil war, more than three million people have fled to Turkey, which now hosts the largest refugee population on earth. Making up 4.42 per cent of the total population in Turkey as of February 2018, Syrian refugees are nevertheless spread unevenly within its borders. The ratio of refugees to the local population ranges from as high as 99per cent in the city of Kilis to as low as 0.05per cent in Sinop. This article presents findings from the empirical study of the effect of this geographical variation on election outcomes in Turkey, after the arrival of major refugee populations in 2012. Drawing on a unique subnational dataset and ordinary least squares ( OLS ), generalized least squares ( GLS ), and difference‐in‐differences (DiD) regressions, the study compares cities hosting few refugees (control group) with cities with large refugee populations (treatment group) to determine whether significant differences in voting patterns emerged. Our findings show a negative, but insignificant, impact on the incumbent party. The findings have policy implications for Turkey as well as any country that experiences a considerable flow of refugees
Demographic economics · Development economics · Econometrics · Economics · Geography · Ordinary least squares · Political science · Politics · Population · Refugee · Refugee crisis · Socioeconomics · Sociology · Spanish Civil War · Voting · Demography · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Gender Politics and Representation · Law · Turkey's Politics and Society
The heterogeneity of human smugglers
The election day that lasted 84 days
Trading economic for security performance
Refugees and Votes
Neighborhood quality and opposition to immigration
Geographical proximity to refugee reception centres and voting
Framing Syrians in Turkey
The Syrian refugee crisis through the lenses of Turkish political discourses
A near‐real‐time analysis of societal responses to Ukrainian refugee migration in Europe
Exploring portrayals of vulnerability in post-2011 refugee films in Turkish cinema
Responses of far right parties to refugees in hybrid regimes
Killing Competitive Authoritarianism Softly
Perceived threat, compassion, and public evaluations toward refugees
The Increase in Refugees to Germany and Exclusionary Beliefs and Behaviors
Electoral pressure, reputational risks, and coalition politics
Identification and Inference in Nonlinear Difference-in-Differences Models
Immigration and election outcomes — Evidence from city districts in Hamburg
Matching As An Econometric Evaluation Estimator
Refugee Migration and Electoral Outcomes
Mr. Rossi, Mr. Hu and politics. The role of immigration in shaping natives' voting behavior
Some Practical Guidance for the Implementation of Propensity Score Matching
Two elections and a political regime in crisis
The Age of Migration
Mostly Harmless Econometrics
Changing Values in Turkey
The Nature of Left–Right Ideological Self‐placement in the Turkish Context
Interdisciplinary Approaches to Political Clientelism and Patronage in Turkey
Politics of Conservatism in Turkey
Ethnicity and Trust in National and International Institutions
Economic evaluations vs. ideology
Economic Performance and Political Outcomes
Double‐faced state
Center and Periphery in the Ottoman Empire
Funerals and Elections
The Turkish Party System in Transition
Empirical investigation of party preferences and economic voting in Turkey
Elections and Party Preferences in Turkey
Macro Economic Determinants of Electoral Support for Incumbents in Turkey, 1950–1995
Social and economic determinants of Turkish voter choice in the 1995 parliamentary election
Does housing create votes? Explaining the electoral success of the AKP in Turkey
| Unique citing works | 15 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 2,14 |
| Citation span | 2019 - 2026 (8) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 15 |