Global hotspots and correlates of emerging zoonotic diseases
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 23317328 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Toph Allen (0000-0003-4580-091X, EcoHealth Alliance), Keith A Murray (0000-0002-8382-0674, Imperial Consultants), Kris A Murray, Carlos Zambrana‐Torrelio (0000-0002-5614-7496, EcoHealth Alliance), Stephen S Morse (0000-0002-5434-5683, Columbia University), Carlo Rondinini (0000-0002-6617-018X, Sapienza University of Rome), Moreno Di Marco (0000-0002-8902-4193, The University of Queensland), Nathan Breit (EcoHealth Alliance), Kevin J Olival (0000-0003-3211-1875, EcoHealth Alliance), Peter Daszak (0000-0002-2046-5695, EcoHealth Alliance, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2017 |
| Volume | 8 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 1124-1124 |
| Publication date | 2017-10-24 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Nature Communications (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 2041-1723 • E-ISSN: 2041-1723 |
| Publisher | Springer Science and Business Media LLC (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1038/s41467-017-00923-8 |
| PMID | 29066781 |
| OpenAlex | W2765563228 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 98 |
| References cited | 59 |
Zoonoses originating from wildlife represent a significant threat to global health, security and economic growth, and combatting their emergence is a public health priority. However, our understanding of the mechanisms underlying their emergence remains rudimentary. Here we update a global database of emerging infectious disease (EID) events, create a novel measure of reporting effort, and fit boosted regression tree models to analyze the demographic, environmental and biological correlates of their occurrence. After accounting for reporting effort, we show that zoonotic EID risk is elevated in forested tropical regions experiencing land-use changes and where wildlife biodiversity (mammal species richness) is high. We present a new global hotspot map of spatial variation in our zoonotic EID risk index, and partial dependence plots illustrating relationships between events and predictors. Our results may help to improve surveillance and long-term EID monitoring programs, and design field experiments to test underlying mechanisms of zoonotic disease emergence.
Biodiversity · Biodiversity hotspot · Biology · Environmental health · Environmental resource management · Geography · Public health · Species richness · Wildlife · Wildlife trade · Animal Disease Management and Epidemiology · COVID-19 epidemiological studies · Ecology · Environmental Science · Medicine · Zoonotic diseases and public health
Selling spillover
Increasing spatial scale of analysis weakens and can mask the dilution effect for hantaviruses
Biodiversity-Health-Sustainability Nexus in Socio-Ecological Production Landscapes and Seascapes (SEPLS)
Unpacking the risks of zoonotic and vector-borne pathogen transmission to humans in the context of environmental change
Deforestation changes the effectiveness of bed nets for malaria control
EMS response to infectious disease outbreaks
Actuar en la emergencia
Anthropocene in an age of pandemics
Posesión de animales exóticos y enfermedades zoonóticas
Urgent pandemic messaging of WHO , World Bank, and G20 is inconsistent with their evidence base
To what extent does evidence support decision making during infectious disease outbreaks? A scoping literature review
Ética pandêmica e responsabilidade moral
Drivers and causes of zoonotic diseases
Land use-induced spillover
Desastres ecológicos e a saúde
La Eficiencia Técnica de los sistemas de salud
Impactos de mudanças do uso da terra sobre a saúde humana
Climate change increases cross-species viral transmission risk
Global rangeland production systems and livelihoods at threat under climate change and variability
Pandemics and the human-wildlife interface in Asia
Global risks of infectious disease outbreaks and its relation to climate
Adapting risk assessments for a complex future
Street-level diplomacy and local enforcement for meat safety in northern Tanzania
Climate change and pandemics
Effect of Climate and Land Use on the Spatio-Temporal Variability of Tick-Borne Bacteria in Europe
Large-scale land acquisitions, agricultural trade, and zoonotic diseases
Integrating Biomedical, Ecological, and Sustainability Sciences to Manage Emerging Infectious Diseases
Small mammals at the edge of deforestation in Cambodia
Potential impacts of pandemics on global warming, agricultural production, and biodiversity loss
Comparative Analysis of One Health Policies in Asia for Exploring Opportunities for British Columbia in Canada
Resilient safety nets
Re-thinking public health
Contextual, Social and Epidemiological Characteristics of the Ebola Virus Disease Outbreak in Likati Health Zone, Democratic Republic of the Congo, 2017
Rethinking Covid-19 and Beyond
Monkeypox outbreaks in the context of the Covid-19 pandemic
Implications of Zoonoses From Hunting and Use of Wildlife in North American Arctic and Boreal Biomes
Egypt's Covid-19 Recent Happenings and Perspectives
Use of a pathogen X tabletop exercise to assess the operational response preparedness of an emerging infectious diseases research network
Toward One Health
Unveiling the hidden threats
Biodiversity and Human Health Interlinkages in Higher Education Offerings
Preparing international cooperation on pandemic prevention for the Anthropocene
Achieving flexible competence
Wildlife policy, the food system and One Health
Measuring the Economic Risk of Covid‐19
A Systems Thinking Approach to Preventing Zoonotic Spillovers
Understanding the Legacy of Infectious Diseases
What's in a Pandemic? Covid-19 and the Anthropocene
In Sickness and in Health
Rapid validation of disease outbreak intelligence by small independent verification teams
An analysis of the competitiveness of the tourism industry in a context of economic recovery following the Covid19 pandemic
Environmental degradation of indigenous protected areas of the Amazon as a slow onset event
World forests, global change, and emerging pests and pathogens
Thirty years of climate change research
Global forces of change
Does urbanization make emergence of zoonosis more likely? Evidence, myths and gaps
Macroecological approaches for the prediction of zoonotic disease risk
The role of ecosystems in mitigation and management of Covid-19 and other zoonoses
Are we ignoring a black elephant in the Anthropocene? Climate change and global pandemic as the crisis in health and equality
The widespread keeping of wild pets in the Neotropics
Reset or temporary break? Attitudinal change, risk perception and future travel intention in tourists experiencing the Covid-19 pandemic
Natural outbreaks and bioterrorism
Policies to prevent zoonotic spillover
Where should “Humans” be in “One Health”? Lessons from Covid-19 for One Health
The Economic Case for a Pandemic Fund
Coronavirus and Paramyxovirus Shedding by Bats in a Cave and Buildings in Ethiopia
Incorporating Health Outcomes into Land-Use Planning
Eating Bushmeat Improves Food Security in a Biodiversity and Infectious Disease “Hotspot”
Synergistic China–US Ecological Research is Essential for Global Emerging Infectious Disease Preparedness
Invasive Plants as Foci of Mosquito-Borne Pathogens
Local Economic Conditions Affect Aedes albopictus Management
International Collaboration is the Only Way to Protect Ourselves from the Next Pandemic
Environmental Change and Zoonotic Disease Risk at Human-Macaque Interfaces in Bangladesh
De-urbanization and Zoonotic Disease Risk
Human–Wildlife Interactions Predict Febrile Illness in Park Landscapes of Western Uganda
Zoonotic Disease Risk and Life-History Traits
From Postcolonial to Post-Covid
Human-Nature Interactions Through the Lens of Global Pandemics
Health and landscape approaches
Animal-based food systems are unsafe
The socioeconomic and environmental drivers of the Covid-19 pandemic
A Centenary Tale of Two Pandemics
Increasing risks for emerging infectious diseases within a rapidly changing High Asia
Zoonotic urbanisation
The Future Is in the Younger Generations
Incorporating a One Health Approach Into the Study of Environmental Crimes and Harms
Pandemics, transformations and tourism
Food Biodiversity as an Opportunity to Address the Challenge of Improving Human Diets and Food Security
Prediction and caution after Covid-19 crisis
Pandemics and the future of human-landscape interactions
Vigilância participativa
Why scientific information does not necessarily impact the decisions by human society
Biodiversity conservation as a promising frontier for behavioural science
Socioenvironmental conflicts under Covid-19 pandemic and the need of historical-sociological perspectives in conservation science
Researching the Ebola Reservoir with the Heuristic of the Fetish in Guinea
How Do We See Covid-19? Visual Iconographies of Racial Contagion
Measuring Asian Social Media Sentiments Toward Bat Exploitation
Sustaining Normative Horizons, Grappling with Elusive Effects
Selecting pseudo‐absences for species distribution models
Host Range and Emerging and Reemerging Pathogens
An introduction to ROC analysis
Factors in the Emergence of Infectious Diseases
Global trends in emerging infectious diseases
Ecology of zoonoses
Mapping the Global Distribution of Livestock
Impacts of biodiversity on the emergence and transmission of infectious diseases
Prediction and prevention of the next pandemic zoonosis
Unhealthy Landscapes
Origins of major human infectious diseases
Global health security
Zoonosis emergence linked to agricultural intensification and environmental change
The Hyde 3.1 spatially explicit database of human‐induced global land‐use change over the past 12,000 years
Sample selection bias and presence‐only distribution models
Assessing the accuracy of species distribution models
A global strategy for road building
Social and environmental risk factors in the emergence of infectious diseases
A working guide to boosted regression trees
Biodiversity hotspots for conservation priorities
| Unique citing works | 98 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 10,89 |
| Citation span | 2017 - 2026 (10) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 81 |