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Dependence of flood risk perceptions on socioeconomic and objective risk factors

Bibliographic Data

ID23337153
AuthorsW J Wouter Botzen (0000-0002-8563-4963, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam), Jeroen C J H Aerts (0000-0002-2162-5814, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam), J C J M Van Den Bergh (0000-0003-3415-3083, Institute for Environmental Studies Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Netherlands)
Year2009
Volume45
Issue10
Publication date2009-10-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueWater Resources Research (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0043-1397 • E-ISSN: 1944-7973
PublisherAmerican Geophysical Union (AGU) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1029/2009wr007743
OpenAlexW1511081031
LanguageEN
Citations received107
References cited73

This study examines flood risk perceptions of individuals in the Netherlands using a survey of approximately 1000 homeowners. Perceptions of a range of aspects of flood risk are elicited. Various statistical models are used to estimate the influence of socioeconomic and geographical characteristics, personal experience with flooding, knowledge of flood threats, and individual risk attitudes on shaping risk belief. The study shows that in general, perceptions of flood risk are low. An analysis of the factors determining risk perceptions provides four main insights relevant for policy makers and insurers. First, differences in expected risk are consistently related to actual risk levels, since individuals in the vicinity of a main river and low‐lying areas generally have elevated risk perceptions. Second, individuals in areas unprotected by dikes tend to underestimate their risk of flooding. Third, individuals with little knowledge of the causes of flood events have lower perceptions of flood risk. Fourth, there is some evidence that older and more highly educated individuals have a lower flood risk perception. The findings indicate that increasing knowledge of citizens about the causes of flooding may increase flood risk awareness. It is especially important to target individuals who live in areas unprotected by dike infrastructure, since they tend to be unaware of or ignore the high risk exposure faced.

Business · Economics · Environmental health · Environmental planning · Flood myth · Flooding (psychology) · Geography · Perception · Population · Risk assessment · Risk management · Risk perception · Socioeconomic status · Socioeconomics · Disaster Management and Resilience · Finance · Flood Risk Assessment and Management · Medicine · Psychology · Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research

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Unique citing works107
Citations per year6,69
Citation span2010 - 2026 (17)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedYes
Citation typesNeutral: 97
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