Emergent Chance

Datos Bibliográficos

ID10344530
AutoresChristian List (0000-0003-1627-800X, London School of Economics and Political Science, and Trent University), Marcus Pivato (0000-0001-9833-6175)
Año2015
Volumen124
Número1
Páginas119-152
Fecha de publicación2015-01-01
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessNo
TipoARTICLE
RevistaThe Philosophical Review (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 0031-8108 • E-ISSN: 1558-1470
EditorialDuke University Press (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1215/00318108-2812670
OpenAlexW2784527921
IdiomaEN
Citas recibidas27
Referencias citadas35

This article offers a new argument for the claim that there can be nondegenerate objective chance in a deterministic world. Using a formal model of the relationship between different levels of description of a system, the article shows how objective chance at a higher level can coexist with its absence at a lower level. Unlike previous arguments for the level-specificity of chance, the present argument shows, in a precise sense, that higher-level chance does not collapse into epistemic probability, despite higher-level properties supervening on lower-level ones. The article demonstrates that the distinction between objective chance and epistemic probability can be drawn, and operationalized, at every level of description. There is, therefore, not a single distinction between objective and epistemic probability but a family of such distinctions

Argument (complex analysis · Epistemology · Operationalization · Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference · Logic, Reasoning, and Knowledge · Mathematics · Philosophy · Philosophy and History of Science