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Exploring health sector costs of policy responses to Covid-19 in low-income and middle-income countries

Datos Bibliográficos

ID21880337
AutoresSergio Torres‐rueda (0000-0002-6335-6392, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, autor de correspondencia), Stuart Sweeney (0000-0003-4233-9080, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine), Fiammetta Bozzani (0000-0002-9518-6885, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine), Nichola R Naylor (0000-0003-4122-6631, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine), Tim Baker (0000-0002-6423-9948, Ifakara Health Institute), Carl A B Pearson (0000-0003-0701-7860, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine), Rosalind M Eggo (0000-0002-0362-6717, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine), Simon R Procter (0000-0002-0380-1503, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine), Nicholas Davies (0000-0003-4095-4549, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine), Nicholas G Davies (0000-0002-1740-1412, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine), Matthew Quaife (0000-0001-9291-1511, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine), Nichola Kitson (London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine), Marcus R Keogh-Brown (London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine), Marcus Keogh-Brown (0000-0002-7556-0016, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine), Henning Tarp Jensen (0000-0003-4526-458X, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine), Nuru Saadi (0000-0001-5299-5052, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine), Mishal Khan (0000-0002-8967-1761, Aga Khan University), Maryam Huda (0000-0002-7409-4965, Aga Khan University), Angela Kairu (0000-0002-0965-4460, Kenya Medical Research Institute), Raza Zaidi (0009-0002-1201-3653, Ministry of National Health Services Regulation and Coordination), Edwine Barasa (0000-0001-5793-7177, Kenya Medical Research Institute), Mark Jit (0000-0001-6658-8255, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine), Anna Vassall (0000-0002-2911-1375, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine)
Año2021
Volumen6
Número12
Páginase005759
Fecha de publicación2021-12-01
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessSí
TipoARTICLE
RevistaBMJ Global Health (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 2059-7908 • E-ISSN: 2059-7908
EditorialBMJ (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1136/bmjgh-2021-005759
PMID34857521
OpenAlexW3183646129
IdiomaEN
Citas recibidas10
Referencias citadas18

OBJECTIVES: COVID-19 has altered health sector capacity in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). Cost data to inform evidence-based priority setting are urgently needed. Consequently, in this paper, we calculate the full economic health sector costs of COVID-19 clinical management in 79 LMICs under different epidemiological scenarios. METHODS: We used country-specific epidemiological projections from a dynamic transmission model to determine number of cases, hospitalisations and deaths over 1 year under four mitigation scenarios. We defined the health sector response for three base LMICs through guidelines and expert opinion. We calculated costs through local resource use and price data and extrapolated costs across 79 LMICs. Lastly, we compared cost estimates against gross domestic product (GDP) and total annual health expenditure in 76 LMICs. RESULTS: COVID-19 clinical management costs vary greatly by country, ranging between <0.1%-12% of GDP and 0.4%-223% of total annual health expenditure (excluding out-of-pocket payments). Without mitigation policies, COVID-19 clinical management costs per capita range from US$43.39 to US$75.57; in 22 of 76 LMICs, these costs would surpass total annual health expenditure. In a scenario of stringent social distancing, costs per capita fall to US$1.10-US$1.32. CONCLUSIONS: We present the first dataset of COVID-19 clinical management costs across LMICs. These costs can be used to inform decision-making on priority setting. Our results show that COVID-19 clinical management costs in LMICs are substantial, even in scenarios of moderate social distancing. Low-income countries are particularly vulnerable and some will struggle to cope with almost any epidemiological scenario. The choices facing LMICs are likely to remain stark and emergency financial support will be needed

Business · Economic cost · Economic growth · Economics · Environmental health · Gross domestic product · Health care · Health economics · Per capita · Population · Public economics · Social distance · COVID-19 epidemiological studies · Global Maternal and Child Health · Healthcare Systems and Reforms · Medicine

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Obras citantes distintas10
Citas por año2
Intervalo de citas2021 - 2026 (6)
Velocidad de citacióncurrent
Altamente citadoNo
Tipos de citaNeutras: 9
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