Guillaume Marois
Biographic Data
| ID | 271692 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Guillaume Marois |
| GIVEN NAMES | Guillaume |
| FAMILY NAME | Marois |
| SIGNATURE | MAROIS G |
| AFFILIATIONS | Shanghai University |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-2701-6286 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 21 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 29 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 21 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2014 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 4 |
Projecting Labour Market Imbalances and Skill Mismatch Under Demographic Change in the EU
We assess long-term labour mismatches in the European Union (EU27) by projecting the occupational distribution of workers and skill-specific labour demand up to 2060. Using a dynamic microsimulation approach ( Link4Skills-Mic ), we jointly model demographic, educational, and labour force dynamics at the individual level and combine country-specific projections of labour supply with projections of occupational demand. The analysis highlights growi…
Population Ageing and Economic Dependency in Thailand
While population ageing poses fiscal and dependency challenges for Thailand, conventional measures of population ageing may misrepresent future burdens by overlooking key societal changes under way.Given improvements in health and life expectancy which should slow down the pace of population ageing, this paper argues that the threshold of 'old age' (65+) should be redefined.Additionally, the analysis considers changes in labour force participatio…
The Demographic Race between India and China
As India surpasses China as the world’s most populous country, questions arise as to whether this demographic shift will lead India to overtake China economically. This paper examines this demographic race beyond population size. Using multi-dimensional demographic projections by age, sex, education, and labor force participation, we show that China’s current apparent demographic travails will not necessarily threaten its leading status relative …
Family-work history and inequalities in old-age cognition in China
Prior work showed that an individual's history of partnership, fertility, or employment was separately linked to old-age cognition, but little is known about how family-work history influences later-life cognition, especially in low- and middle-income countries. Our sample comprised respondents aged 50 and above in 2014 interviewed in regular (2011, 2013, 2015, 2018, and 2020) and life-history (2014) waves of the China Health and Retirement Longi…
Vieillissement de la population et dépendance économique en Thaïlande
Socioeconomic inequalities in depression and the role of job conditions in China
Background: The rising prevalence of depression in China, coupled with a tightening job market, highlights concern for the workforce's mental health. Although socioeconomic inequalities in depression have been well documented in high-income countries, the association between socioeconomic status (SES) and depression, along with its work-related mediators, has not been sufficiently studied in China. Methods: The study participants are 6,536 non-ag…
The energy–population dividend
In a climate-constrained world, understanding the energy required to achieve universal access to modern energy is critical. This requires making assumptions on future population trajectories. Although access to modern energy can affect population dynamics, this feedback has not yet been accounted for in demographic models. Access to modern energy leads to fertility declines as it reduces child mortality, improves health, increases women’s access …
The potential impact of international migration on prospective population ageing in Asian countries
Immigration is often discussed as a means to counteract population ageing. As the number of Asian countries experiencing population ageing continues to grow, we assess the potential impact of international migration on population ageing in Asia by combining replacement migration and prospective age concept, which accounts for differences in life expectancy. Using data from the UN’s World Population Prospects 2022, we estimate the potential replac…
Education Policies and Intergenerational Educational Mobility in China
Research on educational mobility for Chinese born in or before 1976–85 abounds. Although the Compulsory Education Law implemented in 1986 and the expansion of higher education introduced in 1999 changed Chinese millennials’ educational achievements, little is known about the educational mobility for the 1986–95 birth cohort and where it stands in the long-term trends. In this study, we calculated population-level educational percentile ranks by b…
Demographic and labor force impacts of future immigration flows into Europe
Immigration has become a key demographic component in developed European nations. At the same time, many countries have seen an increase in immigration from non-European origins and more diversified migrant flows. In most population projections, however, immigrants are considered an almost homogenous population. This study utilizes a population microsimulation projection model (QuantMig-Mic) for 31 European countries that includes place of birth …
The effect of motherhood on the labour force participation of married women in China
This paper explores the impact the number of child(ren) and the age of child(ren) on the participation in the labour force by married women in China. Using logistic regression models with the latest Chinese Family Panel Studies data, results show that: (1) the odds of LFP (Labour Force Participation) has decreased by 20.7 per cent for married women with one child and 37.7 per cent for women with two or more children compared with those without an…
Projecting the impact of air pollution on child stunting in India—synergies and trade-offs between climate change mitigation, ambient air quality control, and clean cooking access
Many children in India face the double burden of high exposure to ambient (AAP) and household air pollution, both of which can affect their linear growth. Although climate change mitigation is expected to decrease AAP, climate policies could increase the cost of clean cooking fuels. Here, we develop a static microsimulation model to project the air pollution-related burden of child stunting in India up to 2050 under four scenarios combining clima…
Labour Force Projections in India Until 2060 and Implications for the Demographic Dividend
While India is entering the period of demographic dividend, female labour participation rates remain very low. This paper aims to provide the very first labour force projections for India and its regions up to the year 2060. Projections are achieved using a discrete-time microsimulation model in which changes in population size and composition come from the interaction between demographic characteristics, educational attainment, and secular tende…
The “Invasion Peril” in Light of the Topodynamic Theory, and Some Recent Statistics
Health impacts of fine particles under climate change mitigation, air quality control, and demographic change in India
Despite low per capita emissions, with over a billion population, India is pivotal for climate change mitigation globally, ranking as the third largest emitter of greenhouse gases. We linked a previously published multidimensional population projection with emission projections from an integrated assessment model to quantify the localised (i.e. state-level) health benefits from reduced ambient fine particulate matter in India under global climate…
Deriving Niger’s Demographic and Education Future to 2062 with Stakeholders
Niger has the fastest population growth in the world while being among the least developed countries. With an average fertility above seven children per woman in the last decades, rapid population growth will continue in the medium to long term representing a planning challenge for Niger's development whose actual population is likely to double within the next two decades. At the same time, socio-economic variables whether in terms of health, wea…
Implementing Dynamics of Immigration Integration in Labor Force Participation Projection in EU28
Many developed countries have turned to immigration in order to mitigate the consequences of population aging, particularly the expected decline in the labor force population. Yet, few projection models take in consideration explicitly the differentials in labor force participation of population sub-groups. This paper describes the labor force participation module of CEPAM-Mic, which is a microsimulation model that projects several demographic, e…
How reducing differentials in education and labor force participation could lessen workforce decline in the EU-28
Population ageing is unavoidable in Europe, but perhaps its impact on labor force is not. In the context of a new demographic regime of high immigration and low fertility, differentials in labor force participation and educational attainment can be more co
A framework for the prospective analysis of ethno-cultural super-diversity
Pressures to keep immigration rates at relatively high levels are likely to persist in most developed countries. At the same time, immigrant cohorts are becoming more and more diverse, leading host societies to become increasingly heterogeneous across mult
Analyzing the impact of urban planning on population distribution in the Montreal metropolitan area using a small-area microsimulation projection model
D etermining factors of residential migration from the central city to the suburbs in the metropolitan region of Montreal
The purpose of this study is to gain a greater understanding of residential migration within the metropolitan region of Montreal by examining what factors determine flows between the central city and the suburbs. Using a life‐cycle perspective, a logistic regression model was developed. The results call attention to the critical factors that shape migration patterns from the central city to the suburbs: living in a two‐person household, with or w…
A framework for the prospective analysis of ethno-cultural super-diversity
Pressures to keep immigration rates at relatively high levels are likely to persist in most developed countries. At the same time, immigrant cohorts are becoming more and more diverse, leading host societies to become increasingly heterogeneous across mult
Implementing Dynamics of Immigration Integration in Labor Force Participation Projection in EU28
Many developed countries have turned to immigration in order to mitigate the consequences of population aging, particularly the expected decline in the labor force population. Yet, few projection models take in consideration explicitly the differentials in labor force participation of population sub-groups. This paper describes the labor force participation module of CEPAM-Mic, which is a microsimulation model that projects several demographic, e…
Labour Force Projections in India Until 2060 and Implications for the Demographic Dividend
While India is entering the period of demographic dividend, female labour participation rates remain very low. This paper aims to provide the very first labour force projections for India and its regions up to the year 2060. Projections are achieved using a discrete-time microsimulation model in which changes in population size and composition come from the interaction between demographic characteristics, educational attainment, and secular tende…
How reducing differentials in education and labor force participation could lessen workforce decline in the EU-28
Population ageing is unavoidable in Europe, but perhaps its impact on labor force is not. In the context of a new demographic regime of high immigration and low fertility, differentials in labor force participation and educational attainment can be more co
Analyzing the impact of urban planning on population distribution in the Montreal metropolitan area using a small-area microsimulation projection model
Education Policies and Intergenerational Educational Mobility in China
Research on educational mobility for Chinese born in or before 1976–85 abounds. Although the Compulsory Education Law implemented in 1986 and the expansion of higher education introduced in 1999 changed Chinese millennials’ educational achievements, little is known about the educational mobility for the 1986–95 birth cohort and where it stands in the long-term trends. In this study, we calculated population-level educational percentile ranks by b…
D etermining factors of residential migration from the central city to the suburbs in the metropolitan region of Montreal
The purpose of this study is to gain a greater understanding of residential migration within the metropolitan region of Montreal by examining what factors determine flows between the central city and the suburbs. Using a life‐cycle perspective, a logistic regression model was developed. The results call attention to the critical factors that shape migration patterns from the central city to the suburbs: living in a two‐person household, with or w…
Vieillissement de la population et dépendance économique en Thaïlande
The effect of motherhood on the labour force participation of married women in China
This paper explores the impact the number of child(ren) and the age of child(ren) on the participation in the labour force by married women in China. Using logistic regression models with the latest Chinese Family Panel Studies data, results show that: (1) the odds of LFP (Labour Force Participation) has decreased by 20.7 per cent for married women with one child and 37.7 per cent for women with two or more children compared with those without an…
D etermining factors of residential migration from the central city to the suburbs in the metropolitan region of Montreal
The purpose of this study is to gain a greater understanding of residential migration within the metropolitan region of Montreal by examining what factors determine flows between the central city and the suburbs. Using a life‐cycle perspective, a logistic regression model was developed. The results call attention to the critical factors that shape migration patterns from the central city to the suburbs: living in a two‐person household, with or w…
Analyzing the impact of urban planning on population distribution in the Montreal metropolitan area using a small-area microsimulation projection model
How reducing differentials in education and labor force participation could lessen workforce decline in the EU-28
Population ageing is unavoidable in Europe, but perhaps its impact on labor force is not. In the context of a new demographic regime of high immigration and low fertility, differentials in labor force participation and educational attainment can be more co
A framework for the prospective analysis of ethno-cultural super-diversity
Pressures to keep immigration rates at relatively high levels are likely to persist in most developed countries. At the same time, immigrant cohorts are becoming more and more diverse, leading host societies to become increasingly heterogeneous across mult
Implementing Dynamics of Immigration Integration in Labor Force Participation Projection in EU28
Many developed countries have turned to immigration in order to mitigate the consequences of population aging, particularly the expected decline in the labor force population. Yet, few projection models take in consideration explicitly the differentials in labor force participation of population sub-groups. This paper describes the labor force participation module of CEPAM-Mic, which is a microsimulation model that projects several demographic, e…
The “Invasion Peril” in Light of the Topodynamic Theory, and Some Recent Statistics
Health impacts of fine particles under climate change mitigation, air quality control, and demographic change in India
Despite low per capita emissions, with over a billion population, India is pivotal for climate change mitigation globally, ranking as the third largest emitter of greenhouse gases. We linked a previously published multidimensional population projection with emission projections from an integrated assessment model to quantify the localised (i.e. state-level) health benefits from reduced ambient fine particulate matter in India under global climate…
Deriving Niger’s Demographic and Education Future to 2062 with Stakeholders
Niger has the fastest population growth in the world while being among the least developed countries. With an average fertility above seven children per woman in the last decades, rapid population growth will continue in the medium to long term representing a planning challenge for Niger's development whose actual population is likely to double within the next two decades. At the same time, socio-economic variables whether in terms of health, wea…
Projecting the impact of air pollution on child stunting in India—synergies and trade-offs between climate change mitigation, ambient air quality control, and clean cooking access
Many children in India face the double burden of high exposure to ambient (AAP) and household air pollution, both of which can affect their linear growth. Although climate change mitigation is expected to decrease AAP, climate policies could increase the cost of clean cooking fuels. Here, we develop a static microsimulation model to project the air pollution-related burden of child stunting in India up to 2050 under four scenarios combining clima…
Labour Force Projections in India Until 2060 and Implications for the Demographic Dividend
While India is entering the period of demographic dividend, female labour participation rates remain very low. This paper aims to provide the very first labour force projections for India and its regions up to the year 2060. Projections are achieved using a discrete-time microsimulation model in which changes in population size and composition come from the interaction between demographic characteristics, educational attainment, and secular tende…
Demographic and labor force impacts of future immigration flows into Europe
Immigration has become a key demographic component in developed European nations. At the same time, many countries have seen an increase in immigration from non-European origins and more diversified migrant flows. In most population projections, however, immigrants are considered an almost homogenous population. This study utilizes a population microsimulation projection model (QuantMig-Mic) for 31 European countries that includes place of birth …
The effect of motherhood on the labour force participation of married women in China
This paper explores the impact the number of child(ren) and the age of child(ren) on the participation in the labour force by married women in China. Using logistic regression models with the latest Chinese Family Panel Studies data, results show that: (1) the odds of LFP (Labour Force Participation) has decreased by 20.7 per cent for married women with one child and 37.7 per cent for women with two or more children compared with those without an…
Socioeconomic inequalities in depression and the role of job conditions in China
Background: The rising prevalence of depression in China, coupled with a tightening job market, highlights concern for the workforce's mental health. Although socioeconomic inequalities in depression have been well documented in high-income countries, the association between socioeconomic status (SES) and depression, along with its work-related mediators, has not been sufficiently studied in China. Methods: The study participants are 6,536 non-ag…
The energy–population dividend
In a climate-constrained world, understanding the energy required to achieve universal access to modern energy is critical. This requires making assumptions on future population trajectories. Although access to modern energy can affect population dynamics, this feedback has not yet been accounted for in demographic models. Access to modern energy leads to fertility declines as it reduces child mortality, improves health, increases women’s access …
The potential impact of international migration on prospective population ageing in Asian countries
Immigration is often discussed as a means to counteract population ageing. As the number of Asian countries experiencing population ageing continues to grow, we assess the potential impact of international migration on population ageing in Asia by combining replacement migration and prospective age concept, which accounts for differences in life expectancy. Using data from the UN’s World Population Prospects 2022, we estimate the potential replac…
Education Policies and Intergenerational Educational Mobility in China
Research on educational mobility for Chinese born in or before 1976–85 abounds. Although the Compulsory Education Law implemented in 1986 and the expansion of higher education introduced in 1999 changed Chinese millennials’ educational achievements, little is known about the educational mobility for the 1986–95 birth cohort and where it stands in the long-term trends. In this study, we calculated population-level educational percentile ranks by b…
Population Ageing and Economic Dependency in Thailand
While population ageing poses fiscal and dependency challenges for Thailand, conventional measures of population ageing may misrepresent future burdens by overlooking key societal changes under way.Given improvements in health and life expectancy which should slow down the pace of population ageing, this paper argues that the threshold of 'old age' (65+) should be redefined.Additionally, the analysis considers changes in labour force participatio…
The Demographic Race between India and China
As India surpasses China as the world’s most populous country, questions arise as to whether this demographic shift will lead India to overtake China economically. This paper examines this demographic race beyond population size. Using multi-dimensional demographic projections by age, sex, education, and labor force participation, we show that China’s current apparent demographic travails will not necessarily threaten its leading status relative …
Family-work history and inequalities in old-age cognition in China
Prior work showed that an individual's history of partnership, fertility, or employment was separately linked to old-age cognition, but little is known about how family-work history influences later-life cognition, especially in low- and middle-income countries. Our sample comprised respondents aged 50 and above in 2014 interviewed in regular (2011, 2013, 2015, 2018, and 2020) and life-history (2014) waves of the China Health and Retirement Longi…
Vieillissement de la population et dépendance économique en Thaïlande
Projecting Labour Market Imbalances and Skill Mismatch Under Demographic Change in the EU
We assess long-term labour mismatches in the European Union (EU27) by projecting the occupational distribution of workers and skill-specific labour demand up to 2060. Using a dynamic microsimulation approach ( Link4Skills-Mic ), we jointly model demographic, educational, and labour force dynamics at the individual level and combine country-specific projections of labour supply with projections of occupational demand. The analysis highlights growi…
Economics (15 works) · Geography (15 works) · Sociology (14 works) · Demography (12 works) · Population (12 works) · Demography (10 works) · Demographic economics (9 works) · Medicine (8 works) · Migration and Labor Dynamics (8 works) · Economic growth (6 works)