Julia Grauvogel
Biographic Data
| ID | 278208 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Julia Grauvogel |
| GIVEN NAMES | Julia |
| FAMILY NAME | Grauvogel |
| SIGNATURE | GRAUVOGEL J |
| AFFILIATIONS | German Institute for Global and Area Studies |
| ORCID | 0000-0003-1995-4632 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 18 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 256 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 18 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2014 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 5 |
Targeted Sanctions Against Authoritarian Elites
A significant part of economic coercion deployed by the US, EU and the UN targets authoritarian regimes’ ruling elites. We develop a formal model to study the effects of such measures. The ruler chooses how much power to delegate to elites, while bracing for a challenge from the latter or from the masses. The elite decides whether to fight for the ruler, walk away, or stage a coup. Depending on how much the ruler trusts the elite, the imposition …
The Currency Constraint: Explaining the Selective Enforcement of US Financial Sanctions
Economic sanctions remain one of the most widely used foreign policy tools. At the same time, their enforcement is often incomplete and selective. If sender states are concerned about sanctions effectiveness, variation in enforcement is counterproductive. We argue that sender states face a trade-off between effective coercion in the present and the ability to use coercion in the future. We develop a formal model to explore the mixed incentives of…
Easier In than Out: Lessons Learned from the Termination of the Iraq Sanctions Regime
Sanctions senders respond to the abrupt escalation of crises, such as the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait in 1990 or the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. To react quickly, they often decide on coercive measures without a long-term exit strategy in mind. Similarly, research has long prioritized questions of sanctions onset and effectiveness, while studies on their termination remain scarce. In response, we reconstruct previously neglected de…
Monitoring the Monitor? Selective Responses to Human Rights Transgressions
Sanctions are among the most frequently used foreign policy tools to address human rights violations, but they can be highly politicized. Since the early 2000s, human rights sanctions have been increasingly triggered by standardized rankings of states’ performances. While research on economic statecraft suggests that coercive measures based on cross-national assessments may be less influenced by strategic considerations, scholarship on rankings h…
International Sanctions Termination, 1990-2018: Introducing the IST dataset
Despite intense public and policy debates about the termination (and re-instatement) of sanctions in cases such as Iran, Cuba and Russia, research has hitherto focused on sanctions imposition and effectiveness, directing little attention towards their removal. Existing work has been constrained by a lack of adequate data. In response, we introduce a novel dataset that contains information on the termination of all EU, UN, US and regional sanction…
Change is the Only Constant in Life
The Study of Term Limits in Sub-Saharan Africa: Lessons on Democratisation and Autocratisation
Studies on term limits in Africa have proliferated over the past two decades. This introduction to the special issue on the struggle over term limits contributes to advancing the research agenda with novel empirical evidence and a rigorous conceptual framework. Moreover, we propose complementing existing work on term limits and democratisation with a more explicit focus on their repercussions for authoritarian rule. Drawing on the comparative les…
New Voices, New Perspectives
New Beginnings
Democracy in Africa: Successes, failures and the struggle for political reform, by Nic Cheeseman
The question of why some democratization processes on the African continent have failed whereas others have succeeded has filled libraries. This book offers an admirably comprehensive overview, com
For the First Time from this Editor
Legitimationsstrategien von Autokratien im Vergleich: Ergebnisse einer neuen Expertenumfrage
Sanctions and Signals: How International Sanction Threats Trigger Domestic Protest in Targeted Regimes
Western powers often turn to international sanctions in order to exert pressure on incumbent governments and signal their support for the opposition. Yet whether, and through what mechanisms, sanctions trigger protest remains unclear. We argue that sanction threats work as an international stamp of approval for would-be protesters; they encourage collective action against governments. Moreover, sanction threats send particularly clear and coheren…
Identity, procedures and performance: How Authoritarian Regimes Legitimize Their Rule
Constructing convincing legitimacy claims is important for securing the stability of authoritarian regimes. However, extant research has struggled to systematically analyse how authoritarians substantiate their right to rule. We analyse a novel data set on authoritarian regimes' claims to legitimacy that is based on leading country experts' assessments of 98 states for the period 1991–2010. This analysis provides key new insights into the inner w…
Talking past each other: Regional and domestic resistance in the Burundian intervention scene
Peacebuilding attempts invoke a considerable amount of friction. In this article we argue that these frictional encounters can be made visible by focusing on articulations of resistance voiced by different actors in the intervention scene, including national elites and interveners. Departing from the discussion of the regionally led facilitation in Burundi, we show that the respective national elites and African interveners referred to different …
Burundi after the 2015 Elections: A Conference Report
The unrest in Burundi following President Nkurunziza's controversial re-election has put the country high on the international agenda, but research on the resurgence of turmoil is still in its infancy. A workshop held on 3 and 4 March 2016 in Freiburg, Germany, whose focus was Burundi after the 2015 elections, aimed to go beyond short-term accounts of the current unrests and extend past theorising in an attempt to address the current conflict. Sp…
Regional sanctions against Burundi: The Regime's Argumentative Self-Entrapment
This paper examines the impact of regional sanctions on the trajectory of the Burundian regime following the 1996 coup. Despite the country's socioeconomic and geopolitical vulnerability, the Buyoya government initially withstood the pressure from sanctions. Through a vocal campaign against these measures, the new government mitigated the embargo's economic consequences and partially re-established its international reputation. Paradoxically, thi…
Claims to legitimacy count: Why sanctions fail to instigate democratisation in authoritarian regimes
International sanctions are one of the most commonly used tools to instigate democratisation in the post‐ColdWar era. However, despite long‐term sanction pressure by theEuropeanUnion, theUnitedStates and/or theUnitedNations, non‐democratic rule has proven to be extremely persistent. Which domestic and international factors account for the regimes' ability to resist external pressure? Based on a new global dataset on sanctions from 1990 to 2011, t…
Identity, procedures and performance: How Authoritarian Regimes Legitimize Their Rule
Constructing convincing legitimacy claims is important for securing the stability of authoritarian regimes. However, extant research has struggled to systematically analyse how authoritarians substantiate their right to rule. We analyse a novel data set on authoritarian regimes' claims to legitimacy that is based on leading country experts' assessments of 98 states for the period 1991–2010. This analysis provides key new insights into the inner w…
Claims to legitimacy count: Why sanctions fail to instigate democratisation in authoritarian regimes
International sanctions are one of the most commonly used tools to instigate democratisation in the post‐ColdWar era. However, despite long‐term sanction pressure by theEuropeanUnion, theUnitedStates and/or theUnitedNations, non‐democratic rule has proven to be extremely persistent. Which domestic and international factors account for the regimes' ability to resist external pressure? Based on a new global dataset on sanctions from 1990 to 2011, t…
Sanctions and Signals: How International Sanction Threats Trigger Domestic Protest in Targeted Regimes
Western powers often turn to international sanctions in order to exert pressure on incumbent governments and signal their support for the opposition. Yet whether, and through what mechanisms, sanctions trigger protest remains unclear. We argue that sanction threats work as an international stamp of approval for would-be protesters; they encourage collective action against governments. Moreover, sanction threats send particularly clear and coheren…
Talking past each other: Regional and domestic resistance in the Burundian intervention scene
Peacebuilding attempts invoke a considerable amount of friction. In this article we argue that these frictional encounters can be made visible by focusing on articulations of resistance voiced by different actors in the intervention scene, including national elites and interveners. Departing from the discussion of the regionally led facilitation in Burundi, we show that the respective national elites and African interveners referred to different …
Burundi after the 2015 Elections: A Conference Report
The unrest in Burundi following President Nkurunziza's controversial re-election has put the country high on the international agenda, but research on the resurgence of turmoil is still in its infancy. A workshop held on 3 and 4 March 2016 in Freiburg, Germany, whose focus was Burundi after the 2015 elections, aimed to go beyond short-term accounts of the current unrests and extend past theorising in an attempt to address the current conflict. Sp…
Monitoring the Monitor? Selective Responses to Human Rights Transgressions
Sanctions are among the most frequently used foreign policy tools to address human rights violations, but they can be highly politicized. Since the early 2000s, human rights sanctions have been increasingly triggered by standardized rankings of states’ performances. While research on economic statecraft suggests that coercive measures based on cross-national assessments may be less influenced by strategic considerations, scholarship on rankings h…
International Sanctions Termination, 1990-2018: Introducing the IST dataset
Despite intense public and policy debates about the termination (and re-instatement) of sanctions in cases such as Iran, Cuba and Russia, research has hitherto focused on sanctions imposition and effectiveness, directing little attention towards their removal. Existing work has been constrained by a lack of adequate data. In response, we introduce a novel dataset that contains information on the termination of all EU, UN, US and regional sanction…
The Study of Term Limits in Sub-Saharan Africa: Lessons on Democratisation and Autocratisation
Studies on term limits in Africa have proliferated over the past two decades. This introduction to the special issue on the struggle over term limits contributes to advancing the research agenda with novel empirical evidence and a rigorous conceptual framework. Moreover, we propose complementing existing work on term limits and democratisation with a more explicit focus on their repercussions for authoritarian rule. Drawing on the comparative les…
Regional sanctions against Burundi: The Regime's Argumentative Self-Entrapment
This paper examines the impact of regional sanctions on the trajectory of the Burundian regime following the 1996 coup. Despite the country's socioeconomic and geopolitical vulnerability, the Buyoya government initially withstood the pressure from sanctions. Through a vocal campaign against these measures, the new government mitigated the embargo's economic consequences and partially re-established its international reputation. Paradoxically, thi…
Change is the Only Constant in Life
Democracy in Africa: Successes, failures and the struggle for political reform, by Nic Cheeseman
The question of why some democratization processes on the African continent have failed whereas others have succeeded has filled libraries. This book offers an admirably comprehensive overview, com
Claims to legitimacy count: Why sanctions fail to instigate democratisation in authoritarian regimes
International sanctions are one of the most commonly used tools to instigate democratisation in the post‐ColdWar era. However, despite long‐term sanction pressure by theEuropeanUnion, theUnitedStates and/or theUnitedNations, non‐democratic rule has proven to be extremely persistent. Which domestic and international factors account for the regimes' ability to resist external pressure? Based on a new global dataset on sanctions from 1990 to 2011, t…
Regional sanctions against Burundi: The Regime's Argumentative Self-Entrapment
This paper examines the impact of regional sanctions on the trajectory of the Burundian regime following the 1996 coup. Despite the country's socioeconomic and geopolitical vulnerability, the Buyoya government initially withstood the pressure from sanctions. Through a vocal campaign against these measures, the new government mitigated the embargo's economic consequences and partially re-established its international reputation. Paradoxically, thi…
Talking past each other: Regional and domestic resistance in the Burundian intervention scene
Peacebuilding attempts invoke a considerable amount of friction. In this article we argue that these frictional encounters can be made visible by focusing on articulations of resistance voiced by different actors in the intervention scene, including national elites and interveners. Departing from the discussion of the regionally led facilitation in Burundi, we show that the respective national elites and African interveners referred to different …
Burundi after the 2015 Elections: A Conference Report
The unrest in Burundi following President Nkurunziza's controversial re-election has put the country high on the international agenda, but research on the resurgence of turmoil is still in its infancy. A workshop held on 3 and 4 March 2016 in Freiburg, Germany, whose focus was Burundi after the 2015 elections, aimed to go beyond short-term accounts of the current unrests and extend past theorising in an attempt to address the current conflict. Sp…
Legitimationsstrategien von Autokratien im Vergleich: Ergebnisse einer neuen Expertenumfrage
Sanctions and Signals: How International Sanction Threats Trigger Domestic Protest in Targeted Regimes
Western powers often turn to international sanctions in order to exert pressure on incumbent governments and signal their support for the opposition. Yet whether, and through what mechanisms, sanctions trigger protest remains unclear. We argue that sanction threats work as an international stamp of approval for would-be protesters; they encourage collective action against governments. Moreover, sanction threats send particularly clear and coheren…
Identity, procedures and performance: How Authoritarian Regimes Legitimize Their Rule
Constructing convincing legitimacy claims is important for securing the stability of authoritarian regimes. However, extant research has struggled to systematically analyse how authoritarians substantiate their right to rule. We analyse a novel data set on authoritarian regimes' claims to legitimacy that is based on leading country experts' assessments of 98 states for the period 1991–2010. This analysis provides key new insights into the inner w…
Democracy in Africa: Successes, failures and the struggle for political reform, by Nic Cheeseman
The question of why some democratization processes on the African continent have failed whereas others have succeeded has filled libraries. This book offers an admirably comprehensive overview, com
For the First Time from this Editor
New Beginnings
The Study of Term Limits in Sub-Saharan Africa: Lessons on Democratisation and Autocratisation
Studies on term limits in Africa have proliferated over the past two decades. This introduction to the special issue on the struggle over term limits contributes to advancing the research agenda with novel empirical evidence and a rigorous conceptual framework. Moreover, we propose complementing existing work on term limits and democratisation with a more explicit focus on their repercussions for authoritarian rule. Drawing on the comparative les…
New Voices, New Perspectives
Change is the Only Constant in Life
Easier In than Out: Lessons Learned from the Termination of the Iraq Sanctions Regime
Sanctions senders respond to the abrupt escalation of crises, such as the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait in 1990 or the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. To react quickly, they often decide on coercive measures without a long-term exit strategy in mind. Similarly, research has long prioritized questions of sanctions onset and effectiveness, while studies on their termination remain scarce. In response, we reconstruct previously neglected de…
Monitoring the Monitor? Selective Responses to Human Rights Transgressions
Sanctions are among the most frequently used foreign policy tools to address human rights violations, but they can be highly politicized. Since the early 2000s, human rights sanctions have been increasingly triggered by standardized rankings of states’ performances. While research on economic statecraft suggests that coercive measures based on cross-national assessments may be less influenced by strategic considerations, scholarship on rankings h…
International Sanctions Termination, 1990-2018: Introducing the IST dataset
Despite intense public and policy debates about the termination (and re-instatement) of sanctions in cases such as Iran, Cuba and Russia, research has hitherto focused on sanctions imposition and effectiveness, directing little attention towards their removal. Existing work has been constrained by a lack of adequate data. In response, we introduce a novel dataset that contains information on the termination of all EU, UN, US and regional sanction…
The Currency Constraint: Explaining the Selective Enforcement of US Financial Sanctions
Economic sanctions remain one of the most widely used foreign policy tools. At the same time, their enforcement is often incomplete and selective. If sender states are concerned about sanctions effectiveness, variation in enforcement is counterproductive. We argue that sender states face a trade-off between effective coercion in the present and the ability to use coercion in the future. We develop a formal model to explore the mixed incentives of…
Targeted Sanctions Against Authoritarian Elites
A significant part of economic coercion deployed by the US, EU and the UN targets authoritarian regimes’ ruling elites. We develop a formal model to study the effects of such measures. The ruler chooses how much power to delegate to elites, while bracing for a challenge from the latter or from the masses. The elite decides whether to fight for the ruler, walk away, or stage a coup. Depending on how much the ruler trusts the elite, the imposition …
Political science (17 works) · Sociology (11 works) · Law (10 works) · Law (10 works) · Political economy (9 works) · Economic Sanctions and International Relations (8 works) · Politics (8 works) · Sanctions (8 works) · Economics (7 works) · Political Conflict and Governance (7 works)