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Targeted Sanctions Against Authoritarian Elites

Bibliographic Data

ID10071668
AuthorsTsz-Ning Wong (0000-0002-2240-7827, Universitat de Barcelona, corresponding author), Julia Grauvogel (0000-0003-1995-4632, German Institute for Global and Area Studies), Nikolay Marinov (0000-0002-1870-8248, University of Gothenburg)
Year2026
Publication date2026-03-16
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
PublisherSAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/00220027261430751
OpenAlexW7136379958
LanguageEN
References cited71

A significant part of economic coercion deployed by the US, EU and the UN targets authoritarian regimes’ ruling elites. We develop a formal model to study the effects of such measures. The ruler chooses how much power to delegate to elites, while bracing for a challenge from the latter or from the masses. The elite decides whether to fight for the ruler, walk away, or stage a coup. Depending on how much the ruler trusts the elite, the imposition of individual sanctions may lead to more power being delegated, thus inducing coups and repression, or it may lead to less power being delegated, which results in liberalization. We illustrate these predictions with two case studies

Authoritarianism · Coercion (linguistics · Delegate · Economic sanctions · Elite · Power (physics · Ruler · Sanctions · Economic Sanctions and International Relations · International Relations and Foreign Policy · Political Conflict and Governance

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