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Determinants of the Attempting and Outcome of Coups d’état

Bibliographic Data

ID6285063
AuthorsJonathan Powell (0000-0002-2546-048X, Nazarbayev University, corresponding author)
Year2012
Volume56
Issue6
Pages1017-1040
Publication date2012-12-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022002712445732
OpenAlexW2100680997
LanguageFR
Citations received211
References cited36

Previous studies have attested to leaders “coup-proofing” their regimes by reducing the ability or disposition of their armies to seek their removal. The following article tests the utility of these efforts. “Structural” coup-proofing such as counterbalancing is expected to reduce the ability to organize a coup plot by creating substantial coordination obstacles to soldiers. Coup-proofing by spoiling militaries with organizational resources is expected to reduce the willingness to intervene. However, increased organizational resources are expected to increase the army’s capabilities, thereby increasing the likelihood of a coup’s success. The theory is empirically tested using a selection model with a global sample from 1961 to 2000. Findings suggest that both coup-proofing strategies are effective deterrents of coup activity and, more generally, that characteristics of the military appear to be far more important than economic influences on coups

Economics · Geography · Mathematical economics · Outcome (game theory · Political science · European Union Policy and Governance · Global trade and economics · Social Policy and Reform Studies

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Unique citing works211
Citations per year16,23
Citation span2013 - 2026 (14)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedYes
Citation typesNeutral: 210

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