Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

Poverty, the Coup Trap, and the Seizure of Executive Power

Bibliographic Data

ID6411066
AuthorsJohn B Londregan, John Londregan (0000-0002-8722-7560, Carnegie Mellon University), Keith T Poole (Carnegie Mellon University)
Year1990
Volume42
Issue2
Pages151-183
Publication date1990-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueWorld Politics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0043-8871 • E-ISSN: 1086-3338
PublisherProject MUSE (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.2307/2010462
OpenAlexW1988922041
LanguageEN
Citations received304
References cited27

The transfer of power through the use of military force is a commonplace event in world affairs. Although no two coups d'etat are alike, they all have a common denominator: poverty. We analyze political and economic data from 121 countries during the period 1950–1982 and find that the probability of a government's being overthrown by a coup is significantly influenced by the level of economic well-being. Thus, even authoritarian governments have powerful incentives to promote economic growth, not out of concern for the welfare of their citizens, but because poor economic performance may lead to their removal by force. When the simultaneity of low income and coups is accounted for, we find that the aftereffects of a coup include a heritage of political instability in the form of an increased likelihood of further coups. Although the effect of income on coups is pronounced, we find little evidence of feedback from coups to income growth

Authoritarianism · Democracy · Development economics · Economic growth · Economics · Government (linguistics · Incentive · Market economy · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Poverty · Power (physics · Simultaneity · Welfare · Defense, Military, and Policy Studies · Economic Growth and Productivity · Law · Political Conflict and Governance

  • Breaking bonds, building mistrust

    Open Access•Linfeng Wang, Michael Appiah‐kubi et al.•World Development•2027

  • Cambio Y Desarrollo Económico Y Político Como Resultado Del Capital Democratico

    Open Access•José Gpe Vargas Hernández•Novos Cadernos NAEA•2006

  • Puzzles

    Open Access•Barry Nalebuff•The Journal of Economic…•1990

  • Growth and Institutions

    Janine Aron•The World Bank Research Observer•2000

  • Institutions on the Edge

    Gretchen Helmke•Institutions on the Edge•2017

  • Authoritarian Government

    Stephen Haber•The Oxford handbook of political…•2009

  • The Routledge Handbook of Chinese Studies

    Chris Shei, Weixiao Wei•Routledge Handbook of Chinese…•2021

  • The Politics of Authoritarian Rule

    Open Access•Milan W Svolik•Politics of Authoritarian Rule•2012

  • Political Leadership in Africa

    Open Access•Giovanni Carbone, Alessandro Pellegata•Political Leadership in Africa•2020

  • The Politics of Property Rights

    Open Access•Stephen Haber, Armando Razo et al.•Politics of Property Rights•2003

  • Citizens, Autocrats, and Plotters

    Open Access•Alexander Galetovic, Ricardo Sanhueza•Economics and Politics•2000

  • On the measurement of political instability and its impact on economic growth

    Open Access•Richard Jong‐a‐pin, Richard Jong-A-Pin•European Journal of Political…•2009

  • Inequality and Growth

    Roland Bénabou•NBER Macroeconomics Annual•1996

  • Chapter 8 Growth Econometrics

    Steven N Durlauf, Paul A Johnson et al.•Handbook of Economic Growth•2005

  • Self-Enforcing Democracy

    James D Fearon•The Quarterly Journal of Economics•2011

  • Electoral business cycle in industrial democracies

    Open Access•Alberto Alesina, Gerald D Cohen et al.•European Journal of Political…•1993

  • Political instability and economic growth

    Open Access•Alberto Alesina, Sule zler et al.•Journal of Economic Growth•1996

  • Sources of economic growth

    Open Access•Robert J Barros, Robert J Barro et al.•Carnegie-Rochester Conference…•1994

  • Democratic Capital

    Torsten Persson, Guido Tabellini•American Economic Journal…•2009

  • Institutions and Economic Performance

    Open Access•Stephen Knack, Philip Keefer•Economics and Politics•1995

  • Political Polarization and Income Inequality

    Open Access•Nolan Mccarty, Nolan M Mccarty et al.•SSRN Electronic Journal•2003

  • United We Stand?

    Aaron Belkin•United We Stand?•2005

  • Capitalism, Democracy, and Countermajoritarian Institutions

    Barry R Weingast•Supreme Court Economic Review•2015

  • A dynamic theory of the transition to democracy

    Open Access•Paul J Zak, Yi Feng•Journal of Economic Behavior &…•2003

  • The Democratic Peace and Territorial Conflict in the Twentieth Century

    Open Access•Paul K Huth, Todd L Allee et al.•Democratic Peace and Territorial…•2003

  • The Origins of Elected Strongmen

    Elizabeth Frantz, Erica Frantz et al.•The Origins of Elected Strongmen•2024

  • American hýbris

    Open Access•Alessandro Badella, Alessandro Badella Alessandro Badella•International Journal of Cuban…•2015

  • American hýbris

    Open Access•Alessandro Badella, Alessandro Badella Alessandro Badella•International Journal of Cuban…•2014

  • A Research on the Relationship of Political Stability and Economic Growth in Brics-T Countries

    Open Access•Barış Armutcu•Gaziantep University Journal of…•2022

  • How often do dictators have positive economic effects? Global evidence, 1858–2010

    Open Access•Stephanie M Rizio, Ahmed Skali•The Leadership Quarterly•2020

  • Long-term effects of institutional instability

    Open Access•Simon Hartmann, Rok Spruk•Empirical Economics•2021

  • Differences matter

    Open Access•Christian Bjørnskov, Katharina Gabriela Pfaff•European Journal of Political…•2021

  • The consequences of CIA-sponsored regime change in Latin America

    Open Access•Samuel Absher, Robin Grier et al.•European Journal of Political…•2023

  • The dynamics of military coups in the contemporary Middle East

    Open Access•Wenyuan Ma•Asian Review of Political Economy•2025

  • How Budgets Shape Power Sharing in Autocracies

    Dieter Christensen, Michael Gibilisco•Quarterly Journal of Political…•2024

  • Political instability and savings in less developed countries

    Kwabena Gyimah‐Brempong, Thomas L Traynor•The Journal of Development Studies•1996

  • Long Live Democracy

    Luisa Blanco, Robin Grier•The Journal of Development Studies•2009

  • Terrorism, Economic Development, and Political Openness

    Open Access•Tod Sandler, Todd Sandler et al.•Terrorism, Economic Development,…•2008

  • Routes to Reform

    David Kuehn, Aurel Croissant•Routes to Reform•2023

  • The Role of Social Capital in Development

    Open Access•Robert Puttnam, Grootaert Christiaan et al.•Role of Social Capital in…•2002

  • Leaders and International Conflict

    Open Access•Giacomo Chiozza, H E Goemans•Leaders and International Conflict•2011

  • Democracy and Diversity

    Benjamin Reilly, Ben Reilly•Democracy and diversity•2006

  • How Dictatorships Work

    Barbara Geddes, Joseph Wright et al.•How Dictatorships Work•2018

  • Riots, Coups And Civil War

    Cristina Bodea, Ibrahim A Elbadawi et al.•2007

  • The Long Peace of East Asia

    Timo Kivimaki•Long Peace of East Asia•2016

  • Democracy from Above

    Open Access•Jon C Pevehouse, Jon Pevehouse•Democracy from Above•2005

  • Endgames

    Open Access•Hicham Bou Nassif•Endgames•2020

  • Political Instability and Economic Growth

    Open Access•Augustin Kwasi Fosu•American Journal of Economics and…•2002

  • Life During Growth

    Open Access•William Easterly•Journal of Economic Growth•1999

  • The Political Economy of Growth

    Alberro Alesina, Roberto Perotti•The World Bank Economic Review•1994

  • The politics of authoritarian rule

    Milan W Svolik•The politics of authoritarian rule•2012

  • Income distribution, political instability, and investment

    Open Access•Alberto Alesina, Roberto Perotti•European Economic Review•1996

  • A Critical Appraisal of the Tragedies of Military Coups and Political Instability in Guinea (1984-2021)

    Open Access•Oluwatoyin Bakare•Journal of Central and Eastern…•2026

  • Role of Electoral Competition in Explaining Political Violence in Bangladesh

    Open Access•Syeda Salina Aziz, Farhana Razzaque•South Asian Survey•2016

  • Economic Dynamics and Government Stability in Postwar Italy

    Antonio Merlo•The Review of Economics and…•1998

  • The contagion of democracy through international networks

    Open Access•Skyler J Cranmer, Sue Cranmer et al.•Social Networks•2020

  • I want you…or not? The effect of conscription on coup risk in anocracies

    Open Access•Ioannis Choulis•International Politics•2021

  • Addressing Human Rights in the Court of Justice of the Andean Community and the Tribunal of the Southern African Development Community

    Open Access•Gladis Margarita Cruz, Giovanni Molano-Cruz et al.•Colombia Internacional•2014

  • Economic Crises and Political Change

    Amy L Freedman•Asian Affairs An American Review•2005

  • Political institutions and economic growth reconsidered

    Open Access•Jakob De Haan•Public Choice•2007

  • Political and Social Dimensions of Economic Growth

    Open Access•Johannes Fedderke•THEORIA An International Journal…•1997

  • African coups in the Covid-19 era

    Open Access•John Chin, Jessica A Kirkpatrick•Frontiers in Political Science•2023

  • Political instability and economic growth in Africa

    Open Access•Gadong Toma Dalyop•International Journal of Economic…•2018

  • Revolution, Change, and Democratic Transition in Egypt Since 2011

    Open Access•Ziad Koussa•Contemporary Review of the Middle…•2023

  • The Limits of the “Democratic Coup” Thesis

    Oisín Tansey•Journal of Global Security Studies•2016

  • Oil Wealth, Risk Acceptance, and the Seizure of Power

    Open Access•Jonathan Powell, Rebecca Schiel et al.•Journal of Global Security Studies•2020

  • Fait accompli, or live to fight another day? Deterring and surviving coups in authoritarian regimes

    Open Access•Roman-Gabriel Olar•Research & Politics•2019

  • Coup d’état or Coup d'Autocracy? How Coups Impact Democratization, 1950-2008

    Open Access•Clayton L Thyne, Jonathan Powell•Foreign Policy Analysis•2014

  • Arming the new Sheriff in Town

    Open Access•Marius Mehrl•Foreign Policy Analysis•2025

  • Corruption, Economic Satisfaction, and Confidence in Government Evidence From Argentina

    Open Access•Luigi Manzetti, Carole J Wilson•The Latin Americanist•2008

  • The Effects of Economic Crisis, Domestic Discord, and State Efficacy on the Decision to Initiate Interstate Conflict

    Open Access•Charles R Boehmer•Politics & Policy•2007

  • Leaving the Barracks

    Open Access•Lance Y Hunter, Josh Rutland et al.•Politics & Policy•2020

  • Causes and Triggers of Coups d'état

    Open Access•Taeko Hiroi, Omori•Politics & Policy•2013

  • Leader Turnover, Volatility, and Political Risk

    Open Access•Matthew Fails•Politics & Policy•2014

  • Pakistan’s Security State of Mind

    Open Access•Maya Tudor•Perspectives on Politics•2015

  • The political economy of coups d’etat

    Open Access•Alper H Yagci•Turkish Studies•2017

  • Economic Growth and Social Indicators

    Johannes Fedderke, Robert Klitgaard•Journal of Comparative Policy…•2006

  • Who votes after a coup? Theory and evidence from Egypt

    Elizabeth R Nugent, Steven Brooke•Mediterranean Politics•2022

  • Does Coup-Proofing Work? Political–Military Relations in Authoritarian Regimes amid the Arab Uprisings

    Holger Albrecht•Mediterranean Politics•2014

  • Navigating uncertainty in regime transition

    Tomoyo Chisaka, Kaoru Hidaka et al.•Democratization•2026

  • Understanding Electoral Violence through Complex Textual Data

    Michal Mochtak•Studies in Conflict and Terrorism•2019

  • State functioning and state failure in the South Pacific

    Benjamin Reilly•Australian Journal Of International…•2004

  • Renewable energy public–private partnerships in developing countries

    Open Access•Jorge Fleta-Asín, Fernando Muñoz-Sánchez•Sustainable Development•2021

  • Southeast Asia and conflict prevention. Is Asean running out of steam

    Timo Kivimaki•The Pacific Review•2012

  • Deterring threats and settling scores

    Open Access•Travis Curtice, Daniel Arnon•Conflict Management and Peace…•2019

  • Mutiny in Africa, 1950–2018

    Open Access•Rebecca Schiel, Jonathan Powell et al.•Conflict Management and Peace…•2020

  • External threats and political survival

    Open Access•Cemal Eren Arbatli, Ekim Arbatli•Conflict Management and Peace…•2014

  • The harsh face of the empire by invitation

    Open Access•Giacomo Chiozza, Lena Khalifa•Conflict Management and Peace…•2023

  • Failed coups, political survival, and civil liberties restrictions in nondemocratic regimes

    Laçin Idil Öztığ, Murat Donduran•The Social Science Journal•2020

  • The necessity of a multiscalar analysis of climate justice

    Open Access•Sam Barrett•Progress in Human Geography•2012

  • Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth

    Open Access•Xiaoying Li, Xiaming Liu•World Development•2005

  • Sources of Leader Support and Interstate Rivalry

    Bryan Rooney•International Interactions•2018

  • Elite Co-optation, Repression, and Coups in Autocracies

    Vincenzo Bove, M Rivera•International Interactions•2015

  • Dictators, personalized security forces, and coups

    Wonjun Song•International Interactions•2022

  • Oil discovery, oil production, and coups d’état

    Hans-Inge Langø, Curtis Bell et al.•International Interactions•2022

  • Do Civil Wars, Coups and Riots Have the Same Structural Determinants

    Cristina Bodea, Ibrahim Elbadawi et al.•International Interactions•2016

  • Institutional Change as a Response to Unrealized Threats

    Open Access•Bruce Bueno De Mesquita, Alastair Smith•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2022

  • Military Wages and Coups D’état in Spain (1850–1915)

    Open Access•Oriol Sabaté, Sergio Espuelas et al.•Revista de Historia Económica /…•2022

  • Why Nato Enlargement Does Not Spread Democracy

    Dan Reiter•International Security•2001

  • On the looting of nations

    Open Access•Mare Sarr, Erwin Bulte et al.•Public Choice•2011

  • Political Order in Changing Societies

    Samuel P Huntington•Political Order in Changing…•1969

  • Coups and army rule in Africa

    Samuel Decalo•Coups and army rule in Africa•1976

  • Efficient estimation of limited dependent variable models with endogenous explanatory variables

    Open Access•Whitney K Newey•Journal of Econometrics•1987

  • Bootstrap Methods

    B Efron•The Annals of Statistics•1979

  • Dummy Endogenous Variables in a Simultaneous Equation System

    James J Heckman•Econometrica•1978

  • Exogeneity

    Robert F Engle, David F Hendry et al.•Econometrica•1983

  • A New Set of International Comparisons of Real Product and Price Levels Estimates for 130 Countries, 1950–1985

    Open Access•Robert Summers, Alan Heston•Review of Income and Wealth•1988

  • On the mechanics of economic development

    Open Access•Robert E Lucas•Journal of Monetary Economics•1988

  • Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root

    David A Dickey, Wayne A Fuller•Econometrica•1981

  • Biases in Dynamic Models with Fixed Effects

    Stephen Nickell•Econometrica•1981

  • Specification Tests in Econometrics

    Jerry A Hausman•Econometrica•1978

  • Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods

    Clive W J Granger•Econometrica•1969

  • Rapid Growth as a Destabilizing Force

    Open Access•Mancur Olson•The Journal of Economic History•1963

  • Efficient Estimation with A Priori Information

    Ryan P Smith, Thomas J Rothenberg•The Economic Journal•1974

  • Towards an Examination of the General Causes of Coups d'Etat

    Open Access•Rosemary H T O''Kane, Rosemary H T O’kane et al.•European Journal of Political…•1983

  • Cross-National Statistical Research and the Study of Comparative Politics

    Robert W Jackman•American Journal of Political…•1985

  • A Probabilistic Approach to the Causes of Coups d'Etat

    Open Access•Rosemary H T O''Kane, Rosemary H T O’kane et al.•British Journal of Political…•1981

  • African Military Coups d'État and Underdevelopment

    Open Access•Pat Mcgowan, Thomas H Johnson•The Journal of Modern African…•1984

  • Time and Power in Africa

    Open Access•Henry Bienen, Nicolas Van De Walle•American Political Science Review•1989

  • Some Social Requisites of Democracy

    Open Access•Seymour Martin Lipset•American Political Science Review•1959

  • Explaining African Military Coups d'Etat, 1960-1982

    Open Access•Thomas H Johnson, Robert O Slater et al.•American Political Science Review•1983

  • Politicians in Uniform

    Open Access•Robert W Jackman•American Political Science Review•1976

  • Political Development and Military Intervention in Latin America

    Open Access•Martin C Needler•American Political Science Review•1966

Unique citing works304
Citations per year8,44
Citation span1990 - 2027 (38)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedYes
Citation typesNeutral: 301

Tools

Open DOISci-Hub
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae