Glen D Peterson
Biographic Data
| ID | 729308 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Glen D Peterson |
| GIVEN NAMES | Glen D |
| FAMILY NAME | Peterson |
| SIGNATURE | PETERSON G D |
| AFFILIATIONS | Stockholm Resilience Centre |
| ORCID | 0000-0003-0173-0112 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 81 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 739 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 81 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1988 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 14 |
Visioning ecologically diverse and harmonious futures of Korea in Good Anthropocene
The Korean Demilitarized Zone (DMZ), a buffer between North and South Korea, holds profound historical, cultural and ecological significance, as well as exceptional potential for conservation and transformation. This study explores ecologically diverse and peaceful futures for the Korean Peninsula by envisioning the DMZ as a landscape for harmonious human–nature co‐existence. Using the Nature Futures Framework ( NFF ) and the Seeds of Good Anthro…
The future of Global Environmental Assessments: 20 Years after the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment
Framings in Indigenous futures thinking: Barriers, Opportunities, and Innovations
Human societies face existential challenges on multiple fronts: climate change, biodiversity loss, altered biogeochemical flows, social unrest and injustices. Innovative solutions are needed to shift current trajectories towards a sustainable and just future. Futures thinking enables people to explore and articulate alternative futures and find pathways towards their desired futures. Indigenous people have the potential to make significant contri…
Welcome home! Introducing SocSES: A Society for Inclusive and Impactful Social-Ecological Research
Underpinned by systemic thinking, social-ecological systems (SES) research has emerged as a critical field for addressing the challenges of the Anthropocene, marked by a cross-scale focus, inter- and transdisciplinary approaches, and a strong emphasis on place-based work. Thanks to the efforts of many networks and institutes, the field has advanced new theoretical and methodological approaches, fostered dedicated journals, and spurred educational…
Transformative foresight for diverse futures: The Seeds of Good Anthropocenes initiative
European scenarios for future biological invasions
Invasive alien species are one of the major threats to global biodiversity, ecosystem integrity, nature's contributions to people and human health. While scenarios about potential future developments have been available for other global change drivers for quite some time, we largely lack an understanding of how biological invasions might unfold in the future across spatial scales. Based on previous work on global invasion scenarios, we developed …
Integrated modeling of nature’s role in human well-being: A research agenda
Integrated models can assess effects of ecosystem services on the global economy. • Insights from integrated models can improve management for sustainable development. • To be most useful, models need to link ecological impacts and human well-being. • Key advances include better incorporation of equity and social-ecological feedbacks. Integrated assessment models that incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services could be an important tool for …
Biosphere Futures: A Database of Social-Ecological Scenarios
Biosphere Futures (https://biospherefutures.net/) is a new online database to collect and discover scenario studies from across the world, with a specific focus on scenarios that explicitly incorporate interdependencies between humans and their supporting ecosystems. It provides access to a globally diverse collection of case studies that includes most ecosystems and regions, enabling exploration of the multifaceted ways in which the future might…
Bringing the Nature Futures Framework to life: Creating a set of illustrative narratives of nature futures
The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11625-023-01316-1
Modeling desirable futures at local scale by combining the nature futures framework and multi-objective optimization
Envisioning positive scenarios that recognize the multiple values of nature is fundamental for designing transformative changes in local socio-ecological systems. This study developed a protocol with three specifications for operationalizing the Nature Futures Framework (NFF) in a landscape scenario analysis using a multi-objective optimization framework composed of: (1) exploring nature-positive futures, (2) seeking alternative pathways for targ…
Towards a better future for biodiversity and people: Modelling Nature Futures
The Nature Futures Framework (NFF) is a heuristic tool for co-creating positive futures for nature and people. It seeks to open up a diversity of futures through mainly three value perspectives on nature – Nature for Nature, Nature for Society, and Nature as Culture. This paper describes how the NFF can be applied in modelling to support decision-making. First, we describe key considerations for the NFF in developing qualitative and quantitative …
What factors enable social-ecological transformative potential? The role of learning practices, empowerment, and networking
Achieving sustainability in the Anthropocene requires radical changes to how human societies operate. The Seeds of Good Anthropocenes (SOGA) project has identified a diverse set of existing initiatives, called “seeds,” that have the potential to catalyze transformations toward more sustainable pathways. However, the empirical investigation of factors and conditions that enable successful sustainability transformations across multiple cases has be…
Exploring desirable nature futures for Nationaal Park Hollandse Duinen
Achieving global sustainability goals requires most people and societies to fundamentally revisit their relationship with nature. New approaches are called for to guide change processes towards sustainable futures that embrace the plurality of people’s desired relationships with nature. This paper presents a novel approach to exploring desirable futures for nature and people that was developed through an application in Nationaal Park Hollandse Du…
Advancing research on ecosystem service bundles for comparative assessments and synthesis
Social-ecological interactions have been shown to generate interrelated and reoccurring sets of ecosystem services, also known as ecosystem service bundles. Given the potential utility of the bundles concept, along with the recent surge in interest it is timely to reflect on the concept, its current use and potential for the future. Based on our ecosystem service bundle experience, expertise, and ecosystem service bundle analyses, we have found c…
Strategy games to improve environmental policymaking
Amplifying actions for food system transformation: Insights from the Stockholm region
Food is essential to people and is one of the main ways in which people are connected to the world’s ecosystems. However, food systems often cause ecosystem degradation and produce ill-health, which has generated increasing calls to transform food systems to be more sustainable. The Swedish food system is currently undergoing substantial change. A varied set of local actors have created alternative sustainability initiatives that enact new ways o…
Resilience in the times of Covid: What the response to the Covid pandemic teaches us about resilience principles
Berbés-Blázquez, M., M. Schoon, K. Benessaiah, E. M. Bennett, G. D. Peterson, and R. Ghimire. 2022. Resilience in the times of COVID: what the response to the COVID pandemic teaches us about resilience principles. Ecology and Society 27(2):16. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-13223-270216
Ecosystem services in Sahelian village landscapes 1952-2016: Estimating Change in a Data Scarce Region
Burkina Faso and the wider Sahel region have experienced substantial changes in rainfall, population, and landscape use. These changes have altered ecosystem services, the benefits that people receive from ecosystems, and rural livelihoods. However, it is difficult to assess the magnitude of these changes because of missing and fragmented social, agricultural, and ecological data. We estimated changes in 10 key provisioning ecosystem services in …
Panarchy: Ripples of a Boundary Concept
How do social-ecological systems change over time? In 2002 C. S. Holling and colleagues proposed the concept of panarchy, which presented social-ecological systems as an interacting set of adaptive cycles, each produced by the dynamic tensions between novelty and efficiency at multiple scales. Initially introduced as a conceptual framework and set of metaphors, panarchy has gained the attention of scholars across many disciplines, and its ideas c…
Advancing a toolkit of diverse futures approaches for global environmental assessments
Global Environmental Assessments (GEAs) are in a unique position to influence environmental decision-making in the context of sustainability challenges. To do this effectively, however, new methods are needed to respond to the needs of decision-makers for a more integrated, contextualized and goal-seeking evaluation of different policies, geared for action from global to local. While scenarios are an important tool for GEAs to link short-term dec…
Land-use intensity mediates ecosystem service tradeoffs across regional social-ecological systems
A key sustainability challenge in human-dominated landscapes is how to reconcile competing demands such as food production, water quality, climate regulation, and ecological amenities. Prior research has documented how efforts to prioritize desirable ecosystem services such as food and fiber have often led to tradeoffs with other services. However, the growing literature has revealed different and sometimes contradictory patterns in ecosystem ser…
Patchwork Earth: Navigating pathways to just, thriving, and sustainable futures
Alternative futures for global biological invasions
Scenario analysis has emerged as a key tool to analyze complex and uncertain future socio-ecological developments. However, currently existing global scenarios (narratives of how the world may develop) have neglected biological invasions, a major threat to biodiversity and the economy. Here, we use a novel participatory process to develop a diverse set of global biological invasion scenarios spanning a wide range of plausible global futures throu…
Operationalizing the Nature Futures Framework to catalyze the development of nature-future scenarios
Upscaling the resilience assessment through comparative analysis
Resilience is the capacity of any system to maintain its function, structure and identity despite disturbances. Assessing resilience has been elusive due to high levels of abstraction that are difficult to empirically test, or the lack of high quality data required once appropriate proxies are identified. Most resilience assessments are limited to specific situation arenas, making comparision one of the unresolved challenges. Here we show how lev…
Middle-range theories of land system change
Trade-offs across Space, Time, and Ecosystem Services
Rodríguez, J. P., T. D. Beard, Jr., E. M. Bennett, G. S. Cumming, S. Cork, J. Agard, A. P. Dobson, and G. D. Peterson. 2006. Trade-offs across space, time, and ecosystem services. Ecology and Society 11(1): 28. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-01667-110128
Principles for knowledge co-production in sustainability research
Reconnecting to the Biosphere
Linking biodiversity, ecosystem services, and human well-being: Three challenges for designing research for sustainability
Participatory scenario planning in place-based social-ecological research: Insights and Experiences From 23 Case Studies
Oteros-Rozas, E., B. Martín-López, T. Daw, E. L. Bohensky, J. Butler, R. Hill, J. Martin-Ortega, A. Quinlan, F. Ravera, I. Ruiz-Mallén, M. Thyresson, J. Mistry, I. Palomo, G. D. Peterson, T. Plieninger, K. A. Waylen, D. Beach, I. C. Bohnet, M. Hamann, J. Hanspach, K. Hubacek, S. Lavorel and S. Vilardy 2015. Participatory scenario planning in place-based social-ecological research: insights and experiences from 23 case studies. Ecology and Society…
Advancing sustainability through mainstreaming a social–ecological systems perspective
Seeds of good anthropocenes: Developing sustainability scenarios for Northern Europe
Scenario development helps people think about a broad variety of possible futures; however, the global environmental change community has thus far developed few positive scenarios for the future of the planet and humanity. Those that have been developed tend to focus on the role of a few common, large-scale external drivers, such as technology or environmental policy, even though pathways of positive change are often driven by surprising or botto…
Biodiversity and ecosystem services require Ipbes to take novel approach to scenarios
What does the future hold for the world's ecosystems and benefits that people obtain from them? While the Intergovernmental Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) has identified the development of scenarios as a key to helping decision makers identify potential impacts of different policy options, it currently lacks a long-term scenario strategy. IPBES will decide how it will approach scenarios at its plenary meeting on 22-28 Feb…
Mapping bundles of ecosystem services reveals distinct types of multifunctionality within a Swedish landscape
Ecosystem services (ES) is a valuable concept to be used in the planning and management of social-ecological landscapes. However, the understanding of the determinant factors affecting the interaction between services in the form of synergies or trade-offs is still limited. We assessed the production of 16 ES across 62 municipalities in the Norrström drainage basin in Sweden. We combined GIS data with publically available information for quantify…
Strategic Spatial Planning and the Ecosystem Services Concept - an Historical Exploration
Wilkinson, C., T. Saarne, G. D. Peterson, and J. Colding 2013. Strategic spatial planning and the ecosystem services concept – an historical exploration. Ecology and Society 18(1): 37. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-05368-180137
Scenarios for Ecosystem Services: An Overview
The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA) scenarios address changes in ecosystem services and their implications for human well-being. Ecological changes pose special challenges for longterm thinking, because of the possibility of regime shifts that occur rapidly yet alter the availability of ecosystem services for generations. Moreover, ecological feedbacks can intensify human modification of ecosystems, creating a spiral of poverty and ecosystem…
Towards a better future for biodiversity and people: Modelling Nature Futures
The Nature Futures Framework (NFF) is a heuristic tool for co-creating positive futures for nature and people. It seeks to open up a diversity of futures through mainly three value perspectives on nature – Nature for Nature, Nature for Society, and Nature as Culture. This paper describes how the NFF can be applied in modelling to support decision-making. First, we describe key considerations for the NFF in developing qualitative and quantitative …
Synchronous failure: The Emerging Causal Architecture of Global Crisis
Homer-Dixon, T., B. Walker, R. Biggs, A.-S. Crépin, C. Folke, E. F. Lambin, G. D. Peterson, J. Rockström, M. Scheffer, W. Steffen, and M. Troell. 2015. Synchronous failure: the emerging causal architecture of global crisis. Ecology and Society 20(3): 6. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-07681-200306
Unpacking ecosystem service bundles: Towards predictive mapping of synergies and trade-offs between ecosystem services
Resilience and Vulnerability of Northern Regions to Social and Environmental Change
The arctic tundra and boreal forest were once considered the last frontiers on earth because of their vast expanses remote from agricultural land-use change and industrial development. These regions are now, however, experiencing environmental and social changes that are as rapid as those occurring anywhere on earth. This paper summarizes the role of northern regions in the global system and provides a blueprint for assessing the factors that gov…
Drivers, "Slow" Variables, "Fast" Variables, Shocks, and Resilience
Walker, B. H., S. R. Carpenter, J. Rockstrom, A.-S. Crépin, and G. D. Peterson. 2012. Drivers, "slow" variables, "fast" variables, shocks, and resilience. Ecology and Society 17(3): 30. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-05063-170330
Making Investments in Dryland Development Work: Participatory Scenario Planning in the Makanya Catchment, Tanzania
Enfors, E. I., L. J. Gordon, G. D. Peterson, and D. Bossio. 2008. Making investments in dryland development work: participatory scenario planning in the Makanya catchment, Tanzania. Ecology and Society 13(2): 42. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-02649-130242
Socialist China and the Huaqiao: The Transition to Socialism in the Overseas Chinese Areas of Rural Guangdong, 1949-1956
Local lens for SDG implementation: Lessons from bottom-up approaches in Africa
The Anthropocene presents a set of interlinked sustainability challenges for humanity. The United Nations 2030 Agenda has identified 17 specific Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) as a way to confront these challenges. However, local initiatives have long been addressing issues connected to these goals in a myriad of diverse and innovative ways. We present a new approach to assess how local initiatives contribute to achieving the SDGs. We analy…
Social-ecological drivers of multiple ecosystem services: What variables explain patterns of ecosystem services across the Norrström drainage basin
Meacham, M., C. Queiroz, A. V. Norström, and G. D. Peterson. 2016. Social-ecological drivers of multiple ecosystem services: what variables explain patterns of ecosystem services across the Norrström drainage basin?. Ecology and Society 21(1):14.http://dx.doi.org/10.5751/ES-08077-210114
Framings in Indigenous futures thinking: Barriers, Opportunities, and Innovations
Human societies face existential challenges on multiple fronts: climate change, biodiversity loss, altered biogeochemical flows, social unrest and injustices. Innovative solutions are needed to shift current trajectories towards a sustainable and just future. Futures thinking enables people to explore and articulate alternative futures and find pathways towards their desired futures. Indigenous people have the potential to make significant contri…
Operationalizing the Nature Futures Framework to catalyze the development of nature-future scenarios
The Regime Shifts Database: A Framework for Analyzing Regime Shifts in Social-Ecological Systems
Biggs, R., G. D. Peterson, and J. C. Rocha. 2018. The Regime Shifts Database: a framework for analyzing regime shifts in social-ecological systems. Ecology and Society 23(3):9. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10264-230309
Welcoming different perspectives in Ipbes: Nature's contributions to people" and "Ecosystem services
Peterson, G. D., Z. V. Harmackova, M. Meacham, C. Queiroz, A. Jiménez Aceituno, J. J. Kuiper, K. Malmborg, N. E. Sitas, and E. M. Bennett. 2018. Welcoming different perspectives in IPBES: “Nature’s contributions to people” and “Ecosystem services”. Ecology and Society 23(1):39. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10134-230139
Socialist China and the Huaqiao: The Transition to Socialism in the Overseas Chinese Areas of Rural Guangdong, 1949-1956
Uncertainty, Climate Change, and Adaptive Management
Peterson, G., G. A. De Leo, J. J. Hellmann, M. A. Janssen, A. Kinzig, J. R. Malcolm, K. L. O'Brien, S. E. Pope, D. S. Rothman, E. Shevliakova and R. R.T. Tinch 1997. Uncertainty, Climate Change, and Adaptive Management. Conservation Ecology 1(2):4. https://doi.org/10.5751/CE-00024-010204
Ecology, Ethics, and Advocacy
Peterson, G., S. E. Pope, G. Alessandro De Leo, M. A. Janssen, J. R. Malcolm, J. M. Parody, G. Hood and M. North 1997. Ecology, ethics, and advocacy. Conservation Ecology 1(1): 17. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-00009-010117
Original Articles: Ecological Resilience, Biodiversity, and Scale
The Risks and Benefits of Genetically Modified Crops: A Multidisciplinary Perspective
Peterson, G. D., S. Cunningham, L. Deutsch, J. Erickson, A. Quinlan, E. Ráez-Luna, R. Tinch, M. Troell, P. Woodbury and S. Zens 2000. The Risks and Benefits of Genetically Modified Crops: A Multidisciplinary Perspective. Conservation Ecology 4(1):13. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-00195-040113
Political ecology and ecological resilience
Historical Dictionary of Guangzhou and Guangdong
Adapting to Climate Change: Thresholds, Values, Governance
Adapting to climate change is a critical problem facing humanity. This involves reconsidering our lifestyles, and is linked to our actions as individuals, societies and governments. This book presents top science and social science research on whether the world can adapt to climate change. Written by experts, both academics and practitioners, it examines the risks to ecosystems, demonstrating how values, culture and the constraining forces of gov…
Resilience Management in Social-ecological Systems: A Working Hypothesis for a Participatory Approach
Walker, B., S. R. Carpenter, J. M. Anderies, N. Abel, G. Cumming, M. A. Janssen, L. Lebel, J. Norberg, G. D. Peterson and R. Pritchard 2002. Resilience Management in Social-ecological Systems: a Working Hypothesis for a Participatory Approach. Conservation Ecology 6(1):14. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-00356-060114
Estimating Resilience Across Landscapes
"Although ecological managers typically focus on managing local or regional landscapes, they often have little ability to control or predict many of the large-scale, long-term processes that drive changes within these landscapes. This lack of control has led some ecologists to argue that ecological management should aim to produce ecosystems that are resilient to change and surprise. Unfortunately, ecological resilience is difficult to measure or…
Scenario Planning: A Tool for Conservation in an Uncertain World
Conservation decisions about how, when, and where to act are typically based on our expectations for the future. When the world is highly unpredictable and we are working from a limited range of expectations, however, our expectations will frequently be proved wrong. Scenario planning offers a framework for developing more resilient conservation policies when faced with uncontrollable, irreducible uncertainty. A scenario in this context is an acc…
Assessing Future Ecosystem Services: A Case Study of the Northern Highlands Lake District, Wisconsin
Peterson, G. D., T. Beard Jr., B. E. Beisner, E. M. Bennett, S. R. Carpenter, G. Cumming, C. Dent and T. D. Havlicek 2003. Assessing Future Ecosystem Services: a Case Study of the Northern Highlands Lake District, Wisconsin. Conservation Ecology 7(3):1. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-00557-070301
Resilience and Vulnerability of Northern Regions to Social and Environmental Change
The arctic tundra and boreal forest were once considered the last frontiers on earth because of their vast expanses remote from agricultural land-use change and industrial development. These regions are now, however, experiencing environmental and social changes that are as rapid as those occurring anywhere on earth. This paper summarizes the role of northern regions in the global system and provides a blueprint for assessing the factors that gov…
Trade-offs across Space, Time, and Ecosystem Services
Rodríguez, J. P., T. D. Beard, Jr., E. M. Bennett, G. S. Cumming, S. Cork, J. Agard, A. P. Dobson, and G. D. Peterson. 2006. Trade-offs across space, time, and ecosystem services. Ecology and Society 11(1): 28. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-01667-110128
Synthesis of the Storylines
This paper outlines the qualitative components (the storylines) of the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA) scenarios. Drawing on a mixture of expert knowledge, experience, and published literature, we have explored plausible consequences of four trajectories for human development. The storylines have been designed to draw out both benefits and risks for ecosystems and human well-being in all four trajectories with enough richness of detail to al…
Water RATs (Resilience, Adaptability, and Transformability) in Lake and Wetland Social-Ecological Systems
Gunderson, L. H., S. R. Carpenter, C. Folke, P. Olsson, and G. D. Peterson. 2006. Water RATs (resilience, adaptability, and transformability) in lake and wetland social-ecological systems. Ecology and Society 11(1): 16. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-01556-110116
Scenarios for Ecosystem Services: An Overview
The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA) scenarios address changes in ecosystem services and their implications for human well-being. Ecological changes pose special challenges for longterm thinking, because of the possibility of regime shifts that occur rapidly yet alter the availability of ecosystem services for generations. Moreover, ecological feedbacks can intensify human modification of ecosystems, creating a spiral of poverty and ecosystem…
Making Investments in Dryland Development Work: Participatory Scenario Planning in the Makanya Catchment, Tanzania
Enfors, E. I., L. J. Gordon, G. D. Peterson, and D. Bossio. 2008. Making investments in dryland development work: participatory scenario planning in the Makanya catchment, Tanzania. Ecology and Society 13(2): 42. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-02649-130242
Understanding relationships among multiple ecosystem services
Ecosystem management that attempts to maximize the production of one ecosystem service often results in substantial declines in the provision of other ecosystem services. For this reason, recent studies have called for increased attention to development of a theoretical understanding behind the relationships among ecosystem services. Here, we review the literature on ecosystem services and propose a typology of relationships between ecosystem ser…
Untangling the Environmentalist's Paradox: Why Is Human Well-being Increasing as Ecosystem Services Degrade?
Environmentalists have argued that ecological degradation will lead to declines in the well-being of people dependent on ecosystem services. The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment paradoxically found that human well-being has increased despite large global declines in most ecosystem services. We assess four explanations of these divergent trends: (1) We have measured well-being incorrectly; (2) well-being is dependent on food services, which are inc…
Ecosystem service bundles for analyzing tradeoffs in diverse landscapes
A key challenge of ecosystem management is determining how to manage multiple ecosystem services across landscapes. Enhancing important provisioning ecosystem services, such as food and timber, often leads to tradeoffs between regulating and cultural ecosystem services, such as nutrient cycling, flood protection, and tourism. We developed a framework for analyzing the provision of multiple ecosystem services across landscapes and present an empir…
Opportunities and limitations to detect climate-related regime shifts in inland Arctic ecosystems through eco-hydrological monitoring
This study has identified and mapped the occurrences of three different types of climate-driven and hydrologically mediated regime shifts in inland Arctic ecosystems: (i) from tundra to shrubland or forest, (ii) from terrestrial ecosystems to thermokarst lakes and wetlands, and (iii) from thermokarst lakes and wetlands to terrestrial ecosystems. The area coverage of these shifts is compared to that of hydrological and hydrochemical monitoring rel…
Reconnecting to the Biosphere
Drivers, "Slow" Variables, "Fast" Variables, Shocks, and Resilience
Walker, B. H., S. R. Carpenter, J. Rockstrom, A.-S. Crépin, and G. D. Peterson. 2012. Drivers, "slow" variables, "fast" variables, shocks, and resilience. Ecology and Society 17(3): 30. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-05063-170330
Connecting Social Networks with Ecosystem Services for Watershed Governance: A Social-Ecological Network Perspective Highlights the Critical Role of Bridging Organizations
Rathwell, K. J., and G. D. Peterson. 2012. Connecting social networks with ecosystem services for watershed governance: a social-ecological network perspective highlights the critical role of bridging organizations. Ecology and Society 17(2): 24. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-04810-170224
Ecology (52 works) · Environmental resource management (50 works) · Biology (45 works) · Geography (41 works) · Environmental Science (38 works) · Land Use and Ecosystem Services (36 works) · Computer Science (35 works) · Business (33 works) · Political science (29 works) · Sociology (28 works)