Where next with global environmental scenarios

Dados Bibliográficos

ID15545129
AutoresBrian C O''Neill (0000-0001-7505-8897, NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, autor correspondente), Brian O'Neill, Simone Pulver (0000-0001-6988-5976, Brown University), Stacy D Vandeveer (0000-0001-5941-8020, University of New Hampshire), Stacy VanDeveer, Yoni Garb (0000-0002-6008-9882, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev), Yaakov Garb
Ano2008
Volume3
Fascículo4
Páginas045012-045012
Data de publicação2008-12-01
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoEnvironmental Research Letters (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326
EditoraIOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/3/4/045012
OpenAlexW2079623676
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas13

Scenarios have become a standard tool in the portfolio of techniques that scientists and policy-makers use to envision and plan for the future. Defined as plausible, challenging and relevant stories about how the future might unfold that integrate quantitative models with qualitative assessments of social and political trends, scenarios are a central component in assessment processes for a range of global issues, including climate change, biodiversity, agriculture, and energy. Yet, despite their prevalence, systematic analysis of scenarios is in its beginning stages. Fundamental questions remain about both the epistemology and scientific credibility of scenarios and their roles in policymaking and social change

Climate change · Component (thermodynamics · Credibility · Economics · Environmental planning · Environmental resource management · Management science · Political science · Portfolio · Environmental Science · Sustainability and Climate Change Governance · Ecology