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Using Psychological Theory to Predict Voting Intentions

Bibliographic Data

ID11043404
AuthorsMichael Hennessy (0000-0001-7176-3089, University of Pennsylvania, corresponding author), Michael X Delli Carpini (University of Pennsylvania), Michael B Blank (0000-0002-6150-4777, University of Pennsylvania), Kenneth Winneg (0000-0003-1871-3570, University of Pennsylvania), Kathleen Hall Jamieson (0000-0002-4167-3688, University of Pennsylvania)
Year2015
Volume43
Issue4
Pages466-483
Publication date2015-04-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Community Psychology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0090-4392 • E-ISSN: 1520-6629
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1002/jcop.21697
OpenAlexW1912619587
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited88

Voting is an essential component of civic engagement. To demonstrate the utility of a reasoned action approach to predict voting, we created an instrument that measured non‐normative political beliefs and voting intentions. We identified political beliefs and attitudes of the Republican Party, Democratic Party, Libertarian Party, Tea Party, and Occupy Wall Street Movement. A total of 2,637 participants from Mechanical Turk completed the survey using Survey Monkey. We identified the three political belief items best characterizing each political ideology and associated attitudes and beliefs. Regression analysis confirmed the utility of our approach to predict intentions to vote for candidates who were concordant with participants’ attitudes, beliefs, and norms. The reasoned action analyses accounted for a majority of the variance in intention to vote for candidates sharing respondent favored political beliefs and specific political positions. The study is the first to demonstrate that reasoned action approach is an effective tool for predicting civic engagement

Action (physics) · Ballot · Civic engagement · Economics · Ideology · Normative · Political science · Politics · Respondent · Statistics · Survey data collection · Theory of reasoned action · Variance (accounting) · Voting · Voting behavior · Behavioral Health and Interventions · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Psychology · Social and Intergroup Psychology · Social Psychology

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Unique citing works3
Citations per year0,33
Citation span2017 - 2021 (5)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 2

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