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Obfuscation maximization-based decision-making

Theory, methodology and first empirical evidence

Bibliographic Data

ID11286702
AuthorsCaspar Chorus (0000-0002-6380-4853, Delft University of Technology, corresponding author), Sander Van Cranenburgh (0000-0002-0976-3923, Delft University of Technology), Aemiro Melkamu Daniel (0000-0003-4061-3701, Delft University of Technology), Erlend Dancke Sandorf (0000-0001-7521-4773, University of Stirling), Anae Sobhani (0000-0001-7945-0095, Utrecht University), Teodóra Szép (0000-0003-1139-3324, Delft University of Technology)
Year2021
Volume109
Pages28-44
Publication date2021-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueMathematical Social Sciences (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0165-4896 • E-ISSN: 1879-3118
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.mathsocsci.2020.10.002
OpenAlexW3093604310
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited51

Theories of decision-making are routinely based on the notion that decision-makers choose alternatives which align with their underlying preferences—and hence that their preferences can be inferred from their choices. In some situations, however, a decision-maker may wish to hide his or her preferences from an onlooker. This paper argues that such obfuscation-based choice behavior is likely to be relevant in various situations, such as political decision-making. This paper puts forward a simple and tractable discrete choice model of obfuscation-based choice behavior, by combining the well-known concepts of Bayesian inference and information entropy. After deriving the model and illustrating some key properties, the paper presents the results of an obfuscation game that was designed to explore whether decision-makers, when properly incentivized, would be able to obfuscate effectively, and which heuristics they employ to do so. Together, the analyses presented in this paper provide stepping stones towards a more profound understanding of obfuscation-based decision-making

Computer security · Economics · Entropy (arrow of time · Heuristics · Inference · Management science · Obfuscation · Computer Science · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics · Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies · Game Theory and Applications · Artificial Intelligence

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Unique citing works2
Citations per year0,4
Citation span2021 - 2026 (6)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 2

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