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Testing a Predictive Model of Voter Behavior on the 2000 U.S. Presidential Election

Bibliographic Data

ID12774013
AuthorsBruce I Newman (0009-0007-0352-7560, DePaul University, corresponding author)
Year2002
Volume1
Issue2-3
Pages159-173
Publication date2002-02-03
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Political Marketing (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1537-7857 • E-ISSN: 1537-7865
PublisherTaylor & Francis (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1300/j199v01n02_11
OpenAlexW2078075858
LanguageEN
Citations received11
References cited15

Utilizing a predictive model of voter behavior, this study identified the motivations behind a sample of voters who cast a ballot for George W. Bush and AI Gore in the 2000 presidential campaign. The motivations of the voters were differentiated on the basis of the “value” they sought in a president. In other words, just as companies in the “commercial marketplace” have to create value to attract customers, so does a candidate in the “political marketplace” who is seeking to carve out a niche for himself that separates him from his competition. Pairwise discriminant analysis is used to identify the motivations behind the choice behavior of voters at both the candidate and party level. The results reveal the complimentary roles that the political party and each candidate's campaign organization played in their respective marketing strategies

Advertising · Ballot · Business · Competition (biology · Economics · Pairwise comparison · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Presidential election · Presidential system · Public relations · Value (mathematics · Voting · Voting behavior · Computer Science · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Game Theory and Voting Systems · Law · Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence · Psychology · Marketing

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Citations per year0.5
Citation span2004 - 2026 (23)
Highly citedNo

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