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Shutdown of Atlantic overturning circulation could cause persistent increase of primary production in the Pacific

Bibliographic Data

ID15544254
AuthorsRalf Liebermann (0000-0001-5730-0408, Leibniz Association, corresponding author), Matthias Hofmann (0000-0001-7259-8396, Leibniz Association), Georg Feulner (0000-0001-9215-5517, Leibniz Association)
Year2023
Volume19
Issue2
Pages024005-024005
Publication date2023-12-20
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironmental Research Letters (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326
PublisherIOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/ad178b
OpenAlexW4389985674
LanguageEN
References cited37

A potential shutdown of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is commonly recognized to have a significant impact on the Northern hemispheric climate, notably in Northern Europe. The collapse of the northbound heat transport by the AMOC is supposed to cool down surface air temperatures at the Scandinavian coast by up to 6 K accompanied by a concomitant nutrient starvation of phytoplankton in Subarctic and Arctic regions. However, besides local and regional impacts, tipping the AMOC into a weaker state by anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) and associated freshwater forcing could also have surprising remote effects. In order to investigate possible long-term impacts of an AMOC shutdown on ocean biogeochemistry, we employ an Earth system model of intermediate complexity using idealized scenarios of century-scale atmospheric 2×CO 2 and 4×CO 2 pulses combined with North Atlantic freshwater forcing. The results show a continued increase in primary production, in particular in the Eastern equatorial Pacific, due to a decrease in iron limitation following the AMOC shutdown. Tracer simulations indicate that bioavailable dissolved iron brought by Aeolian dust into the subtropical gyres of the Atlantic Ocean is transported to the Southern Ocean and from there enters the Indian Ocean and the Pacific. Thereby, the additionally introduced iron fertilizes the phosphate-rich high-nutrient, low chlorophyll waters, giving a lasting boost to phytoplankton growth, especially in the Eastern equatorial Pacific

Circulation (fluid dynamics · Climatology · Economics · North Atlantic Deep Water · Nuclear engineering · Production (economics · Shutdown · Shutdown of thermohaline circulation · Thermohaline circulation · Engineering · Environmental Science · Geology and Paleoclimatology Research · Marine and coastal ecosystems · Marine and environmental studies · Geology · Oceanography

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