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Betting on the best case

Higher end warming is underrepresented in research

Bibliographic Data

ID15548874
AuthorsFlorian Ulrich Jehn (0000-0002-7296-8008, Justus-Liebig-Universität Gießen, corresponding author), Marie Schneider (0000-0003-1073-7754), Marie Paule Schneider (0000-0002-7557-9278, Justus-Liebig-Universität Gießen), J Wang (0000-0001-6484-4040, Workers Compensation Board of Alberta), Jason R Wang (0000-0002-3854-9635, Workers Compensation Board of Alberta), Luke Kemp (0000-0002-7447-4335, University of Cambridge), Lutz Breuer (0000-0001-9720-1076, Justus-Liebig-Universität Gießen)
Year2021
Volume16
Issue8
Pages084036-084036
Publication date2021-07-13
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironmental Research Letters (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326
PublisherIOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/ac13ef
OpenAlexW3180297362
LanguageEN
Citations received4
References cited11

We compare the probability of different warming rates to their mentions in IPCC reports through text mining. We find that there is a substantial mismatch between likely warming rates and research coverage. 1.5 °C and 2 °C scenarios are substantially overrepresented. More likely higher end warming scenarios of 3 °C and above, despite potential catastrophic impacts, are severely neglected

Climate change · Climatology · Global warming · Warming up · Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics · Climate Change Policy and Economics · Climate variability and models · Environmental Science · Ecology · Geology

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Unique citing works4
Citations per year1
Citation span2022 - 2026 (5)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 4

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Open DOIOpen Access
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