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Cluster GARCH

Bibliographic Data

ID19419292
AuthorsChen Tong (0000-0002-3065-5978, Xiamen University), Peter Reinhard Hansen (0000-0001-9728-4860, Department of Economics, University of North Carolina, corresponding author), Ilya Archakov (0009-0001-0871-2622, York University)
Year2026
Volume44
Issue1
Pages148-161
Publication date2026-01-02
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Business and Economic Statistics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0735-0015 • E-ISSN: 1537-2707
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/07350015.2025.2510325
OpenAlexW4410779679
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited32

We introduce a novel multivariate GARCH model with flexible convolution-t distributions that is applicable in high-dimensional systems. The model is called Cluster GARCH because it can accommodate cluster structures in the conditional correlation matrix and in tail dependencies. The expressions for the log-likelihood function and its derivatives are tractable, and the latter facilitate a score-driven model for the dynamic correlation structure. We apply the Cluster GARCH model to daily returns for 100 assets and find that it outperforms existing models, both in-sample and out-of-sample. Moreover, the convolution-t distribution provides a better empirical performance than the conventional multivariate t-distribution

Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity · Computer network · Econometrics · Computer Science · Mathematics · Metal-Organic Frameworks: Synthesis and Applications

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  • A Dynamic Multivariate Heavy-Tailed Model for Time-Varying Volatilities and Correlations

    Drew Creal, Siem Jan Koopman et al.•Journal of Business and Economic…•2011

  • Dynamic Conditional Correlation

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  • Modelling the Coherence in Short-Run Nominal Exchange Rates

    Tim Bollerslev•The Review of Economics and…•1990

  • A Canonical Representation of Block Matrices with Applications to Covariance and Correlation Matrices

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year1
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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