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Legal proof and statistical conjunctions

Bibliographic Data

ID21371006
AuthorsL Ro (0000-0001-9683-9924, London School of Economics and Political Science, corresponding author)
Year2021
Volume178
Issue6
Pages2021-2041
Publication date2021-06-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePhilosophical Studies (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0031-8116 • E-ISSN: 1573-0883
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media LLC (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1007/s11098-020-01521-z
OpenAlexW3080981080
LanguageEN
Citations received4
References cited34

A question, long discussed by legal scholars, has recently provoked a considerable amount of philosophical attention: ‘Is it ever appropriate to base a legal verdict on statistical evidence alone?’ Many philosophers who have considered this question reject legal reliance on bare statistics, even when the odds of error are extremely low. This paper develops a puzzle for the dominant theories concerning why we should eschew bare statistics. Namely, there seem to be compelling scenarios in which there are multiple sources of incriminating statistical evidence . As we conjoin together different types of statistical evidence, it becomes increasingly incredible to suppose that a positive verdict would be impermissible. I suggest that none of the dominant views in the literature can easily accommodate such cases, and close by offering a diagnosis of my own

Epistemology · Logistic regression · Metaphysics · Odds · Philosophy of language · Philosophy of mind · Philosophy of science · Political science · Statistical evidence · Statistics · Verdict · Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics · Jury Decision Making Processes · Law · Law, Economics, and Judicial Systems · Mathematics · Philosophy · Psychology

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    Open Access•N P Adams•Journal of Ethics and Social…•2023

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    John Hawthorne•Knowledge and lotteries•2003

  • Probabilistic Knowledge

    Sarah Mo, Sarah Moss•Probabilistic Knowledge•2018

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    Larry Cohen, Laurence Jonathan Cohen•The probable and the provable•1977

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    T Williamson•Knowledge and Its Limits•2002

  • Between Probability and Certainty

    Martin Smith•Between Probability and Certainty•2016

  • Belief, credence, and norms

    Open Access•Lara Buchak•Philosophical Studies•2014

  • Trial by Mathematics

    Laurence H Tribe•Harvard Law Review•1971

  • What is inference?

    Open Access•Paul Boghossian•Philosophical Studies•2014

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    Open Access•Renée Jorgensen Bolinger•Synthese•2020

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    Open Access•David Papineau•Synthese•2021

  • Truth, knowledge, and the standard of proof in criminal law

    Open Access•Clayton Littlejohn•Synthese•2020

  • Rehabilitating Statistical Evidence

    Open Access•L Ro•Philosophy and Phenomenological…•2019

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    Gary L Wells•Journal of Personality and Social…•1992

  • Statistical Evidence, Sensitivity, and the Legal Value of Knowledge

    Open Access•Dan Enoch, David Enoch et al.•Philosophy & Public Affairs•2012

  • The Reasonable and the Relevant

    Open Access•Greg Gardiner•Philosophy & Public Affairs•2019

  • Jurors' use of naked statistical evidence

    Keith E Niedermeier, Norbert L Kerr et al.•Journal of Personality and Social…•1999

  • Explaining the evidence

    Nancy Pennington, Reid Hastie•Journal of Personality and Social…•1992

  • Recent work on the proof paradox

    Open Access•L Ro•Philosophy Compass•2020

Unique citing works4
Citations per year1
Citation span2022 - 2023 (2)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 4

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