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Catch‐up industrial policy and economic transition in China

Bibliographic Data

ID21543633
AuthorsJulia Y Lin (0000-0003-0518-9829, Peking University), Justin Yifu Lin (Institute of New Structural Economics Peking University Beijing China), Wei Wang (0000-0001-5806-2368, School of International Trade and Economics University of International Business and Economics Beijing China, corresponding author), Venite Zhaoyang Xu (School of International Trade and Economics University of International Business and Economics Beijing China)
Year2021
Volume44
Issue3
Pages602-632
Publication date2021-03-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueWorld Economy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0378-5920 • E-ISSN: 1467-9701
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/twec.13046
OpenAlexW3089716628
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited69

This paper studies how catch‐up industrial policies in China affect economic development in a two‐sector neoclassical growth model. To fulfil their aspirations of catching up with the output of the capital‐intensive sector of developed countries, Chinese political leaders adopted industrial policies that subsidise this target sector at the expense of other sectors from 1952 until the economic reform in 1978. The static effect of this industrial policy distorts the allocation of resources across sectors and lowers the aggregate TFP. The dynamic effect discourages the accumulation of capital. We show that although the output of the capital‐intensive sector boosts initially, it will be lower than its first‐best counterpart in the long run if catch‐up aspirations are too strong. Our theoretical predictions are consistent with the experience of the Chinese economy from 1952 to 1978

Capital deepening · Capital formation · China · Economic reform · Economic sector · Economic system · Economics · Economy · Financial capital · Human capital · Industrial policy · Macroeconomics · Market economy · Politics · Secondary sector of the economy · China's Socioeconomic Reforms and Governance · Economic Growth and Productivity · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth

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Unique citing works2
Citations per year2
Citation span2025 - 2025 (1)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 2

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