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Green growth though national urban agglomeration policy? Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment

Bibliographic Data

ID21599747
AuthorsChunlai Yuan (0000-0002-0440-2483, Peking University), Zhaojie Han (Xiamen University, corresponding author), Meiling Shang (Business School, Hohai University, corresponding author)
Year2026
Volume69
Issue5
Pages1346-1375
Publication date2026-04-16
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Environmental Planning and Management (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0964-0568 • E-ISSN: 1360-0559
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/09640568.2024.2425711
OpenAlexW4405622188
LanguageEN
References cited45

China is currently confronting the dilemma of achieving green development goals while ensuring economic growth. Urban agglomerations, as a new form of economic concentration, may serve as an effective solution to this challenge. This paper treats the State Council’s approval of national urban agglomeration as a quasi-natural experiment, utilizing panel data from 213 prefecture-level cities spanning from 2004 to 2020. A multi-period Difference-in-Differences model is applied to assess the impact of National Urban Agglomerations Policy (NUAP) on Green Total Factor Productivity (GTFP). The findings indicate that the implementation of NUAP has led to an average increase in local GTFP of 0.0603. This effect is primarily driven by enhanced technological innovation capabilities, reduced misallocation of factor resources, and the “siphoning” and “spillover” effects from central cities. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the national urban agglomerations in the expansion phase, larger agglomerations, and those located in the north exbibit more significant GTFP growth. This study provides a new perspective on GTFP research and offers theoretical and empirical support for evaluating the effects of NUAP

China · Dilemma · Econometrics · Economic geography · Economic growth · Economic system · Economics · Economies of agglomeration · Geography · Macroeconomics · Panel data · Productivity · Spillover effect · Total factor productivity · Urban agglomeration · Energy, Environment, Economic Growth · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Spatial and Panel Data Analysis

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