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Face mask mandates and risk compensation

An analysis of mobility data during the Covid-19 pandemic in Bangladesh

Bibliographic Data

ID21881490
AuthorsZia Wadud (0000-0003-2692-8299, University of Leeds, corresponding author), Sheikh Mokhlesur Rahman (0000-0002-3174-856X, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology), Annesha Enam (0000-0002-5463-6202, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology)
Year2022
Volume7
Issue1
Pagese006803
Publication date2022-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueBMJ Global Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2059-7908 • E-ISSN: 2059-7908
PublisherBMJ (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1136/bmjgh-2021-006803
PMID35012968
OpenAlexW4206390646
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited42

INTRODUCTION: Concerns have been raised about the potential for risk compensation in the context of mask mandates for mitigating the spread of COVID-19. However, the debate about the presence or absence of risk compensation for universal mandatory mask-wearing rules-especially in the context of COVID-19-is not settled yet. METHODS: Mobility is used as a proxy for risky behaviour before and after the mask mandates. Two sets of regressions are estimated to decipher (any) risk-compensating effect of mask mandate in Bangladesh. These include: (1) intervention regression analysis of daily activities at six types of locations, using pre-mask-mandate and post-mandate data; and (2) multiple regression analysis of daily new COVID-19 cases on daily mobility (lagged) to establish mobility as a valid proxy. RESULTS: (1) Statistically, mobility increased at all five non-residential locations, while home stays decreased after the mask mandate was issued; (2) daily mobility had a statistically significant association on daily new cases (with around 10 days of lag). Both significances were calculated at 95% confidence level. CONCLUSION: Community mobility had increased (and stay at home decreased) after the mandatory mask-wearing rule, and given mobility is associated with increases in new COVID-19 cases, there is evidence of risk compensation effect of the mask mandate-at least partially-in Bangladesh

Actuarial science · Business · Demographic economics · Economics · Environmental health · Face masks · Geography · Mandate · Pandemic · Political science · Statistics · COVID-19 Digital Contact Tracing · COVID-19 epidemiological studies · Infection Control and Ventilation · Law · Medicine

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Unique citing works3
Citations per year0,75
Citation span2022 - 2025 (4)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 3

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