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Using threshold Cox models to estimate change points in exposure-response relationships in an occupational epidemiological study of respirable crystalline silica and silicosis risk

Bibliographic Data

ID22068643
AuthorsDiezhang Wu, David Bin‐Chia Wu (0000-0002-0313-5758, University of Massachusetts Amherst), Kenneth A Mundt (0000-0002-9700-8679, University of Massachusetts Amherst), Jing Qian (0000-0003-3412-9083, University of Massachusetts Amherst, corresponding author)
Year2025
Volume13
Pages1628965-1628965
Publication date2025-09-19
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueFrontiers in Public Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2296-2565 • E-ISSN: 2296-2565
PublisherFrontiers Media SA (PUBLISHER • CH)
DOI10.3389/fpubh.2025.1628965
PMID41048294
OpenAlexW4414364490
LanguageEN
References cited11

Introduction: In occupational epidemiology, accurately quantifying exposure-response relationships is crucial. Methods: We introduce a threshold Cox model that includes a change point term to identify the optimal threshold. To address bias associated with maximum likelihood estimation under monotone likelihood, we employ Firth's penalized likelihood approach. The methodology was validated using simulation studies that evaluated model performance under various censoring rates and sample sizes. We applied our threshold Cox model to data from an occupational epidemiological study of respirable crystalline silica (RCS) exposure and risk of silicosis (defined as ILO category 1/0 or higher). To improve the condition of the data for analysis using Cox regression, which is sensitive to small proportions of events, we included all silicosis cases, and for each case we density-sampled four non-cases from workers in the same production areas (mostly materials preparation). Results: (95 CI: 0.263-0.385), respectively. Results and Discussion: These quantified exposure thresholds may be useful in verifying that occupational exposure limits are protective against silicosis and for quantitative risk assessment. This methodology also could be applied to other exposure-disease relationships to identify and quantify possible exposure thresholds

Occupational exposure · Occupational medicine · Pneumoconiosis · Proportional hazards model · Risk assessment · Silicosis · Aluminum toxicity and tolerance in plants and animals · Occupational and environmental lung diseases · Occupational exposure and asthma · Epidemiology

  • Bias reduction of maximum likelihood estimates

    David Firth•Biometrika•1993

  • Partial likelihood

    D R Cox•Biometrika•1975

  • Regression Models and Life-Tables

    Open Access•D R Cox•Journal of the Royal Statistical…•1972

  • Results of 15 years of extended follow-up of the German porcelain workers cohort study

    Open Access•Thomas Birk, Thomas J Birk et al.•Frontiers in Public Health•2025

Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo

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