Improving risk assessments for sex offenders
A comparison of three actuarial scales.
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 23325634 |
|---|---|
| Authors | R Karl Hanson (0000-0002-0920-884X, HM Prison Service), David Thornton (0000-0003-0127-1104), David J Thornton (0000-0001-7148-1970, HM Prison Service) |
| Year | 2000 |
| Volume | 24 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 119-136 |
| Publication date | 2000-02-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Law and Human Behavior (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0147-7307 • E-ISSN: 1573-661X |
| Publisher | American Psychological Association (APA) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1023/a:1005482921333 |
| PMID | 10693322 |
| OpenAlex | W1967631753 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 75 |
| References cited | 9 |
The study compared the predictive accuracy of three sex offender risk-assessment measures: the RRASOR (Hanson, 1997), Thornton's SACJ-Min (Grubin, 1998), and a new scale, Static-99, created by combining the items from the RRASOR and SACJ-Min. Predictive accuracy was tested using four diverse datasets drawn from Canada and the United Kingdom (total n = 1301). The RRASOR and the SACJ-Min showed roughly equivalent predictive accuracy, and the combination of the two scales was more accurate than either original scale. Static-99 showed moderate predictive accuracy for both sexual recidivism (r = 0.33, ROC area = 0.71) and violent (including sexual) recidivism (r = 0.32, ROC area = 0.69). The variation in the predictive accuracy of Static-99 across the four samples was no more than would be expected by chance.
Injury prevention · Legal psychology · Medical emergency · Poison control · Predictive validity · Predictive value · Recidivism · Risk assessment · Scale (ratio) · Sex offender · Sex offense · Sexual abuse · Statistics · Clinical Psychology · Computer Science · Crime Patterns and Interventions · Criminal Justice and Corrections Analysis · Demography · Internal Medicine · Mathematics · Medicine · Psychology · Psychopathy, Forensic Psychiatry, Sexual Offending · Social Psychology
Attachment and Adolescent Offending
Understanding risk in criminal justice
Trial-Lawyer Leaders in Court Change Institutions Forcing the Use of Tests and Equations So That Challenged Ones Become Successfully Healthy Thus Safeguarding Schools and Workplaces from the High-Risk Homicidal, Mass-Murdering and Sex-Offending
Implications of Machine-Learning, Internet-Tests to Save Lives and Money
Adverse Childhood Experiences Related to Cognitive and Emotional States
A person-oriented perspective on sexual offenders, offending trajectories, and risk of recidivism
The utility of the Savry across ethnicity in Australian young offenders
Do scores from risk measures matter to jurors
Dangerously misunderstood
Assessment of risk for violent recidivism through multivariate Bayesian classification
Civilly committed sex offenders
Poor diagnostic reliability, the Null-Bayes Logic Model, and their implications for sexually violent predator evaluations
Field validity of the STATIC-99 and MnSost-R among sex offenders evaluated for civil commitment as sexually violent predators
Les instruments d’évaluation du risque de comportements violents
Updated 5-year and new 10-year sexual recidivism rate norms for Static-99R with routine/complete samples
An Examination of the Professional Override of the Level of Service Inventory–Ontario Revision
The efficacy of violence prediction
Validating the Screening Scale of Pedophilic Crime Scene Behavior
Evaluation and Management of Sexual Offenders
Public Perceptions About Sex Offenders and Community Protection Policies
Toward a comprehensive theory of child sexual abuse
Assessing Risk for Sexual Recidivism
Healthcare Mapping of Institutional and Self-Referral Face-to-Face Treatment Services for Individuals at Risk of Committing Child Sexual Abuse and Exploitation in Germany, the Czech Republic, Finland, Spain, Slovakia, and Sweden
Outcome Evaluation of a Treatment Program for Men with Paraphilic Disorders Convicted of Sexual Offenses
Psychopathy and Sexual Aggression
Forensic Aftercare Facilities and Their Impact on the Releasability of Persons Who Committed Sexual Offenses
Differentiating Sexual From Other Violent Offence Types for Case Assessment, Planning, and Management
Do the Redundant and Locally Dependent Items of the LS/CMI Contribute in Any Meaningful Way to Its Reliability and Its Potential to Predict Criminal Recidivism
Does Reassessment Improve Prediction? A Prospective Study of the Sexual Offender Treatment Intervention and Progress Scale (Sotips)
Efficacy of outpatient treatment of sex offenders
Clinical Overrides With the YLS/CMI
The CPORT and Risk Matrix 2000 for Men Convicted of Child Sexual Exploitation Material (CSEM) Offenses
Where Should We Intervene, 20 Years Later? Case–Control and Prospective Cohort Designs Provide Similar Answers
A Look at the Difficulty and Predictive Validity of LS/CMI Items With Rasch Modeling
Prävalenz und Vorhersage von intramuralem Fehlverhalten und Lockerungsmissbräuchen in der Sozialtherapie
Evaluator Disagreement about the Association between Psychopathy Checklist-Revised Scores and Risk for Future Sexual Violence
Criminal Histories, Risk Profiles, and Predictors of Recidivism Among Men Who Sexually Offend Over the Age of 60 Years
Sexbots as Synthetic Companions
The current status of static and dynamic factors in sexual offender risk assessment
Assessing risk of sex offenders with major mental illness
The use of actuarial risk assessment measures with UK internet child pornography offenders
Risk, discretion, accountability and control
Reversal of Fortune
Adversarial Allegiance among Expert Witnesses
Automated Offender Risk Assessment
Exploring risk management in probation practice
Public Protection, Partnership and Risk Penality
The governance of sexual offending across Europe
Is it pedophilia or not? Observations on child sexual abuse in Poland from a criminological perspective
Constituting the ‘sexually violent predator’
Comparing Sex Offender Risk Classification Using the Static-99 and LSI-R Assessment Instruments
Is the Static-99R valid for all men with ‘identifiable’ victims? Examining cases of online sexual solicitation of children
Prediction of the risk of male sexual reoffending in Australia
Seeking Enlightenment on the Dark Side of Psychology
Risk Scales And Factors Predictive Of Sexual Offence Recidivism
The Relevance of Self-Report Measures in the Prediction of Recidivism Risk in Individuals Convicted of Sexual Offenses
Assessment of Criminal Recidivism Risk with Adolescents who have Offended Sexually
The practice of forensic psychology
Indirect Behavioral Measures of Cognition among Sexual Offenders
Strategies in the Treatment of Paraphilias
Societal Reaction to Sex Offenders
Sex Offender Recidivism
Pornography use and sexual aggression
Sex industry exposure over the life course on the onset and frequency of sex offending
Patterns of criminal achievement in sexual offending
Hostility and Recidivism in Sexual Offenders
Emotional Congruence with Children
The Validity of Implicit Association Test (IAT) Measures of Sexual Attraction to Children
The Screening Scale for Pedophilic Interests Predicts Recidivism Among Adult Sex Offenders with Child Victims
Where do sex crimes occur? How an examination of sex offense location can inform policy and prevention
Low base rates limit expert certainty when current actuarials are used to identify sexually violent predators
Mieux saisir les outils actuariels
Trajectoires criminelles et récidive des délinquants sexuels adultes
Évaluation de la validité prédictive de neuf instruments chez les agresseurs sexuels adultes
Le temps de visionnement comme mesure des préférences sexuelles déviantes chez les auteurs de crimes à caractère sexuel
Where Should We Intervene?
A method of comparing the areas under receiver operating characteristic curves derived from the same cases.
The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.
Recidivism of Sexual Offenders
Indices of discrimination or diagnostic accuracy
Comparative efficiency of informal (subjective, impressionistic) and formal (mechanical, algorithmic) prediction procedures
Étude de la récidive post-traitement chez des agresseurs sexuels judiciarisés
A Meta-Analysis of the Predictors of Adult Offender Recidivism
Correlation and the coefficient of determination
| Unique citing works | 75 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 2,88 |
| Citation span | 2000 - 2026 (27) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 57 |