Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

Below‐Replacement Fertility

Bibliographic Data

ID23640481
AuthorsS Philip Morgan (0009-0003-2269-5368, Duke University, corresponding author)
Year2015
Pages1-17
Publication date2015-05-15
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeOTHER
VenueEmerging Trends in the Social and Behavioral Sciences (JOURNAL)
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1002/9781118900772.etrds0024
OpenAlexW2170339049
ISBN9781118900772
LanguageEN
Citations received4
References cited40

When a human population has underlying birth rates too low to sustain its current population size, it has below‐replacement fertility . If mortality rates are low, then replacement‐level fertility is slightly above two births per woman. Currently, over 50% of the global population lives in a country with below‐replacement fertility; below‐replacement fertility is especially widespread in developed countries and is emerging in many developing ones. But there is substantial variation in degree—some countries having very low fertility (below 1.5 births) and other countries (such as the United States) have levels at or near the replacement level. Because the level of fertility intended (or desired) approximates two births per woman in most countries, explanations for fertility levels below replacement levels focus on why people fail to have the number of children they intend. An important factor is fertility timing. Postponement of fertility to older ages reduces birth rates in current periods (lowering period fertility rates), but it also exposes persons to events and experiences that may lead them to forego childbearing or additional births. Below‐replacement fertility produces important macro‐level effects (e.g., a population with older persons and a declining population size). Average fertility below two births also impacts families and individuals' life courses and activities.

Birth rate · Developed country · Economics · Family planning · Fertility · Geography · Population · Population momentum · Postponement · Research methodology · Sociology · Sub-replacement fertility · Total fertility rate · Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences · Demography · Family Dynamics and Relationships · Intergenerational Family Dynamics and Caregiving

  • Tempo-quantum and period-cohort interplay in fertility changes in Europe

    Open Access•Tomáš Sobotka•Demographic Research•2003

  • On the impossibility of inferring cohort fertility measures from period fertility measures

    Open Access•Evert Van Imhoff•Demographic Research•2001

  • Cohort Reproductive Patterns in Low-Fertility Countries

    Open Access•Tomas Frejka, Gerard Calot•Population and Development Review•2001

  • The End of the Fertility Transition in the Developed World

    Open Access•John Bongaarts•Population and Development Review•2002

  • World Revolution and Family Patterns.

    Goode Goode•World Revolution and Family…•1970

  • The Fear of Population Decline

    Michael S Teitelbaum•The fear of population decline•1985

  • Understanding Family Change and Variation

    Open Access•Jennifer Johnson‐Hanks, Jennifer A Johnson-Hanks et al.•Understanding Family Change and…•2011

  • Reading History Sideways

    Arland Thornton•Reading History Sideways•2005

  • Advances in development reverse fertility declines

    Open Access•Mikko Myrskylä, Hans‐peter Kohler et al.•Nature•2009

  • The Second Demographic Transition in Western Countries

    Ron Lesthaeghe•Gender and family change in…•1995

  • Below Replacement Fertility Preferences in Shanghai

    Open Access•M Giovanna Merli, S Philip Morgan•Population (English Edition•2011

  • The Surprising Global Variation in Replacement Fertility

    Open Access•Thomas J Espenshade, Juan Carlos Guzman et al.•Population Research and Policy…•2003

  • Missing the Target? Correspondence of Fertility Intentions and Behavior in the U.S

    Open Access•Amélie Quesnel-Vallée, S Philip Morgan•Population Research and Policy…•2003

  • The emergence of Sub-Replacement Family Size Ideals in Europe

    Open Access•J R Goldstein, Joshua Goldstein et al.•Population Research and Policy…•2003

  • Reexamining the link of early childbearing to Marriage and to subsequent fertillty

    Open Access•S Philip Morgan, Ronald R Rindfuss•Demography•1999

  • Child care availability and first-birth timing in Norway

    Open Access•Ronald R Rindfuss, David K Guilkey et al.•Demography•2007

  • Gendering family composition

    Open Access•Gunnar Andersson, Karsten Hank et al.•Demography•2006

  • Is low fertility a twenty-first-century demographic crisis

    Open Access•S Philip Morgan•Demography•2003

  • Age and fertility

    Open Access•Jane Menken•Demography•1985

  • Has the Chinese Family Planning Policy Been Successful in Changing Fertility Preferences

    Open Access•M Giovanna Merli, Herbert L Smith•Demography•2002

  • Has the Chinese family planning policy been successful in changing fertility preferences

    Open Access•M Giovanna Merli, Herbert L Smith•Demography•2002

  • The Correspondence Between Fertility Intentions and Behavior in the United States

    Open Access•Philip Morgan, S Philip Morgan et al.•Population and Development Review•2010

  • The Emergence of Lowest‐Low Fertility in Europe During the 1990s

    Open Access•Hans‐peter Kohler, Francesco C Billari et al.•Population and Development Review•2002

  • Patterns of low and lowest-low fertility in Europe

    Francesco C Billari, Francesco Billari et al.•Population Studies•2004

  • The Developmental Paradigm, Reading History Sideways, and Family Change

    Open Access•Arland Thornton•Demography•2001

  • The End of "Lowest-Low" Fertility

    Open Access•J R Goldstein, Tomáš Sobotka et al.•Population and Development Review•2009

  • On the Quantum and Tempo of Fertility

    John Bongaarts, Griffith Feeney•Population and Development Review•1998

  • The Second Demographic Transition in the United States

    Open Access•Ron J Lesthaeghe, Ron Lesthaeghe et al.•Population and Development Review•2006

  • Emerging Parental Gender Indifference? Sex Composition of Children and the Third Birth

    Michael S Pollard, Philip Morgan et al.•American Sociological Review•2002

  • The Implementation of Preferences for Male Offspring

    Open Access•John Bongaarts•Population and Development Review•2013

  • Intended and Ideal Family Size in the United States, 1970-2002

    Open Access•Kellie J Hagewen, Philip Morgan et al.•Population and Development Review•2005

  • The Contribution of Assisted Reproduction to Completed Fertility

    Open Access•Tomáš Sobotka, Martin Hansen et al.•Population and Development Review•2008

  • The Unfolding Story of the Second Demographic Transition

    Open Access•Ron Lesthaeghe•Population and Development Review•2010

  • Approaching the Limit

    Open Access•Francesco C Billari, Hans‐peter Kohler et al.•Population and Development Review•2007

  • Gender Equity in Theories of Fertility Transition

    Open Access•Peter Mcdonald•Population and Development Review•2000

  • Child-Care Availability and Fertility in Norway

    Open Access•Ronald R Rindfu, Ronald R Rindfuss et al.•Population and Development Review•2010

  • Low Fertility and the State

    Open Access•Peter Mcdonald•Population and Development Review•2006

  • The End of the Fertility Transition in the Developed World

    Open Access•John Bongaarts•Population and Development Review•2002

  • Demography, Measuring and Modeling Population Processes

    Open Access•Jacques Véron, H Preston et al.•Population•2002

  • Logics of History

    William H Sewell, William H Jr Sewell et al.•Logics of History•2005

  • Low Fertility at the Turn of the Twenty-First Century

    Philip Morgan, S Philip Morgan et al.•Annual Review of Sociology•2006

  • A Theory of Structure

    William H Sewell, William H Sewell William H Sewell•American Journal of Sociology•1992

Unique citing works4
Citations per year0,16
Citation span2001 - 2003 (3)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo

Tools

Open DOISci-HubLibgen
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae