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The Correspondence Between Fertility Intentions and Behavior in the United States

Bibliographic Data

ID7980591
AuthorsPhilip Morgan, S Philip Morgan (0009-0003-2269-5368, Duke University), H M Rackin (0000-0002-9017-6637, Duke University), Heather Rackin
Year2010
Volume36
Issue1
Pages91-118
Publication date2010-03-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePopulation and Development Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0098-7921 • E-ISSN: 1728-4457
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/j.1728-4457.2010.00319.x
PMID20414471
PMCIDPMC2857728
OpenAlexW2062893990
LanguageEN
Citations received153
References cited16

Using data from the 1979 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, we describe the correspondence between intended family size and observed fertility for US men and women in the 1957–64 birth cohorts. Mean fertility intentions calculated from reports given in the mid‐20s modestly overstate completed fertility. But discrepancies between stated intent and actual fertility are common—the stated intent at age 24 (for both women and men) is more likely to miss than to match completed fertility. We focus on factors that predict which women and men will have fewer or more children than intended. Consistent with life‐course arguments, those unmarried, childless, or (for women) still in school at approximately age 24 were most likely to underachieve their intended parity (i.e., had fewer children than intended at age 24). We discuss how such discrepancies between intentions and behavior may cumulate to produce sizable cross‐group fertility differences

Demographic economics · Developmental psychology · Economics · Family planning · Fertility · National Longitudinal Surveys · National Survey of Family Growth · Parity (physics · Population · Research methodology · Sociology · Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences · Demography · Family Dynamics and Relationships · Psychology · Reproductive Health and Technologies · Social Psychology

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Unique citing works153
Citations per year10,2
Citation span2011 - 2026 (16)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedYes
Citation typesNeutral: 149

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